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Causal structure discovery (CSD) models are making inroads into several domains, including Earth system sciences. Their widespread adaptation is however hampered by the fact that the resulting models often do not take into account the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2021-07-05 Laila Melkas , Rafael Savvides , Suyog Chandramouli , Jarmo Mäkelä , Tuomo Nieminen , Ivan Mammarella , Kai Puolamäki

A world model is an AI system that simulates how an environment evolves under actions, enabling planning through imagined futures rather than reactive perception. Current world models, however, suffer from visual conflation: the mistaken…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-01-23 Zhikang Chen , Tingting Zhu

We present a domain-general account of causation that applies to settings in which macro-level causal relations between two systems are of interest, but the relevant causal features are poorly understood and have to be aggregated from vast…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-12-29 Krzysztof Chalupka , Pietro Perona , Frederick Eberhardt

The correlations that can be observed between a set of variables depend on the causal structure underpinning them. Causal structures can be modeled using directed acyclic graphs, where nodes represent variables and edges denote functional…

量子物理 · 物理学 2015-01-08 Rafael Chaves , Christian Majenz , David Gross

The study of system complexity primarily has two objectives: to explore underlying patterns and to develop theoretical explanations. Pattern exploration seeks to clarify the mechanisms behind the emergence of system complexity, while…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2026-02-18 Xiao Xue , Deyu Zhou , Ming Zhang , Xiangning Yu , Fei-Yue Wang

We examine how causal beliefs affect an agent's choices and how feedback on those choices leads to updated causal beliefs. Building on the structural-equations framework for modeling causality, we first examine the general problem of…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-11 Joseph Y. Halpern , Evan Piermont , Marie-Louise Vierø

Most traditional models of uncertainty have focused on the associational relationship among variables as captured by conditional dependence. In order to successfully manage intelligent systems for decision making, however, we must be able…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2015-05-19 David Heckerman , Ross D. Shachter

Deep learning has revolutionized the field of artificial intelligence. Based on the statistical correlations uncovered by deep learning-based methods, computer vision has contributed to tremendous growth in areas like autonomous driving and…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-08-01 Kexuan Zhang , Qiyu Sun , Chaoqiang Zhao , Yang Tang

Despite the recent progress in deep learning and reinforcement learning, transfer and generalization of skills learned on specific tasks is very limited compared to human (or animal) intelligence. The lifelong, incremental building of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-08-10 Louis Annabi

Heteroscedasticity -- where the variance of a variable changes with other variables -- is pervasive in real data, and elucidating why it arises from the perspective of statistical moments is crucial in scientific knowledge discovery and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-28 Yoichi Chikahara

On-the-fly reasoning often requires adaptation to novel problems under limited data and distribution shift. This work introduces CausalARC: an experimental testbed for AI reasoning in low-data and out-of-distribution regimes, modeled after…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-03-20 Jacqueline Maasch , John Kalantari , Kia Khezeli

Given a causal graph representing the data-generating process shared across different domains/distributions, enforcing sufficient graph-implied conditional independencies can identify domain-general (non-spurious) feature representations.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-26 Olawale Salaudeen , Sanmi Koyejo

A new causal discovery method, Structural Agnostic Modeling (SAM), is presented in this paper. Leveraging both conditional independencies and distributional asymmetries, SAM aims to find the underlying causal structure from observational…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-07-26 Diviyan Kalainathan , Olivier Goudet , Isabelle Guyon , David Lopez-Paz , Michèle Sebag

Identifying ``true causality'' is a fundamental challenge in complex systems research. Widely adopted methods, like the Granger causality test, capture statistical dependencies between variables rather than genuine driver-response…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-05-05 Yingzhu Liu , Shengyuan Huang , Zhongkui Li , Xiaoguang Yang , Wenjun Mei

Graphical causal models are an important tool for knowledge discovery because they can represent both the causal relations between variables and the multivariate probability distributions over the data. Once learned, causal graphs can be…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2017-04-11 Andrew J Sedgewick , Joseph D. Ramsey , Peter Spirtes , Clark Glymour , Panayiotis V. Benos

Models and simulations of collective behaviours are often based on considering them as assumed by interactive particle systems. The focus is then on behavioural and interaction rules by using approaches based on artificial agents designed…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2009-03-04 Gianfranco Minati

In many scientific contexts, different investigators experiment with or observe different variables with data from a domain in which the distinct variable sets might well be related. This sort of fragmentation sometimes occurs in molecular…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2019-09-05 Shuyan Wang

It is evidence that representation learning can improve model's performance over multiple downstream tasks in many real-world scenarios, such as image classification and recommender systems. Existing learning approaches rely on establishing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-18 Mengyue Yang , Xinyu Cai , Furui Liu , Xu Chen , Zhitang Chen , Jianye Hao , Jun Wang

Real-world multi-agent systems are often dynamic and continuous, where the agents co-evolve and undergo changes in their trajectories and interactions over time. For example, the COVID-19 transmission in the U.S. can be viewed as a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-04 Zijie Huang , Jeehyun Hwang , Junkai Zhang , Jinwoo Baik , Weitong Zhang , Dominik Wodarz , Yizhou Sun , Quanquan Gu , Wei Wang

We introduce a new Collaborative Causal Discovery problem, through which we model a common scenario in which we have multiple independent entities each with their own causal graph, and the goal is to simultaneously learn all these causal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-08 Raghavendra Addanki , Shiva Prasad Kasiviswanathan