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This work develops a theoretical model for steady thermodynamic and kinematic profiles for severe convective storm environments, building off of the two-layer static energy framework developed in Agard and Emanuel (2017). The model is…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-02-24 Daniel R Chavas , Daniel T Dawson

Storm-relative helicity (SRH) is an important ingredient in supercell development, as well as mesocyclone intensity, and is linked to tornadogenesis and tornado potential. Derived from the storm-relative wind profile, SRH is composed of…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-06-05 Brice Coffer , Matthew Parker , Michael Coniglio , Cameron Homeyer

Supercell thunderstorms are the most hazardous thunderstorm category and particularly impactful to society. Their monitoring is challenging and often confined to the radar networks of single countries. By exploiting kilometer-scale climate…

We investigate the potential added value of running three limited-area ensemble systems (with the WRF, Meso-NH and MOLOCH models and a grid spacing of approximately 2.5 km) for two heavy-precipitation events in Italy. Such high-resolution…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-03-23 Valerio Capecchi

To study the diurnal evolution of the convective cloud field, we develop a precipitation cell tracking algorithm which records the merging and fragmentation of convective cells during their life cycles, and apply it on large eddy simulation…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2019-03-27 Christopher Moseley , Olga Henneberg , Jan O. Haerter

Two extreme flood-inducing precipitation events in two cities in Mali, on 08 August 2012 in San (127 mm) and on 25 August 2019 in Kenieba (126 mm), are investigated with respect to rainfall structures, dynamical forcings, and the ability of…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-10-28 Souleymane Sanogo , Marlon Maranan , Andreas H. Fink , Beth J. Woodhams , Peter Knippertz

Machine learning-based precipitation nowcasting relies on high-fidelity radar reflectivity sequences to model the short-term evolution of convective storms. However, the development of models capable of predicting extreme weather has been…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-10-21 Andy Shi

The effect of elongated bell-shaped mountain orientation on supercell thunderstorms is numerically investigated using the Bryan Cloud Model 1 (CM1). The orography is varied by three mountain heights and is varied in four different…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2016-03-03 Galen M. Smith , Yuh-Lang Lin

Heavy element and helium diffusion are both included for the first time in this series of papers on precise solar models, along with improvements in the input data for nuclear reaction rates, the solar luminosity, the solar age, heavy…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2008-11-26 John N. Bahcall , M. H. Pinsonneault

Numerical simulation studies in 2D with the addition of noise are reported for the convection of a supercritical fluid,3He, in a Rayleigh-Be'nard cell where the fluid parameters and cell height L are the same as in published laboratory…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Akira Furukawa , Horst Meyer , Akira Onuki

Dynamical downscaling with high-resolution regional climate models may offer the possibility of realistically reproducing precipitation and weather events in climate simulations. As resolutions fall to order kilometers, the use of explicit…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-08-01 Won Chang , Jiali Wang , Julian Marohnic , Rao Kotamarthi , Elisabeth J. Moyer

Several large scale circulation patterns have been identified in relation to extreme Northern Hemisphere summer heatwaves. Three main ones are a double jet over Eurasia, a positive phase of the summer northern annular mode, and a…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-03-10 Valeria Mascolo , Francesco Ragone , Nili Harnik , Freddy Bouchet

The impact of the expansion of a high-frequency radar (HFR) system in a dynamic coastal area (the Ibiza Channel in the Western Mediterranean Sea) is evaluated through an Observing System Simulation Experiment (OSSE). The installation of two…

In complex social systems encoded as hypergraphs, higher-order (i.e., group) interactions taking place among more than two individuals are represented by hyperedges. One of the higher-order correlation structures native to hypergraphs is…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-11-07 Jihye Kim , Deok-Sun Lee , Kwang-Il Goh

The increasing frequency of extreme temperature events, such as daily maximum temperature ($T_x$) records, underscores the need for robust tools to understand their drivers and predict their occurrence. Previous studies have identified…

In a recent paper the authors presented an extended study aiming at simulating the classical meteorological parameters and the optical turbulence at Dome C during the winter with the atmospherical mesoscale model Meso-NH. A statistical…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2010-11-29 Franck Lascaux , Elena Masciadri , Susanna Hagelin

With climate change-related extreme events on the rise, high dimensional Earth observation data presents a unique opportunity for forecasting and understanding impacts on ecosystems. This is, however, impeded by the complexity of…

Forecasting Heavy Precipitation Events (HPE) in the Mediterranean is crucial but challenging due to the complexity of the processes involved. In this context, Artificial Intelligence methods have recently proven to be competitive with…

In 2021 300 mm of rain, nearly half the average annual rainfall, fell near Catania (Sicily island, Italy). Such events took place in just a few hours, with dramatic consequences on the environmental, social, economic, and health systems of…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-12-19 Eleonora Vitanza , Giovanna Maria Dimitri , Chiara Mocenni

By coupling the EUropean Heliospheric FORcasting Information Asset (EUHFORIA) and the improved Particle Acceleration and Transport in the Heliosphere (iPATH) model, two energetic storm particle (ESP) events, originating from the same active…

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