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Forecasting high-dimensional dynamical systems is a fundamental challenge in various fields, such as geosciences and engineering. Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (NODEs), which combine the power of neural networks and numerical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-16 Dibyajyoti Chakraborty , Seung Whan Chung , Troy Arcomano , Romit Maulik

Chaotic dynamical systems exhibit strong sensitivity to initial conditions and often contain unresolved multiscale processes, making deterministic forecasting fundamentally limited. Generative models offer an appealing alternative by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-01 Patrick Wyrod , Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Daniele Venturi

This article addresses the challenge of adapting data-based models over time. We propose a novel two-fold modelling architecture designed to correct plant-model mismatch caused by two types of uncertainty. Out-of-domain uncertainty arises…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-17 Laura Boca de Giuli , Alessio La Bella , Riccardo Scattolini

The vast majority of time-series forecasting approaches require a substantial training dataset. However, many real-life forecasting applications have very little initial observations, sometimes just 40 or fewer. Thus, the applicability of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-06 Samuel Dooley , Gurnoor Singh Khurana , Chirag Mohapatra , Siddartha Naidu , Colin White

We propose a learning-based robust predictive control algorithm that compensates for significant uncertainty in the dynamics for a class of discrete-time systems that are nominally linear with an additive nonlinear component. Such systems…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-10-15 Rohan Sinha , James Harrison , Spencer M. Richards , Marco Pavone

In this paper, we consider the problem of learning prediction models for spatiotemporal physical processes driven by unknown partial differential equations (PDEs). We propose a deep learning framework that learns the underlying dynamics and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-05-04 Priyabrata Saha , Saibal Mukhopadhyay

This work proposes an innovative approach using machine learning to predict extreme events in time series of chaotic dynamical systems. The research focuses on the time series of the H\'enon map, a two-dimensional model known for its…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2025-07-11 Alexandre C. Andreani , Bruno R. R. Boaretto , Elbert E. N. Macau

We present a computational technique for modeling the evolution of dynamical systems in a reduced basis, with a focus on the challenging problem of modeling partially-observed partial differential equations (PDEs) on high-dimensional…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-12-25 Victor Churchill

Tipping points are abrupt, drastic, and often irreversible changes in the evolution of non-stationary and chaotic dynamical systems. For instance, increased greenhouse gas concentrations are predicted to lead to drastic decreases in low…

In this paper we study chaotic behavior in the forced dissipative non-linear Schr\"{o}dinger equation, so called the Bekki-Nozaki equation. Chaotic systems are often seen in a strong sensitivity to initial conditions,leading to error…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2025-07-09 N. Sawado , Y. Shimazaki , Y. Suzuki

The presence of physical systems whose characteristics change in a seemingly erratic manner gives rise to the study of chaotic systems. The characteristics of these systems are due to their hypersensitivity to changes in initial conditions.…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2013-06-06 Louis Ehwerhemuepha , Godfrey E. Akpojotor

Time series forecasting plays a critical role in decision-making processes across diverse fields including meteorology, traffic, electricity, economics, finance, and so on. Especially, predicting returns on financial instruments is a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-08 Yuki Takemoto

We present data-dependent learning bounds for the general scenario of non-stationary non-mixing stochastic processes. Our learning guarantees are expressed in terms of a data-dependent measure of sequential complexity and a discrepancy…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-03-16 Vitaly Kuznetsov , Mehryar Mohri

Can a neural network trained by the time series of system A be used to predict the evolution of system B? This problem, knowing as transfer learning in a broad sense, is of great importance in machine learning and data mining, yet has not…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2021-02-23 Yali Guo , Han Zhang , Liang Wang , Huawei Fan , Xingang Wang

In applications of dynamical systems, situations can arise where it is desired to predict the onset of synchronization as it can lead to characteristic and significant changes in the system performance and behaviors, for better or worse. In…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2021-06-30 Huawei Fan , Ling-Wei Kong , Ying-Cheng Lai , Xingang Wang

This article presents a general framework for recovering missing dynamical systems using available data and machine learning techniques. The proposed framework reformulates the prediction problem as a supervised learning problem to…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-10-20 John Harlim , Shixiao W. Jiang , Senwei Liang , Haizhao Yang

Machine learning methods have shown promise in learning chaotic dynamical systems, enabling model-free short-term prediction and attractor reconstruction. However, when applied to large-scale, spatiotemporally chaotic systems, purely…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2026-01-09 Kuei-Jan Chu , Nozomi Akashi , Akihiro Yamamoto

Learning physical dynamics from data is a fundamental challenge in machine learning and scientific modeling. Real-world observational data are inherently incomplete and irregularly sampled, posing significant challenges for existing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-04 Zihan Zhou , Chenguang Wang , Hongyi Ye , Yongtao Guan , Tianshu Yu

Learning network dynamics from the empirical structure and spatio-temporal observation data is crucial to revealing the interaction mechanisms of complex networks in a wide range of domains. However, most existing methods only aim at…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-22 Jiaxu Cui , Bingyi Sun , Jiming Liu , Bo Yang

Generating long-term trajectories of dissipative chaotic systems autoregressively is a highly challenging task. The inherent positive Lyapunov exponents amplify prediction errors over time. Many chaotic systems possess a crucial property -…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2025-05-27 Yi He , Yiming Yang , Xiaoyuan Cheng , Hai Wang , Xiao Xue , Boli Chen , Yukun Hu