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The design of training objective is central to training time-series forecasting models. Existing training objectives such as mean squared error mostly treat each future step as an independent, equally weighted task, which we found leading…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-20 Hao Wang , Licheng Pan , Yuan Lu , Zhichao Chen , Tianqiao Liu , Shuting He , Zhixuan Chu , Qingsong Wen , Haoxuan Li , Zhouchen Lin

Multivariate time series forecasting is crucial for various applications, such as financial investment, energy management, weather forecasting, and traffic optimization. However, accurate forecasting is challenging due to two main factors.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-13 Xiangfei Qiu , Xingjian Wu , Yan Lin , Chenjuan Guo , Jilin Hu , Bin Yang

There has been a recent surge of interest in time series modeling using the Transformer architecture. However, forecasting multivariate time series with Transformer presents a unique challenge as it requires modeling both temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-04 Yu-Hsiang Lan , Eric K. Oermann

We propose an efficient design of Transformer-based models for multivariate time series forecasting and self-supervised representation learning. It is based on two key components: (i) segmentation of time series into subseries-level patches…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-07 Yuqi Nie , Nam H. Nguyen , Phanwadee Sinthong , Jayant Kalagnanam

Fuzzy time series forecasting (FTSF) is a typical forecasting method with wide application. Traditional FTSF is regarded as an expert system which leads to loss of the ability to recognize undefined features. The mentioned is the main…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-29 Tianxiang Zhan , Yuanpeng He , Yong Deng , Zhen Li

How to build an effective large-scale traffic state prediction system is a challenging but highly valuable problem. This study focuses on the construction of an effective solution designed for spatio-temporal data to predict large-scale…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-14 Yang Liu , Fanyou Wu , Baosheng Yu , Zhiyuan Liu , Jieping Ye

The proliferation of Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) has significantly advanced zero-shot forecasting, enabling predictions for unseen time series without task-specific fine-tuning. Extensive research has confirmed that no single TSFM…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-26 Hao-Nan Shi , Ting-Ji Huang , Lu Han , De-Chuan Zhan , Han-Jia Ye

Time series forecasting has traditionally been formulated as a model-centric, static, and single-pass prediction problem that maps historical observations to future values. While this paradigm has driven substantial progress, it proves…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-12 Mingyue Cheng , Xiaoyu Tao , Qi Liu , Ze Guo , Enhong Chen

Accurate weather forecasting across time scales is critical for anticipating and mitigating the impacts of climate change. Recent data-driven methods based on deep learning have achieved significant success in the medium range, but struggle…

Recurrent and convolutional neural networks are the most common architectures used for time series forecasting in deep learning literature. These networks use parameter sharing by repeating a set of fixed architectures with fixed parameters…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-30 Joel Janek Dabrowski , YiFan Zhang , Ashfaqur Rahman

Multivariate time series forecasting with hierarchical structure is pervasive in real-world applications, demanding not only predicting each level of the hierarchy, but also reconciling all forecasts to ensure coherency, i.e., the forecasts…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-04 Shiyu Wang , Fan Zhou , Yinbo Sun , Lintao Ma , James Zhang , Yangfei Zheng

Deep learning utilizing transformers has recently achieved a lot of success in many vital areas such as natural language processing, computer vision, anomaly detection, and recommendation systems, among many others. Among several merits of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-05 Lena Sasal , Tanujit Chakraborty , Abdenour Hadid

Human Motion Segmentation (HMS), which aims to partition a video into non-overlapping segments corresponding to different human motions, has recently attracted increasing research attention. Existing HMS approaches are predominantly based…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-08 Xianghan Meng , Zhiyuan Huang , Zhengyu Tong , Chun-Guang Li

Forecasting the formation and development of clouds is a central element of modern weather forecasting systems. Incorrect clouds forecasts can lead to major uncertainty in the overall accuracy of weather forecasts due to their intrinsic…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-06-17 A. H. Nielsen , A. Iosifidis , H. Karstoft

Recently, building on the foundation of neural radiance field, various techniques have emerged to learn unsigned distance fields (UDF) to reconstruct 3D non-watertight models from multi-view images. Yet, a central challenge in UDF-based…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-04-17 Junkai Deng , Fei Hou , Xuhui Chen , Wencheng Wang , Ying He

We study the modeling and forecasting of high-dimensional functional time series (HDFTS), which can be cross-sectionally correlated and temporally dependent. We introduce a decomposition of the HDFTS into two distinct components: a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-14 Cristian F. Jiménez-Varón , Ying Sun , Han Lin Shang

One of the challenging questions in time series forecasting is how to find the best algorithm. In recent years, a recommender system scheme has been developed for time series analysis using a meta-learning approach. This system selects the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-08-23 Sasan Barak , Mahdi Nasiri , Mehrdad Rostamzadeh

Real-world time-series datasets often violate the assumptions of standard supervised learning for forecasting -- their distributions evolve over time, rendering the conventional training and model selection procedures suboptimal. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-27 Sercan O. Arik , Nathanael C. Yoder , Tomas Pfister

Precipitation nowcasting, predicting future radar echo sequences from current observations, is a critical yet challenging task due to the inherently chaotic and tightly coupled spatio-temporal dynamics of the atmosphere. While recent…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-10-17 Thao Nguyen , Jiaqi Ma , Fahad Shahbaz Khan , Souhaib Ben Taieb , Salman Khan

Forecasting is critical in areas such as finance, biology, and healthcare. Despite the progress in the field, making accurate forecasts remains challenging because real-world time series contain both global trends, local fine-grained…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-01 Zihao Chen , Alexandre Andre , Wenrui Ma , Ian Knight , Sergey Shuvaev , Eva Dyer