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相关论文: Adaptive tail index estimation: minimal assumption…

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We introduce a trimmed version of the Hill estimator for the index of a heavy-tailed distribution, which is robust to perturbations in the extreme order statistics. In the ideal Pareto setting, the estimator is essentially finite-sample…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-11-15 Shrijita Bhattacharya , Michael Kallitsis , Stilian Stoev

We introduce a trimmed version of the Hill estimator for the index of a heavy-tailed distribution, which is robust to perturbations in the extreme order statistics. In the ideal Pareto setting, the estimator is essentially finite-sample…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-24 Shrijita Bhattacharya , Michael Kallitsis , Stilian Stoev

Given $n$ samples from a population of individuals belonging to different species, what is the number $U$ of hitherto unseen species that would be observed if $\lambda n$ new samples were collected? This is an important problem in many…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-03-17 Stefano Favaro , Zacharie Naulet

Heavy tailed phenomena are naturally analyzed by extreme value statistics. A crucial step in such an analysis is the estimation of the extreme value index, which describes the tail heaviness of the underlying probability distribution. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-07-18 Hanan Ahmed , John H. J. Einmahl

A tail empirical process for heavy-tailed and right-censored data is introduced and its Gaussian approximation is established. In this context, a (weighted) new Hill-type estimator for positive extreme value index is proposed and its…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-02-06 Brahim Brahimi , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir , Louiza Soltane

We consider removing lower order statistics from the classical Hill estimator in extreme value statistics, and compensating for it by rescaling the remaining terms. Trajectories of these trimmed statistics as a function of the extent of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-30 Martin Bladt , Hansjoerg Albrecher , Jan Beirlant

The problem of estimating the tail index from truncated data is addressed in Chakrabarty and Samorodnitsky (2009). In that paper, a sample based (and hence random) choice of k is suggested, and it is shown that the choice leads to a…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-09-23 Arijit Chakrabarty

This paper investigates pooling strategies for tail index and extreme quantile estimation from heavy-tailed data. To fully exploit the information contained in several samples, we present general weighted pooled Hill estimators of the tail…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-11-08 Abdelaati Daouia , Simone A. Padoan , Gilles Stupfler

We consider the problem of estimating the tail index $\alpha$ of a distribution satisfying a $(\alpha, \beta)$ second-order Pareto-type condition, where \beta is the second-order coefficient. When $\beta$ is available, it was previously…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-07-07 Alexandra Carpentier , Arlene K. H. Kim

The extreme value theory is very popular in applied sciences including Finance, economics, hydrology and many other disciplines. In univariate extreme value theory, we model the data by a suitable distribution from the general max-domain of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-05-09 Abhik Ghosh

Big data can easily be contaminated by outliers or contain variables with heavy-tailed distributions, which makes many conventional methods inadequate. To address this challenge, we propose the adaptive Huber regression for robust…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-10-11 Qiang Sun , Wenxin Zhou , Jianqing Fan

We make use of the empirical process theory to approximate the adapted Hill estimator, for censored data, in terms of Gaussian processes. Then, we derive its asymptotic normality, only under the usual second-order condition of regular…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-07-07 Brahim Brahimi , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir

Estimation of the extreme value index under right censoring is a fundamental problem in extreme value theory, with important applications in finance, insurance, and reliability. Classical integral estimators for Pareto-type tails typically…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-14 Abdelhakim Necir , Nour Elhouda Guesmia , Djamel Meraghni

Estimating the tail index parameter is one of the primal objectives in extreme value theory. For heavy-tailed distributions the Hill estimator is the most popular way to estimate the tail index parameter. Improving the Hill estimator was…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-05 László Németh , András Zempléni

This paper presents an adaptive version of the Hill estimator based on Lespki's model selection method. This simple data-driven index selection method is shown to satisfy an oracle inequality and is checked to achieve the lower bound…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-12-16 Stéphane Boucheron , Maud Thomas

In this paper we are concerned with the analysis of heavy-tailed data when a portion of the extreme values is unavailable. This research was motivated by an analysis of the degree distributions in a large social network. The degree…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-12-20 Jingjing Zou , Richard A. Davis , Gennady Samorodnitsky

The paper suggests a simple method of deriving minimax lower bounds to the accuracy of statistical inference on heavy tails. A well-known result by Hall and Welsh (Ann. Statist. 12 (1984) 1079-1084) states that if $\hat{\alpha}_n$ is an…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-03-14 S. Y. Novak

This paper introduces a flexible framework for the estimation of the conditional tail index of heavy tailed distributions. In this framework, the tail index is computed from an auxiliary linear regression model that facilitates estimation…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-09-23 João Nicolau , Paulo M. M. Rodrigues

In this paper we develop a novel inferential approach based on geometric records for estimating the tail index of heavy-tailed distributions. We construct a maximum likelihood estimator for the Pareto model and establish its strong…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-30 Martín Alcalde , Raúl Gouet , Miguel Lafuente , F. Javier López , Gerardo Sanz

Adaptive importance sampling (AIS) algorithms are widely used to approximate expectations with respect to complicated target probability distributions. When the target has heavy tails, existing AIS algorithms can provide inconsistent…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-10-26 Thomas Guilmeau , Nicola Branchini , Emilie Chouzenoux , Víctor Elvira
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