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Machine learning typically presupposes classical probability theory which implies that aggregation is built upon expectation. There are now multiple reasons to motivate looking at richer alternatives to classical probability theory as a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-30 Christian Fröhlich , Robert C. Williamson

As one of the main business models in the financial technology field, peer-to-peer (P2P) lending has disrupted traditional financial services by providing an online platform for lending money that has remarkably reduced financial costs.…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2018-05-01 Anahita Namvar , Mohsen Naderpour

The aim of this paper is to introduce a risk measure that extends the Gini-type measures of risk and variability, the Extended Gini Shortfall, by taking risk aversion into consideration. Our risk measure is coherent and catches variability,…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2018-03-21 Mohammed Berkhouch , Ghizlane Lakhnati , Marcelo Brutti Righi

This paper proposes RiskRank as a joint measure of cyclical and cross-sectional systemic risk. RiskRank is a general-purpose aggregation operator that concurrently accounts for risk levels for individual entities and their…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2016-01-26 József Mezei , Peter Sarlin

In structural credit risk models, default events and the ensuing losses are both derived from the asset values at maturity. Hence it is of utmost importance to choose a distribution for these asset values which is in accordance with…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2016-01-13 Thilo A. Schmitt , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr

In the second part of our series we suggest new definitions of credit bond duration and convexity that remain consistent across all levels of credit quality including deeply distressed bonds and introduce additional risk measures that are…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2009-12-24 Arthur M. Berd , Roy Mashal , Peili Wang

We develop a statistical framework for risk estimation, inspired by the axiomatic theory of risk measures. Coherent risk estimators -- functionals of P\&L samples inheriting the economic properties of risk measures -- are defined and…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2026-03-31 Martin Aichele , Igor Cialenco , Damian Jelito , Marcin Pitera

In this paper we present a theoretical framework for studying coherent acceptability indices in a dynamic setup. We study dynamic coherent acceptability indices and dynamic coherent risk measures, and we establish a duality between them. We…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2011-05-23 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Igor Cialenco , Zhao Zhang

In this paper, we deal with an axiomatic approach to default risk. We introduce the notion of a default risk measure, which generalizes the classical probability of default (PD), and allows to incorporate model risk in various forms. We…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2023-09-21 Max Nendel , Jan Streicher

Risk measures satisfying the axiom of comonotonic additivity are extensively studied, arguably because of the plethora of results indicating interesting aspects of such risk measures. Recent research, however, has shown that this axiom is…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-01-05 Samuel Solgon Santos , Marcelo Brutti Righi , Eduardo de Oliveira Horta

The rapid growth of e-commerce has made people accustomed to shopping online. Before making purchases on e-commerce websites, most consumers tend to rely on rating scores and review information to make purchase decisions. With this…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2020-07-07 Yingqiang Ge , Shuyuan Xu , Shuchang Liu , Zuohui Fu , Fei Sun , Yongfeng Zhang

Probabilistic risk aversion, defined through quasi-convexity in probabilistic mixtures, is a common useful property in decision analysis. We study a general class of non-monotone mappings, called the generalized rank-dependent functions,…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2024-09-30 Ruodu Wang , Qinyu Wu

We establish a profound connection between coherent risk measures, a prominent object in quantitative finance, and uniform integrability, a fundamental concept in probability theory. Instead of working with absolute values of random…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-04-08 Muqiao Huang , Ruodu Wang

We provide a constructive way of defining new elicitable risk measures that are characterised by a multiplicative scoring function. We show that depending on the choice of the scoring function's components, the resulting risk measure…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2025-03-06 Akif Ince , Marlon Moresco , Ilaria Peri , Silvana M. Pesenti

Portfolio diversification is a cornerstone of modern finance, while risk aversion is central to decision theory; both concepts are long-standing and foundational. We investigate their connections by studying how different forms of…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-26 Xiangxin He , Fangda Liu , Ruodu Wang

It is shown that the axioms for coherent risk measures imply that whenever there is an asset in a portfolio that dominates the others in a given sample (which happens with finite probability even for large samples), then this portfolio…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2009-09-29 Imre Kondor , Istvan Varga-Haszonits

We propose a novel class of convex risk measures, based on the concept of the Fr\'echet mean, designed in order to handle uncertainty which arises from multiple information sources regarding the risk factors of interest. The proposed risk…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2022-09-13 Georgios I. Papayiannis , Athanasios N. Yannacopoulos

Choquet capacities and integrals are central concepts in decision making under ambiguity or model uncertainty, pioneered by Schmeidler. Motivated by risk optimization problems for quantiles under ambiguity, we study the subclass of Choquet…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-12-30 Peng Liu , Tiantian Mao , Ruodu Wang

The intuition of risk is based on two main concepts: loss and variability. In this paper, we present a composition of risk and deviation measures, which contemplate these two concepts. Based on the proposed Limitedness axiom, we prove that…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2020-08-04 Marcelo Brutti Righi

A risk analyst assesses potential financial losses based on multiple sources of information. Often, the assessment does not only depend on the specification of the loss random variable but also various economic scenarios. Motivated by this…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2023-10-02 Tolulope Fadina , Yang Liu , Ruodu Wang
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