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We study a stochastic spatial epidemic model where the $N$ individuals carry two features: a position and an infection state, interact and move in $\R^d$. In this Markovian model, the evolution of the infection states are described with the…

概率论 · 数学 2021-11-05 Yen V. Vuong , Maxime Hauray , Etienne Pardoux

The COVID-19 pandemic has been characterised by multiple waves of transmission driven by interventions and emerging variants, challenging epidemic models that assume gradually evolving transmission dynamics. We propose a class of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-05-05 Patrick Aschermayr , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos , Nikolaos Demiris

We consider data-driven Bayesian state estimation from compressed measurements (BSCM) of a model-free process. The dimension of the temporal measurement vector is lower than that of the temporal state vector to be estimated, leading to an…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-28 Anubhab Ghosh , Yonina C. Eldar , Saikat Chatterjee

Although there is substantial literature on identifying structural changes for continuous spatio-temporal processes, the same is not true for categorical spatio-temporal data. This work bridges that gap and proposes a novel spatio-temporal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-04 Siddharth Rawat , Abe Durrant , Adam Simpson , Grant Nielson , Candace Berrett , Soudeep Deb

Accurate prediction of placental diseases via whole slide images (WSIs) is critical for preventing severe maternal and fetal complications. However, WSI analysis presents significant computational challenges due to the massive data volume.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-08-06 Hang Guo , Qing Zhang , Zixuan Gao , Siyuan Yang , Shulin Peng , Xiang Tao , Ting Yu , Yan Wang , Qingli Li

Multiple Sclerosis (MS) is a chronic disease characterized by progressive or alternate impairment of neurological functions (motor, sensory, visual, and cognitive). Predicting disease progression with a probabilistic and time-dependent…

This work introduces a Bayesian smoothing approach for the joint graduation of mortality rates across multiple populations. In particular, dynamical linear models are used to induce smoothness across ages through structured dependence,…

We propose a Bayesian approach for both medical inquiry and disease inference, the two major phases in differential diagnosis. Unlike previous work that simulates data from given probabilities and uses ML algorithms on them, we directly use…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-10-26 Hong Guan , Chitta Baral

Background: The most widely used approach to joint modelling of repeated measurement and time to event data is to combine a linear Gaussian random effects model for the repeated measurements with a log-Gaussian frailty model for the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-09-12 Elisabeth Waldmann , David Taylor-Robinson

Effective connectivity analysis provides an understanding of the functional organization of the brain by studying how activated regions influence one other. We propose a nonparametric Bayesian approach to model effective connectivity…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-07-22 Sourabh Bhattacharya , Ranjan Maitra

We propose a hierarchical Bayesian recurrent state space model for modeling switching network connectivity in resting state fMRI data. Our model allows us to uncover shared network patterns across disease conditions. We evaluate our method…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-17 Arunesh Mittal , Scott Linderman , John Paisley , Paul Sajda

Gaussian Process state-space models capture complex temporal dependencies in a principled manner by placing a Gaussian Process prior on the transition function. These models have a natural interpretation as discretized stochastic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-24 Krista Longi , Jakob Lindinger , Olaf Duennbier , Melih Kandemir , Arto Klami , Barbara Rakitsch

In recent years, spatial and spatio-temporal modeling have become an important area of research in many fields (epidemiology, environmental studies, disease mapping). In this work we propose different spatial models to study hospital…

应用统计 · 统计学 2010-06-21 Erik A. Sauleau , Valentina Mameli , Monica Musio

We develop a new tool, the time inhomogeneous Poisson equation in the whole space and with a terminal condition at infinity, to study the asymptotic behavior of the non-autonomous multi-scale stochastic system with irregular coefficients,…

概率论 · 数学 2024-12-13 Ling Wang , Pengcheng Xia , Longjie Xie , Li Yang

We propose a scalable semiparametric Bayesian model to capture dependencies among multiple neurons by detecting their co-firing (possibly with some lag time) patterns over time. After discretizing time so there is at most one spike at each…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-06-22 Babak Shahbaba , Bo Zhou , Shiwei Lan , Hernando Ombao , David Moorman , Sam Behseta

The accelerated failure time (AFT) model is a commonly used tool in analyzing survival data. In public health studies, data is often collected from medical service providers in different locations. Survival rates from different locations…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-02-11 Guanyu Hu , Yishu Xue , Fred Huffer

Predicting how a dynamical unit evolves over time - how an individual ages, an epidemic spreads, or a physical system degrades - typically requires dense longitudinal tracking. When only extremely sparse or entirely cross-sectional data is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-25 Christian Lagemann , Kai Lagemann , Steven L. Brunton , Sach Mukherjee

Mutual Information (MI) is a crucial measure for capturing dependencies between variables, but exact computation is challenging in high dimensions with intractable likelihoods, impacting accuracy and robustness. One idea is to use an…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-13 Forough Fazeliasl , Michael Minyi Zhang , Bei Jiang , Linglong Kong

Multiple sclerosis is a disease that affects the brain and spinal cord, it can lead to severe disability and has no known cure. The majority of prior work in machine learning for multiple sclerosis has been centered around using Magnetic…

Mobile health (mHealth) interventions often aim to improve distal outcomes, such as clinical conditions, by optimizing proximal outcomes through just-in-time adaptive interventions. Contextual bandits provide a suitable framework for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-07-31 Xueqing Liu , Nina Deliu , Tanujit Chakraborty , Lauren Bell , Bibhas Chakraborty
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