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Time series forecasting requires architectures that simultaneously achieve three competing objectives: (1) strict temporal causality for reliable predictions, (2) sub-quadratic complexity for practical scalability, and (3) multi-scale…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-25 Qianru Zhang , Honggang Wen , Ming Li , Dong Huang , Siu-Ming Yiu , Christian S. Jensen , Pietro Liò

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) advance generalization and data efficiency in time series forecasting by unified large-scale pretraining. But TSFMs remain lacking when adapting to specific downstream forecasting tasks for two reasons.…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-04 Siyang Li , Yize Chen , Zijie Zhu , Yuxin Pan , Yan Guo , Ming Huang , Hui Xiong

Selecting an appropriate look-back horizon remains a fundamental challenge in time series forecasting (TSF), particularly in the federated learning scenarios where data is decentralized, heterogeneous, and often non-independent. While…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-06 Dahao Tang , Nan Yang , Yanli Li , Zhiyu Zhu , Zhibo Jin , Dong Yuan

Learning decent representations from unlabeled time-series data with temporal dynamics is a very challenging task. In this paper, we propose an unsupervised Time-Series representation learning framework via Temporal and Contextual…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-29 Emadeldeen Eldele , Mohamed Ragab , Zhenghua Chen , Min Wu , Chee Keong Kwoh , Xiaoli Li , Cuntai Guan

Transformer-based architectures have achieved remarkable success in natural language processing and computer vision. However, their performance in multivariate long-term forecasting often falls short compared to simpler linear baselines.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-09 Dizhen Liang

In recent years, deep-learning-based approaches have been introduced to solving time-series forecasting-related problems. These novel methods have demonstrated impressive performance in univariate and low-dimensional multivariate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-07 Weiyu Zong , Mingqian Feng , Griffin Heyrich , Peter Chin

Forecasting complex time series is an important yet challenging problem that involves various industrial applications. Recently, masked time-series modeling has been proposed to effectively model temporal dependencies for forecasting by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-02 Hyunwoo Seo , Chiehyeon Lim

Demand is spiking in industrial fields for multidisciplinary forecasting, where a broad spectrum of sectors needs planning and forecasts to streamline intelligent business management, such as demand forecasting, product planning, inventory…

Generative models have been successfully used in the field of time series generation. However, when dealing with long-term time series, which span over extended periods and exhibit more complex long-term temporal patterns, the task of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-01 Xuan Hou , Shuhan Liu , Zhaohui Peng , Yaohui Chu , Yue Zhang , Yining Wang

Transformer has become one of the most popular architectures for multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting. Recent Transformer-based MTS models generally prefer channel-independent structures with the observation that channel independence…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-06 Ce Chi , Xing Wang , Kexin Yang , Zhiyan Song , Di Jin , Lin Zhu , Chao Deng , Junlan Feng

Diffusion models have recently emerged as powerful frameworks for generating high-quality images. While recent studies have explored their application to time series forecasting, these approaches face significant challenges in cross-modal…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-02-24 Weilin Ruan , Siru Zhong , Haomin Wen , Yuxuan Liang

Recently, there has been a surge of Transformer-based solutions for the long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) task. Despite the growing performance over the past few years, we question the validity of this line of research in this work.…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-08-18 Ailing Zeng , Muxi Chen , Lei Zhang , Qiang Xu

Accurate and reliable energy time series prediction is of great significance for power generation planning and allocation. At present, deep learning time series prediction has become the mainstream method. However, the multi-scale time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-08 Wei Li , Zixin Wang , Qizheng Sun , Qixiang Gao , Fenglei Yang

Recent advances in deep forecasting models have achieved remarkable performance, yet most approaches still struggle to provide both accurate predictions and interpretable insights into temporal dynamics. This paper proposes CaReTS, a novel…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-14 Fulong Yao , Wanqing Zhao , Chao Zheng , Xiaofei Han

Short-term rainfall forecasting, also known as precipitation nowcasting has become a potentially fundamental technology impacting significant real-world applications ranging from flight safety, rainstorm alerts to farm irrigation timings.…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2018-10-25 Maitreya Patel , Anery Patel , Dr. Ranendu Ghosh

Geodetic time series -- such as Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) positions, satellite altimetry-derived sea surface height (SSH), and tide gauge (TG) records -- is essential for monitoring surface deformation and sea level change.…

Time Series forecasting (univariate and multivariate) is a problem of high complexity due the different patterns that have to be detected in the input, ranging from high to low frequencies ones. In this paper we propose a new model for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-07 Matteo Maggiolo , Gerasimos Spanakis

This paper addresses a common problem with hierarchical time series. Time series analysis demands the series for a model to be the sum of multiple series at corresponding sub-levels. Hierarchical Time Series presents a two-fold problem.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-12-27 Seema Sangari , Xinyan Zhang

In the domain of multivariate time series analysis, the concept of channel independence has been increasingly adopted, demonstrating excellent performance due to its ability to eliminate noise and the influence of irrelevant variables.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-18 Haoxin Wang , Yipeng Mo , Kunlan Xiang , Nan Yin , Honghe Dai , Bixiong Li , Songhai Fan , Site Mo

Multivariate time series forecasting has been widely used in various practical scenarios. Recently, Transformer-based models have shown significant potential in forecasting tasks due to the capture of long-range dependencies. However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-10 Zhe Li , Zhongwen Rao , Lujia Pan , Zenglin Xu