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Model-based reinforcement learning methods learn a dynamics model with real data sampled from the environment and leverage it to generate simulated data to derive an agent. However, due to the potential distribution mismatch between…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-29 Jian Shen , Han Zhao , Weinan Zhang , Yong Yu

Many real-world combinatorial problems involve uncertain parameters, which can be predicted given contextual features and historical data. These `predict-then-optimize' or `contextual optimization' problems have gained significant…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Noah Schutte , Senne Berden , Tias Guns , Krzysztof Postek , Neil Yorke-Smith

One of the ways to make artificial intelligence more natural is to give it some room for doubt. Two main questions should be resolved in that way. First, how to train a model to estimate uncertainties of its own predictions? And then, what…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-04-17 Alexey Kornaev , Elena Kornaeva , Oleg Ivanov , Ilya Pershin , Danis Alukaev

Identifying uncertainty and taking mitigating actions is crucial for safe and trustworthy reinforcement learning agents, especially when deployed in high-risk environments. In this paper, risk sensitivity is promoted in a model-based…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-10 Stefan Radic Webster , Peter Flach

The cost of error in many high-stakes settings is asymmetric: misdiagnosing pneumonia when absent is an inconvenience, but failing to detect it when present can be life-threatening. Because of this, artificial intelligence (AI) models used…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-12 David Autor , Andrew Caplin , Daniel Martin , Philip Marx

With rapid adoption of deep learning in critical applications, the question of when and how much to trust these models often arises, which drives the need to quantify the inherent uncertainties. While identifying all sources that account…

Model-based reinforcement learning (RL) enjoys several benefits, such as data-efficiency and planning, by learning a model of the environment's dynamics. However, learning a global model that can generalize across different dynamics is a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-30 Kimin Lee , Younggyo Seo , Seunghyun Lee , Honglak Lee , Jinwoo Shin

Ranking models primarily focus on modeling the relative order of predictions while often neglecting the significance of the accuracy of their absolute values. However, accurate absolute values are essential for certain downstream tasks,…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2025-04-22 Yimeng Bai , Shunyu Zhang , Yang Zhang , Hu Liu , Wentian Bao , Enyun Yu , Fuli Feng , Wenwu Ou

The beneficial effects of treatments vary across individuals in most studies. Treatment heterogeneity motivates practitioners to search for the optimal policy based on personal characteristics. A long-standing common practice in policy…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-01-06 Xuqiao Li , Ying Yan

Accurate and well-calibrated Machine Learning (ML) models are mandatory in high-stakes settings, yet effective multiclass calibration remains challenging: global approaches assume calibration errors are homogeneous across the latent space,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-21 Cesare Barbera , Lorenzo Perini , Giovanni De Toni , Andrea Passerini , Andrea Pugnana

This paper aims to understand whether machine learning models should be trained using cost-sensitive surrogates or cost-agnostic ones (e.g., cross-entropy). Analyzing this question through the lens of $\mathcal{H}$-calibration, we find that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-28 Sanket Shah , Milind Tambe , Jessie Finocchiaro

Commonly used classification algorithms in machine learning, such as support vector machines, minimize a convex surrogate loss on training examples. In practice, these algorithms are surprisingly robust to errors in the training data. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-03 Kunal Talwar

In various approaches to learning, notably in domain adaptation, active learning, learning under covariate shift, semi-supervised learning, learning with concept drift, and the like, one often wants to compare a baseline classifier to one…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-07-14 Marco Loog , Jesse H. Krijthe , Are C. Jensen

Based on the model's resilience to computational noise, model quantization is important for compressing models and improving computing speed. Existing quantization techniques rely heavily on experience and "fine-tuning" skills. In the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-22 Daning Cheng , Wenguang Chen

This paper presents a novel decision-focused framework integrating the physical energy storage model into machine learning pipelines. Motivated by the model predictive control for energy storage, our end-to-end method incorporates the prior…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-12-06 Ming Yi , Saud Alghumayjan , Bolun Xu

Optimizing proper loss functions is popularly believed to yield predictors with good calibration properties; the intuition being that for such losses, the global optimum is to predict the ground-truth probabilities, which is indeed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-11 Jarosław Błasiok , Parikshit Gopalan , Lunjia Hu , Preetum Nakkiran

Though deep reinforcement learning (DRL) has obtained substantial success, it may encounter catastrophic failures due to the intrinsic uncertainty of both transition and observation. Most of the existing methods for safe reinforcement…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-20 Chengyang Ying , Xinning Zhou , Hang Su , Dong Yan , Ning Chen , Jun Zhu

The success of Reinforcement Learning (RL) heavily relies on the ability to learn robust representations from the observations of the environment. In most cases, the representations learned purely by the reinforcement learning loss can…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-12 Somjit Nath , Rushiv Arora , Samira Ebrahimi Kahou

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed in decision-making tasks, where not only accuracy but also reliable confidence estimates are essential. Well-calibrated confidence enables downstream systems to decide when to trust a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-21 Duygu Nur Yaldiz , Evangelia Spiliopoulou , Zheng Qi , Siddharth Varia , Srikanth Doss , Nikolaos Pappas

A weakly-supervised learning framework named as complementary-label learning has been proposed recently, where each sample is equipped with a single complementary label that denotes one of the classes the sample does not belong to. However,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-07-24 Yuzhou Cao , Shuqi Liu , Yitian Xu