English

LATST: Are Transformers Necessarily Complex for Time-Series Forecasting

Machine Learning 2025-07-09 v9 Artificial Intelligence

Abstract

Transformer-based architectures have achieved remarkable success in natural language processing and computer vision. However, their performance in multivariate long-term forecasting often falls short compared to simpler linear baselines. Previous research has identified the traditional attention mechanism as a key factor limiting their effectiveness in this domain. To bridge this gap, we introduce LATST, a novel approach designed to mitigate entropy collapse and training instability common challenges in Transformer-based time series forecasting. We rigorously evaluate LATST across multiple real-world multivariate time series datasets, demonstrating its ability to outperform existing state-of-the-art Transformer models. Notably, LATST manages to achieve competitive performance with fewer parameters than some linear models on certain datasets, highlighting its efficiency and effectiveness.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2410.23749,
  title  = {LATST: Are Transformers Necessarily Complex for Time-Series Forecasting},
  author = {Dizhen Liang},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2410.23749},
  year   = {2025}
}

Comments

8 pages with referencing, 1 figure, 5 tables

R2 v1 2026-06-28T19:42:37.391Z