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As an important part of the power system, power load forecasting directly affects the national economy. The data shows that improving the load forecasting accuracy by 0.01% can save millions of dollars for the power industry. Therefore,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-01 Zhifang Liao , Haihui Pan , Qi Zeng , Xiaoping Fan , Yan Zhang , Song Yu

Forecasting load in power transmission networks is essential across various hierarchical levels, from the system level down to individual points of delivery (PoD). While intuitive and locally accurate, traditional local forecasting models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-17 Amirhossein Ahmadi , Hamidreza Zareipour , Henry Leung

Subseasonal forecasting, which is pivotal for agriculture, water resource management, and early warning of disasters, faces challenges due to the chaotic nature of the atmosphere. Recent advances in machine learning (ML) have revolutionized…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-06 Shan Zhao , Zhitong Xiong , Xiao Xiang Zhu

This paper introduces a generalised version of importance subsampling for time series reduction/aggregation in optimisation-based power system planning models. Recent studies indicate that reliably determining optimal electricity…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-08-26 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

Short-term demand forecasting models commonly combine convolutional and recurrent layers to extract complex spatiotemporal patterns in data. Long-term histories are also used to consider periodicity and seasonality patterns as time series…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-15 Doyup Lee , Suehun Jung , Yeongjae Cheon , Dongil Kim , Seungil You

The increased digitalisation and monitoring of the energy system opens up numerous opportunities to decarbonise the energy system. Applications on low voltage, local networks, such as community energy markets and smart storage will…

Meteorological factors (MF) are crucial in day-ahead load forecasting as they significantly influence the electricity consumption behaviors of consumers. Numerous studies have incorporated MF into the load forecasting model to achieve…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-07 Yangze Zhou , Guoxin Lin , Gonghao Zhang , Yi Wang

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change proposes different mitigation strategies to achieve the net emissions reductions that would be required to follow a pathway that limits global warming to 1.5{\deg}C with no or limited overshoot.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-12-10 Jonathan Dumas

Accurate energy consumption prediction is crucial for optimizing the operation of electric commercial heavy-duty vehicles, e.g., route planning for charging. Moreover, understanding why certain predictions are cast is paramount for such a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-28 Yuantao Fan , Zhenkan Wang , Sepideh Pashami , Slawomir Nowaczyk , Henrik Ydreskog

We present a novel framework for high-resolution forecasting of residential heating demand and non-heating electricity demand using probabilistic deep learning models. Because our models are trained on electricity consumption from a…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-12 Stephen J. Lee , Cailinn Drouin

Several energy management applications rely on accurate photovoltaic generation forecasts. Common metrics like mean absolute error or root-mean-square error, omit error-distribution details needed for stochastic optimization. In addition,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-05 Philipp Danner , Hermann de Meer

Building an accurate load forecasting model with minimal underpredictions is vital to prevent any undesired power outages due to underproduction of electricity. However, the power consumption patterns of the residential sector contain…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-23 Jihan Ghanim , Maha Issa , Mariette Awad

Massive informations about individual (household, small and medium enterprise) consumption are now provided with new metering technologies and the smart grid. Two major exploitations of these data are load profiling and forecasting at…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-07-02 Emilie Devijver , Yannig Goude , Jean-Michel Poggi

The electricity consumption of buildings composes a major part of the city's energy consumption. Electricity consumption forecasting enables the development of home energy management systems resulting in the future design of more…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-16 Farshad Ahmadi Asl , Mehmet Bodur

Energy system models underpin decisions by energy system planners and operators. Energy system modelling faces a transformation: accounting for changing meteorological conditions imposed by climate change. To enable that transformation, a…

Precise day-ahead forecasts for electricity prices are crucial to ensure efficient portfolio management, support strategic decision-making for power plant operations, enable efficient battery storage optimization, and facilitate demand…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-31 Btissame El Mahtout , Florian Ziel

Energy usage prediction is important for various real-world applications, including grid management, infrastructure planning, and disaster response. Although a plethora of deep learning approaches have been proposed to perform this task,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-21 Dahai Yu , Rongchao Xu , Dingyi Zhuang , Yuheng Bu , Shenhao Wang , Guang Wang

The accurate prediction of short-term electricity prices is vital for effective trading strategies, power plant scheduling, profit maximisation and efficient system operation. However, uncertainties in supply and demand make such…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-04-20 Mira Watermeyer , Thomas Möbius , Oliver Grothe , Felix Müsgens

Online decision-making in the presence of uncertain future information is abundant in many problem domains. In the critical problem of energy generation scheduling for microgrids, one needs to decide when to switch energy supply between a…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-10-20 Ali Menati , Sid Chi-Kin Chau , Minghua Chen

Future grid management systems will coordinate distributed production and storage resources to manage, in a cost effective fashion, the increased load and variability brought by the electrification of transportation and by a higher share of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-05-21 Christian Capezza , Biagio Palumbo , Yannig Goude , Simon N. Wood , Matteo Fasiolo
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