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Multivariate point processes are widely applied to model event-type data such as natural disasters, online message exchanges, financial transactions or neuronal spike trains. One very popular point process model in which the probability of…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-01-27 Deborah Sulem , Vincent Rivoirard , Judith Rousseau

We adopt the interpretability offered by a parametric, Hawkes-process-inspired conditional probability mass function for the marks and apply variational inference techniques to derive a general and scalable inferential framework for marked…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-21 Aristeidis Panos , Ioannis Kosmidis , Petros Dellaportas

Multivariate Hawkes process provides a powerful framework for modeling temporal dependencies and event-driven interactions in complex systems. While existing methods primarily focus on uncovering causal structures among observed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-03 Songyao Jin , Biwei Huang

Hawkes process is a class of simple point processes that is self-exciting and has clustering effect. The intensity of this point process depends on its entire past history. It has wide applications in finance, neuroscience and many other…

概率论 · 数学 2015-03-18 Lingjiong Zhu

We construct marked Gibbs point processes in $\mathbb{R}^d$ under quite general assumptions. Firstly, we allow for interaction functionals that may be unbounded and whose range is not assumed to be uniformly bounded. Indeed, our typical…

概率论 · 数学 2022-07-15 Sylvie Roelly , Alexander Zass

We establish the existence of stationary Gibbsian point processes for interactions that act on hyperedges between the points. For example, such interactions can depend on Delaunay edges or triangles, cliques of Voronoi cells or clusters of…

概率论 · 数学 2010-03-16 David Dereudre , Remy Drouilhet , Hans-Otto Georgii

Learning the causal-interaction network of multivariate Hawkes processes is a useful task in many applications. Maximum-likelihood estimation is the most common approach to solve the problem in the presence of long observation sequences.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-04 Farnood Salehi , William Trouleau , Matthias Grossglauser , Patrick Thiran

We present a new technique for proving empirical process invariance principle for stationary processes $(X_n)_{n\geq 0}$. The main novelty of our approach lies in the fact that we only require the central limit theorem and a moment bound…

概率论 · 数学 2008-10-01 Herold Dehling , Olivier Durieu , Dalibor Volný

Event-driven systems in fields such as neuroscience, social networks, and finance often exhibit dynamics influenced by continuously evolving external covariates. Motivated by these applications, we introduce a new class of multivariate…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-12-02 Maya Sadeler Perrin , Anna Bonnet , Charlotte Dion-Blanc , Adeline Samson

The Hawkes model is a past-dependent point process, widely used in various fields for modeling temporal clustering of events. Extending this framework, the multidimensional marked Hawkes process incorporates multiple interacting event types…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-20 Anna Bonnet , Charlotte Dion-Blanc , Maya Sadeler-Perrin

As a tool for capturing irregular temporal dependencies (rather than resorting to binning temporal observations to construct time series), Hawkes processes with exponential decay have seen widespread adoption across many application…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-05 Tiago Santos , Florian Lemmerich , Denis Helic

In this paper, we are interested in linear prediction of a particular kind of stochastic process, namely a marked temporal point process. The observations are event times recorded on the real line, with marks attached to each event. We show…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-18 Maximilian Aigner , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin

In this paper, we introduce a new class of processes which are diffusions with jumps driven by a multivariate nonlinear Hawkes process. Our goal is to study their long-time behavior. In the case of exponential memory kernels for the…

概率论 · 数学 2020-01-09 Charlotte Dion , Sarah Lemler , Eva Löcherbach

We study large time behavior of critical marked Hawkes processes and related branching particle systems. In case of marked Hawkes processes we assume that the kernel function has multiplicative form and the marks corresponding to the events…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-05 Anna Talarczyk

In this paper we study the frequentist properties of Bayesian approaches in linear high dimensional Hawkes processes in a sparse regime where the number of interaction functions acting on each component of the Hawkes process is much smaller…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-29 Judith Rousseau , Vincent Rivoirard , Déborah Sulem

Hawkes processes are a class of simple point processes whose intensity depends on the past history, and is in general non-Markovian. Limit theorems for Hawkes processes in various asymptotic regimes have been studied in the literature. In…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-25 Fuqing Gao , Lingjiong Zhu

The Hawkes process is a simple point process, whose intensity function depends on the entire past history and is self-exciting and has the clustering property. The Hawkes process is in general non-Markovian. The linear Hawkes process has…

概率论 · 数学 2025-09-04 Behzad Mehrdad , Lingjiong Zhu

We consider the spatially homogeneous Boltzmann equation for hard potentials without cutoff. We prove that an exponential moment of order $\rho=\min\{2\gamma/(2-\nu),2\}$, with the usual notation, is immediately created. This is stronger…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2021-09-22 Nicolas Fournier

In this paper, we establish the existence of moments and moment estimates for L\'evy-type processes. We discuss whether the existence of moments is a time dependent distributional property, give sufficient conditions for the existence of…

概率论 · 数学 2017-02-09 Franziska Kühn

Non-linear Hawkes processes with memory kernels given by the sum of Erlang kernels are considered. It is shown that their stability properties can be studied in terms of an associated class of piecewise deterministic Markov processes,…

概率论 · 数学 2018-11-27 Aline Duarte , Eva Löcherbach , Guilherme Ost