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A probabilistic model describes a system in its observational state. In many situations, however, we are interested in the system's response under interventions. The class of structural causal models provides a language that allows us to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-20 Jonas Peters , Stefan Bauer , Niklas Pfister

Recent years have seen a surge of interest in learning high-level causal representations from low-level image pairs under interventions. Yet, existing efforts are largely limited to simple synthetic settings that are far away from…

Causal discovery is a major task with the utmost importance for machine learning since causal structures can enable models to go beyond pure correlation-based inference and significantly boost their performance. However, finding causal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-22 Andreas Sauter , Erman Acar , Vincent François-Lavet

Causal graph dynamics are transformations over graphs that capture two important symmetries of physics, namely causality and homogeneity. They can be equivalently defined as continuous and translation invariant transformations or functions…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2013-09-06 Simon Martiel , Bruno Martin

We consider the linear causal representation learning setting where we observe a linear mixing of $d$ unknown latent factors, which follow a linear structural causal model. Recent work has shown that it is possible to recover the latent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-05 Tianyu Chen , Kevin Bello , Francesco Locatello , Bryon Aragam , Pradeep Ravikumar

Causal approaches to post-hoc explainability for black-box prediction models (e.g., deep neural networks trained on image pixel data) have become increasingly popular. However, existing approaches have two important shortcomings: (i) the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-12 Numair Sani , Daniel Malinsky , Ilya Shpitser

The ability to perform causal and counterfactual reasoning are central properties of human intelligence. Decision-making systems that can perform these types of reasoning have the potential to be more generalizable and interpretable.…

Dynamic networks models describe temporal interactions between social actors, and as such have been used to describe financial fraudulent transactions, dispersion of destructive invasive species across the globe, and the spread of fake…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-06 Melania Lembo , Ester Riccardi , Veronica Vinciotti , Ernst C. Wit

A Random Graph is a random object which take its values in the space of graphs. We take advantage of the expressibility of graphs in order to model the uncertainty about the existence of causal relationships within a given set of variables.…

Causal questions inquire about causal relationships between different events or phenomena. They are important for a variety of use cases, including virtual assistants and search engines. However, many current approaches to causal question…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-03-26 Lukas Blübaum , Stefan Heindorf

Reinforcement learning (RL) agents have shown remarkable performances in various environments, where they can discover effective policies directly from sensory inputs. However, these agents often exploit spurious correlations in the…

Are generative pre-trained transformer (GPT) models, trained only to predict the next token, implicitly learning a world model from which sequences are generated one token at a time? We address this question by deriving a causal…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-07-08 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Yaniv Gurwicz , Sungduk Yu , Estelle Aflalo , Vasudev Lal

Artificial Intelligence has achieved remarkable advancements in recent years, yet much of its progress relies on identifying increasingly complex correlations. Enabling causality awareness in AI has the potential to enhance its performance…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-10-10 Matteo Gregorini , Chiara Boldrini , Lorenzo Valerio

Prevalent theories in cognitive science propose that humans understand and represent the knowledge of the world through causal relationships. In making sense of the world, we build causal models in our mind to encode cause-effect relations…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-21 Prashan Madumal , Tim Miller , Liz Sonenberg , Frank Vetere

Causality plays a pivotal role in various fields of study. Based on the framework of causal graphical models, previous works have proposed identifying whether a variable is a cause or non-cause of a target in every Markov equivalent graph…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-16 Qingyuan Zheng , Yue Liu , Yangbo He

The field of hypothesis generation promises to reduce costs in neuroscience by narrowing the range of interventional studies needed to study various phenomena. Existing machine learning methods can generate scientific hypotheses from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-04 Zachary C. Brown , David Carlson

As AI systems move from generating text to accomplishing goals through sustained interaction, the ability to model environment dynamics becomes a central bottleneck. Agents that manipulate objects, navigate software, coordinate with others,…

This paper analyzes the notion of causality in a conceptual model, mainly as applied in software engineering. Conceptual system modeling can be considered a three-level process that begins with building a static structural description to…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2020-05-07 Sabah Al-Fedaghi

Causal graphs are widely used in software engineering to document and explore causal relationships. Though widely used, they may also be wildly misleading. Causal structures generated from SE data can be highly variable. This instability is…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2025-05-20 Jeremy Hulse , Nasir U. Eisty , Tim Menzies

Infants are experts at playing, with an amazing ability to generate novel structured behaviors in unstructured environments that lack clear extrinsic reward signals. We seek to replicate some of these abilities with a neural network that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-02-22 Nick Haber , Damian Mrowca , Li Fei-Fei , Daniel L. K. Yamins