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Causal mediation analysis can unpack the black box of causality and is therefore a powerful tool for disentangling causal pathways in biomedical and social sciences, and also for evaluating machine learning fairness. To reduce bias for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-12-27 Siqi Xu , Lin Liu , Zhonghua Liu

Mendelian randomization (MR) has become a popular approach to study the effect of a modifiable exposure on an outcome by using genetic variants as instrumental variables. A challenge in MR is that each genetic variant explains a relatively…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-13 Ting Ye , Jun Shao , Hyunseung Kang

Mediation analysis is a strategy for understanding the mechanisms by which treatments or interventions affect later outcomes. Mediation analysis is frequently applied in randomized trial settings, but typically assumes: a) that randomized…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-30 Kara E. Rudolph , Nicholas Williams , Ivan Diaz

Discrete choice models (DCMs) are used to analyze individual decision-making in contexts such as transportation choices, political elections, and consumer preferences. DCMs play a central role in applied econometrics by enabling inference…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-19 Daniel F. Villarraga , Ricardo A. Daziano

Inference for fixed effects estimators is often unreliable due to Nickell- and incidental parameter biases. While these issues are well understood for classical two-dimensional panels, little is known about three-dimensional panel…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-05 Daniel Czarnowske , Amrei Stammann

The doubly robust (DR) estimator, which consists of two nuisance parameters, the conditional mean outcome and the logging policy (the probability of choosing an action), is crucial in causal inference. This paper proposes a DR estimator for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-22 Masahiro Kato , Shota Yasui , Kenichiro McAlinn

Modern machine learning approaches excel in static settings where a large amount of i.i.d. training data are available for a given task. In a dynamic environment, though, an intelligent agent needs to be able to transfer knowledge and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-13 Jonas Wildberger , Siyuan Guo , Arnab Bhattacharyya , Bernhard Schölkopf

Instrumental variable (IV) methods play a central role in causal inference, particularly in settings where treatment assignment is confounded by unobserved variables. IV methods have been extensively developed in recent years and applied…

Modern machine learning (ML) methods typically fail to adequately capture causal information. Consequently, such models do not handle data distributional shifts, are vulnerable to adversarial examples, and often learn spurious correlations.…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-01-27 Rishi Goel , Casey R. Myers , Sally Shrapnel

We consider inference about a scalar parameter under a non-parametric model based on a one-step estimator computed as a plug in estimator plus the empirical mean of an estimator of the parameter's influence function. We focus on a class of…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-06-07 Ezequiel Smucler , Andrea Rotnitzky , James M. Robins

This study investigates the performance of robust anomaly detection models in industrial inspection, focusing particularly on their ability to handle noisy data. We propose to leverage the adaptation ability of meta learning approaches to…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-03-04 Muhammad Aqeel , Shakiba Sharifi , Marco Cristani , Francesco Setti

Digital advertising increasingly relies on visual content, yet marketers lack rigorous methods for understanding how specific visual attributes causally affect consumer engagement. This paper addresses a fundamental methodological…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-03-04 Yizhi Liu , Balaji Padmanabhan , Siva Viswanathan

Mobile health (mHealth) leverages digital technologies, such as mobile phones, to capture objective, frequent, and real-world digital phenotypes from individuals, enabling the delivery of tailored interventions to accommodate substantial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-24 Xingche Guo , Zexi Cai , Yuanjia Wang , Donglin Zeng

Attribution methods assess the contribution of inputs to the model prediction. One way to do so is erasure: a subset of inputs is considered irrelevant if it can be removed without affecting the prediction. Though conceptually simple,…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-03-03 Nicola De Cao , Michael Schlichtkrull , Wilker Aziz , Ivan Titov

Classification, the process of assigning a label (or class) to an observation given its features, is a common task in many applications. Nonetheless in most real-life applications, the labels can not be fully explained by the observed…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-11-07 Johan Barthélemy , Morgane Dumont , Timoteo Carletti

Calibration error is commonly adopted for evaluating the quality of uncertainty estimators in deep neural networks. In this paper, we argue that such a metric is highly beneficial for training predictive models, even when we do not…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-11-01 Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan , Bindya Venkatesh , Deepta Rajan

This study utilizes a simulated dataset to establish Python code for Double Machine Learning (DML) using Anaconda's Jupyter Notebook and the DML software package from GitHub. The research focuses on causal inference experiments for both…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-02-28 Shunxin Yao

Dynamic discrete choice models often discretize the state vector and restrict its dimension in order to achieve valid inference. I propose a novel two-stage estimator for the set-identified structural parameter that incorporates a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-11-07 Vira Semenova

In this paper machine learning and artificial neural network models are proposed for the classification of external noise sources affecting a given quantum dynamics. For this purpose, we train and then validate support vector machine,…

量子物理 · 物理学 2023-02-17 Stefano Martina , Stefano Gherardini , Filippo Caruso

This paper provides estimation and inference methods for the best linear predictor (approximation) of a structural function, such as conditional average structural and treatment effects, and structural derivatives, based on modern machine…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-17 Vira Semenova , Victor Chernozhukov
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