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The earth system is exceedingly complex and often chaotic in nature, making prediction incredibly challenging: we cannot expect to make perfect predictions all of the time. Instead, we look for specific states of the system that lead to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-05 Elizabeth A. Barnes , Randal J. Barnes

Models characterized by autoregressive structure and random coefficients are powerful tools for the analysis of high-frequency, high-dimensional and volatile time series. The available literature on such models is broad, but also sectorial,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-18 Marta Regis , Paulo Serra , Edwin R. van den Heuvel

We introduce milearn, a Python package for multi-instance learning (MIL) that follows the familiar scikit-learn fit/predict interface while providing a unified framework for both classical and neural-network-based MIL algorithms for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-02 Dmitry Zankov , Pavlo Polishchuk , Michal Sobieraj , Mario Barbatti

Performance-critical industrial applications, including large-scale program, network, and distributed system analyses, are increasingly reliant on recursive queries for data analysis. Yet traditional relational algebra-based query…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2024-03-20 Anna Herlihy , Guillaume Martres , Anastasia Ailamaki , Martin Odersky

Modelling a complex system is almost invariably a challenging task. The incorporation of experimental observations can be used to improve the quality of a model, and thus to obtain better predictions about the behavior of the corresponding…

计算物理 · 物理学 2015-11-24 Massimiliano Bonomi , Carlo Camilloni , Andrea Cavalli , Michele Vendruscolo

The paper presents a new efficient and robust method for rare event probability estimation for computational models of an engineering product or a process returning categorical information only, for example, either success or failure. For…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2022-10-11 Miroslav Vořechovský

Rare events in molecular dynamics are often related to noise-induced transitions between different macroscopic states (e.g., in protein folding). A common feature of these rare transitions is that they happen on timescales that are on…

Solving chance-constrained stochastic optimal control problems is a significant challenge in control. This is because no analytical solutions exist for up to a handful of special cases. A common and computationally efficient approach for…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-10-05 Alexandre Capone , Tim Brüdigam , Sandra Hirche

Rare events are occurrences that take place with a significantly lower frequency than more common regular events. In manufacturing, predicting such events is particularly important, as they lead to unplanned downtime, shortening equipment…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-07-03 Chathurangi Shyalika , Ruwan Wickramarachchi , Fadi El Kalach , Ramy Harik , Amit Sheth

Generative modeling of high-dimensional data is a key problem in machine learning. Successful approaches include latent variable models and autoregressive models. The complementary strengths of these approaches, to model global and local…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-04-19 Thomas Lucas , Jakob Verbeek

Due to their flexibility and superior performance, machine learning models frequently complement and outperform traditional statistical survival models. However, their widespread adoption is hindered by a lack of user-friendly tools to…

Reliable detection and classification of power system events are critical for maintaining grid stability and situational awareness. Existing approaches often depend on limited labeled datasets, which restricts their ability to generalize to…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-22 Yi Hu , Zheyuan Cheng

Existing approaches of prescriptive analytics -- where inputs of an optimization model can be predicted by leveraging covariates in a machine learning model -- often attempt to optimize the mean value of an uncertain objective. However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-05 Dimitris Bertsimas , Benjamin Boucher

Running complex sets of machine learning experiments is challenging and time-consuming due to the lack of a unified framework. This leaves researchers forced to spend time implementing necessary features such as parallelization, caching,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-22 Zac Pullar-Strecker , Xinglong Chang , Liam Brydon , Ioannis Ziogas , Katharina Dost , Jörg Wicker

This paper provides a detailed introductory description of Subset Simulation, an advanced stochastic simulation method for estimation of small probabilities of rare failure events. A simple and intuitive derivation of the method is given…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-05-14 Konstantin Zuev

Discovering statistically significant patterns from databases is an important challenging problem. The main obstacle of this problem is in the difficulty of taking into account the selection bias, i.e., the bias arising from the fact that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-03-10 Shinya Suzumura , Kazuya Nakagawa , Mahito Sugiyama , Koji Tsuda , Ichiro Takeuchi

Rare events, despite their infrequency, often carry critical information and require immediate attentions in mission-critical applications such as autonomous driving, healthcare, and industrial automation. The data-intensive nature of these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-07 You Zhou , Changsheng You , Kaibin Huang

Fine-Grained Change Detection and Regression Analysis are essential in many applications of ArtificialIntelligence. In practice, this task is often challenging owing to the lack of reliable ground truth information andcomplexity arising…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-12 Niall O' Mahony , Sean Campbell , Lenka Krpalkova , Joseph Walsh , Daniel Riordan

Survival analysis is a hotspot in statistical research for modeling time-to-event information with data censorship handling, which has been widely used in many applications such as clinical research, information system and other fields with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-14 Kan Ren , Jiarui Qin , Lei Zheng , Zhengyu Yang , Weinan Zhang , Lin Qiu , Yong Yu

A central challenge of meta-analysis is that the populations underlying existing studies often differ from the target population in unknown ways. We study the problem of predicting function-valued quantities, such as regression and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-28 Wenqi Shi , Kosuke Imai , Yi Zhang