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Neural networks are popular state-of-the-art models for many different tasks.They are often trained via back-propagation to find a value of the weights that correctly predicts the observed data. Although back-propagation has shown good…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-29 Simón Rodríguez Santana , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

In indirect measurements, the measurand is determined by solving an inverse problem which requires a model of the measurement process. Such models are often approximations and introduce systematic errors leading to a bias of the posterior…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-22 Maren Casfor , Philipp Trunschke , Sebastian Heidenreich , Nando Hegemann

This article considers a stable vector autoregressive (VAR) model and investigates return predictability in a Bayesian context. The VAR system comprises asset returns and the dividend-price ratio as proposed in Cochrane (2008), and allows…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-12-06 Borys Koval , Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter , Leopold Sögner

We consider the problem of estimating the uncertainty in statistical inverse problems using Bayesian inference. When the probability density of the noise and the prior are Gaussian, the solution of such a statistical inverse problem is also…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-07-20 Peter Benner , Yue Qiu , Martin Stoll

Inverse problems, i.e., estimating parameters of physical models from experimental data, are ubiquitous in science and engineering. The Bayesian formulation is the gold standard because it alleviates ill-posedness issues and quantifies…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-28 Sharmila Karumuri , Ilias Bilionis

A Bayesian multivariate model with a structured covariance matrix for multi-way nested data is proposed. This flexible modeling framework allows for positive and for negative associations among clustered observations, and generalizes the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-27 Stef Baas , Richard J. Boucherie , Jean-Paul Fox

A new methodology for model determination in decomposable graphical Gaussian models is developed. The Bayesian paradigm is used and, for each given graph, a hyper inverse Wishart prior distribution on the covariance matrix is considered.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-03-13 Sophie Donnet , Jean-Michel Marin

In this paper, we address the problem of estimating a covariance matrix of a multivariate Gaussian distribution, relative to a Stein loss function, from a decision theoretic point of view. We investigate the case where the covariance matrix…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-03-23 Anis M. Haddouche , Wei Lu

This paper deals with Bayesian inference of a mixture of Gaussian distributions. A novel formulation of the mixture model is introduced, which includes the prior constraint that each Gaussian component is always assigned a minimal number of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-05-21 Colin J. Stoneking

Bayesian inference for high-dimensional inverse problems is computationally costly and requires selecting a suitable prior distribution. Amortized variational inference addresses these challenges via a neural network that approximates the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-01-19 Ali Siahkoohi , Gabrio Rizzuti , Rafael Orozco , Felix J. Herrmann

In inverse problems, it is widely recognized that the incorporation of a sparsity prior yields a regularization effect on the solution. This approach is grounded on the a priori assumption that the unknown can be appropriately represented…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-13 Giovanni S. Alberti , Luca Ratti , Matteo Santacesaria , Silvia Sciutto

Bayesian analyses combine information represented by different terms in a joint Bayesian model. When one or more of the terms is misspecified, it can be helpful to restrict the use of information from suspect model components to modify…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-27 Xuejun Yu , David J. Nott , Michael Stanley Smith

Formulating a statistical inverse problem as one of inference in a Bayesian model has great appeal, notably for what this brings in terms of coherence, the interpretability of regularisation penalties, the integration of all uncertainties,…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-12-19 Natalia A. Bochkina , Peter J. Green

We study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to linear inverse problems under discrete observations. We use the discrete Fourier transform to convert our model into a truncated Gaussian sequence model, that is closely related to the classical…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-10-31 Shota Gugushvili , Aad van der Vaart , Dong Yan

We present a Bayesian perspective on quantifying the uncertainty of graph signals estimated or reconstructed from imperfect observations. We show that many conventional methods of graph signal estimation, reconstruction and imputation, can…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-05-22 Lennard Rompelberg , Michael T. Schaub

Geoscientists use observed data to estimate properties of the Earth's interior. This often requires non-linear inverse problems to be solved and uncertainties to be estimated. Bayesian inference solves inverse problems under a probabilistic…

地球物理 · 物理学 2024-01-01 Xuebin Zhao , Andrew Curtis

We provide a complete description of possible covariance matrices consistent with a Gaussian latent tree model for any tree. We then present techniques for utilising these constraints to assess whether observed data is compatible with that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-04-13 Nathaniel Shiers , Piotr Zwiernik , John A. D. Aston , Jim Q. Smith

There are several challenges associated with inverse problems in which we seek to reconstruct a piecewise constant field, and which we model using multiple level sets. Adopting a Bayesian viewpoint, we impose prior distributions on both the…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-12-01 William Reese , Arvind K. Saibaba , Jonghyun Lee

This article presents an approach to Bayesian semiparametric inference for Gaussian multivariate response regression. We are motivated by various small and medium dimensional problems from the physical and social sciences. The statistical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-18 Georgios Papageorgiou , Benjamin C. Marshall

Inverse problems involving partial differential equations (PDEs) are widely used in science and engineering. Although such problems are generally ill-posed, different regularisation approaches have been developed to ameliorate this problem.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-03-23 Jan Povala , Ieva Kazlauskaite , Eky Febrianto , Fehmi Cirak , Mark Girolami