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We formalize constraint-based structure learning of the "true" causal graph from observed data when unobserved variables are also existent. We provide conditions for a "natural" family of constraint-based structure-learning algorithms that…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-05-10 Kayvan Sadeghi , Terry Soo

Many empirical studies estimate causal effects in environments where economic units interact through spatial or network connections. In such settings, outcomes are jointly determined, and treatment induced shocks propagate across…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-05 Mariluz Mate

We propose a new method of discovering causal structures, based on the detection of local, spontaneous changes in the underlying data-generating model. We analyze the classes of structures that are equivalent relative to a stream of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-14 Jin Tian , Judea Pearl

Complex systems have interested researchers across a broad range of fields for many years and as computing has become more accesible and feasible, it is now possible to simulate aspects of these systems. A major point of research is how…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2019-01-16 George Hassan-Coring

This PhD thesis contains several contributions to the field of statistical causal modeling. Statistical causal models are statistical models embedded with causal assumptions that allow for the inference and reasoning about the behavior of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-05 Martin Emil Jakobsen

Progress in probabilistic generative models has accelerated, developing richer models with neural architectures, implicit densities, and with scalable algorithms for their Bayesian inference. However, there has been limited progress in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-10-31 Dustin Tran , David M. Blei

Discussions on causal relations in real life often consider variables for which the definition of causality is unclear since the notion of interventions on the respective variables is obscure. Asking 'what qualifies an action for being an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-17 Dominik Janzing , Sergio Hernan Garrido Mejia

It has long been hypothesised that causal reasoning plays a fundamental role in robust and general intelligence. However, it is not known if agents must learn causal models in order to generalise to new domains, or if other inductive biases…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-07-22 Jonathan Richens , Tom Everitt

Autonomous agents are increasingly expected to operate in complex, dynamic, and uncertain environments, performing tasks such as manipulation, navigation, and decision-making. Achieving these capabilities requires agents to understand the…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-11-11 Peng-Fei Zhang , Ying Cheng , Xiaofan Sun , Shijie Wang , Fengling Li , Lei Zhu , Heng Tao Shen

Much of our experiments are designed to uncover the cause(s) and effect(s) behind a data generating mechanism (i.e., phenomenon) we happen to be interested in. Uncovering such relationships allows us to identify the true working of a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-11 M. Z. Naser

Causal discovery, the problem of inferring the direction of causality, is generally ill-posed. We use the language of structural causal models (SCM) to show that assuming that the causal relations are acyclic and invariant across multiple…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-14 Francesco Montagna , Francesco Locatello

To represent the causal relationships between variables, a directed acyclic graph (DAG) is widely utilized in many areas, such as social sciences, epidemics, and genetics. Many causal structure learning approaches are developed to learn the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-14 Jianian Wang , Rui Song

In high-stakes systems such as healthcare, it is critical to understand the causal reasons behind unusual events, such as sudden changes in patient's health. Unveiling the causal reasons helps with quick diagnoses and precise treatment…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-20 Yiling Kuang , Chao Yang , Yang Yang , Shuang Li

The effectiveness of model training heavily relies on the quality of available training resources. However, budget constraints often impose limitations on data collection efforts. To tackle this challenge, we introduce causal exploration in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-31 Yupei Yang , Biwei Huang , Shikui Tu , Lei Xu

Symbolic world modeling requires inferring and representing an environment's transitional dynamics as an executable program. Prior work has focused on largely deterministic environments with abundant interaction data, simple mechanics, and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-04-09 Zaid Khan , Archiki Prasad , Elias Stengel-Eskin , Jaemin Cho , Mohit Bansal

This paper considers how to classify the effects of interventions in causal models for outcomes and exposures observed over time. First, we demonstrate the limitations of the most common uses of potential outcomes and causal directed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-29 Russell Steele , Naftali Weinberger , Tess Baker , Ian Shrier

Agent-based modeling is a computational dynamic modeling technique that may be less familiar to some readers. Agent-based modeling seeks to understand the behaviour of complex systems by situating agents in an environment and studying the…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2023-04-19 G. Wade McDonald , Nathaniel D. Osgood

Humans have consciousness as the ability to perceive events and objects: a mental model of the world developed from the most impoverished of visual stimuli, enabling humans to make rapid decisions and take actions. Although spatial and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-11-06 Lisheng Wu , Minne Li , Jun Wang

Causal discovery, the task of inferring causal structure from data, has the potential to uncover mechanistic insights from biological experiments, especially those involving perturbations. However, causal discovery algorithms over larger…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-01 Menghua Wu , Yujia Bao , Regina Barzilay , Tommi Jaakkola

Causal discovery aims to learn causal relationships between variables from targeted data, making it a fundamental task in machine learning. However, causal discovery algorithms often rely on unverifiable causal assumptions, which are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-15 Huiyang Yi , Yanyan He , Duxin Chen , Mingyu Kang , He Wang , Wenwu Yu
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