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相关论文: Cryptocurrency Price Forecasting Using Machine Lea…

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This paper presents price prediction models using Machine Learning algorithms augmented with Superforecasters predictions, aimed at enhancing investment decisions. Five Machine Learning models are built, including Bidirectional LSTM, ARIMA,…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-07-03 Anishka Chauhan , Pratham Mayur , Yeshwanth Sai Gokarakonda , Pooriya Jamie , Naman Mehrotra

This paper introduced key aspects of applying Machine Learning (ML) models, improved trading strategies, and the Quasi-Reversibility Method (QRM) to optimize stock option forecasting and trading results. It presented the findings of the…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2022-11-30 Zheng Cao , Raymond Guo , Wenyu Du , Jiayi Gao , Kirill V. Golubnichiy

In the realm of cryptocurrency, the prediction of Bitcoin prices has garnered substantial attention due to its potential impact on financial markets and investment strategies. This paper propose a comparative study on hybrid machine…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-02 Shun Liu , Kexin Wu , Chufeng Jiang , Bin Huang , Danqing Ma

Prediction markets rely on liquidity to convert trades into informative prices, yet existing mechanisms fix liquidity ex ante. This restriction enforces a static trade-off between price responsiveness and worst-case loss despite inherently…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Enrique Nueve , Bao Nguyen , Rafael Frongillo , Bo Waggoner

In todays global economy, accuracy in predicting macro-economic parameters such as the foreign the exchange rate or at least estimating the trend correctly is of key importance for any future investment. In recent times, the use of…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-02-25 Manav Kaushik , A K Giri

Understanding the variations in trading price (volatility), and its response to exogenous information, is a well-researched topic in finance. In this study, we focus on finding stable and accurate volatility predictors for a relatively new…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-12-07 M. Eren Akbiyik , Mert Erkul , Killian Kaempf , Vaiva Vasiliauskaite , Nino Antulov-Fantulin

Prediction of stock price and stock price movement patterns has always been a critical area of research. While the well-known efficient market hypothesis rules out any possibility of accurate prediction of stock prices, there are formal…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-01-05 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen , Subhasis Dasgupta

In recent years, cryptocurrencies have attracted growing attention from both private investors and institutions. Among them, Bitcoin stands out for its impressive volatility and widespread influence. This paper explores the predictability…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-04-29 Grégory Bournassenko

Volume prediction is one of the fundamental objectives in the Fintech area, which is helpful for many downstream tasks, e.g., algorithmic trading. Previous methods mostly learn a universal model for different stocks. However, this kind of…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2022-11-04 Ruibo Chen , Wei Li , Zhiyuan Zhang , Ruihan Bao , Keiko Harimoto , Xu Sun

We study whether liquidity and volatility proxies of a core set of cryptoassets generate spillovers that forecast market-wide risk. Our empirical framework integrates three statistical layers: (A) interactions between core liquidity and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-24 Yimeng Qiu , Feihuang Fang

Machine learning in asset pricing typically predicts expected returns as point estimates, ignoring uncertainty. We develop new methods to construct forecast confidence intervals for expected returns obtained from neural networks. We show…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-03-04 Yuan Liao , Xinjie Ma , Andreas Neuhierl , Linda Schilling

Accurate forecasting of Bitcoin (BTC) has always been a challenge because decentralized markets are non-linear, highly volatile, and have temporal irregularities. Existing deep learning models often struggle with interpretability and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-16 Raiz Ud Din , Saddam Hussain Khan

The research paper empirically investigates several machine learning algorithms to forecast stock prices depending on insider trading information. Insider trading offers special insights into market sentiment, pointing to upcoming changes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-08 Amitabh Chakravorty , Nelly Elsayed

The application of deep learning models for stock price forecasting in emerging markets remains underexplored despite their potential to capture complex temporal dependencies. This study develops and evaluates a Long Short-Term Memory…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2025-09-19 Ahad Yaqoob , Syed M. Abdullah

The cryptocurrency ecosystem has been the centre of discussion on many social media platforms, following its noted volatility and varied opinions. Twitter is rapidly being utilised as a news source and a medium for bitcoin discussion. Our…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-03-17 Haritha GB , Sahana N. B

Accurate crude oil price prediction is crucial for financial decision-making. We propose a novel reservoir computing model for forecasting crude oil prices. It outperforms popular deep learning methods in most scenarios, as demonstrated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-06 Kaushal Kumar

The aim of this paper is to investigate the effect of a novel method called linear law-based feature space transformation (LLT) on the accuracy of intraday price movement prediction of cryptocurrencies. To do this, the 1-minute interval…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-05-09 Marcell T. Kurbucz , Péter Pósfay , Antal Jakovác

In the realm of financial decision-making, predicting stock prices is pivotal. Artificial intelligence techniques such as long short-term memory networks (LSTMs), support-vector machines (SVMs), and natural language processing (NLP) models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-04 Kevin Taylor , Jerry Ng

Cryptocoins (i.e., Bitcoin, Ether, Litecoin) are tradable digital assets. Ownerships of cryptocoins are registered on distributed ledgers (i.e., blockchains). Secure encryption techniques guarantee the security of the transactions…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-09-06 Pasquale De Rosa , Pascal Felber , Valerio Schiavoni

In a natural market environment, the price prediction model needs to be updated in real time according to the data obtained by the system to ensure the accuracy of the prediction. In order to improve the user experience of the system, the…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2023-07-14 Zhu Bangyuan