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The variance--covariance matrix plays a central role in the inferential theories of high-dimensional factor models in finance and economics. Popular regularization methods of directly exploiting sparsity are not directly applicable to many…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-03-15 Jianqing Fan , Yuan Liao , Martina Mincheva

Tensor time series data appears naturally in a lot of fields, including finance and economics. As a major dimension reduction tool, similar to its factor model counterpart, the idiosyncratic components of a tensor time series factor model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-09 Weilin Chen , Clifford Lam

Functional linear regression is an important topic in functional data analysis. It is commonly assumed that samples of the functional predictor are independent realizations of an underlying stochastic process, and are observed over a grid…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-15 Cheng Chen , Shaojun Guo , Xinghao Qiao

Models with latent factors recently attract a lot of attention. However, most investigations focus on linear regression models and thus cannot capture nonlinearity. To address this issue, we propose a novel Factor Augmented Single-Index…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-07 Yanmei Shi , Meiling Hao , Yanlin Tang , Heng Lian , Xu Guo

We introduce a covariance matrix estimator that both takes into account the heteroskedasticity of financial returns (by using an exponentially weighted moving average) and reduces the effective dimensionality of the estimation (and hence…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Szilard Pafka , Marc Potters , Imre Kondor

We consider the problem of detecting deviations from a white noise assumption in time series. Our approach differs from the numerous methods proposed for this purpose with respect to two aspects. First, we allow for non-stationary time…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-11-12 Patrick Bastian

This paper develops a new statistical inference theory for the precision matrix of high-frequency data in a high-dimensional setting. The focus is not only on point estimation but also on interval estimation and hypothesis testing for…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-05-20 Yuta Koike

Testing for white noise is a classical yet important problem in statistics, especially for diagnostic checks in time series modeling and linear regression. For high-dimensional time series in the sense that the dimension $p$ is large in…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-11-26 Zeng Li , Clifford Lam , Jianfeng Yao , Qiwei Yao

Estimation of a precision matrix (i.e., inverse covariance matrix) is widely used to exploit conditional independence among continuous variables. The influence of abnormal observations is exacerbated in a high dimensional setting as the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-17 Peng Tang , Huijing Jiang , Heeyoung Kim , Xinwei Deng

We reconcile the two worlds of dense and sparse modeling by exploiting the positive aspects of both. We employ a factor model and assume {the dynamic of the factors is non-pervasive while} the idiosyncratic term follows a sparse vector…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-25 Jonas Krampe , Luca Margaritella

I develop a feasible weighted projected principal component (FPPC) analysis for factor models in which observable characteristics partially explain the latent factors. This novel method provides more efficient and accurate estimators than…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-05-23 Sung Hoon Choi

The problem of prediction in functional linear regression is conventionally addressed by reducing dimension via the standard principal component basis. In this paper we show that an alternative basis chosen through weighted least-squares,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-02-20 Aurore Delaigle , Peter Hall , Tatiyana V. Apanasovich

We propose a novel approximate factor model tailored for analyzing time-dependent curve data. Our model decomposes such data into two distinct components: a low-dimensional predictable factor component and an unpredictable error term. These…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-02-26 Sven Otto , Nazarii Salish

Locally adapted parameterizations of a model (such as locally weighted regression) are expressive but often suffer from high variance. We describe an approach for reducing the variance, based on the idea of estimating simultaneously a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-07-03 Doina Precup , Philip Bachman

The complexity of semiparametric models poses new challenges to statistical inference and model selection that frequently arise from real applications. In this work, we propose new estimation and variable selection procedures for the…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-03-09 Bo Kai , Runze Li , Hui Zou

We consider the problem of state estimation in dynamical systems and propose a different mechanism for handling unmodeled system uncertainties. Instead of injecting random process noise, we assign different weights to measurements so that…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2020-09-08 Yaron Shulami , Daniel Sigalov

We propose a new estimator for the high-dimensional linear regression model with observation error in the design where the number of coefficients is potentially larger than the sample size. The main novelty of our procedure is that the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-09 Alexandre Belloni , Abhishek Kaul , Mathieu Rosenbaum

Standard system identification methods often provide inconsistent estimates with closed-loop data. With the prediction error method (PEM), this issue is solved by using a noise model that is flexible enough to capture the noise spectrum.…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-09-07 Miguel Galrinho , Cristian R. Rojas , Hakan Hjalmarsson

In this paper, we consider the Group Lasso estimator of the covariance matrix of a stochastic process corrupted by an additive noise. We propose to estimate the covariance matrix in a high-dimensional setting under the assumption that the…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-10-26 Jérémie Bigot , Rolando Biscay , Jean-Michel Loubes , Lilian Muniz Alvarez

A basic principle in the design of observational studies is to approximate the randomized experiment that would have been conducted under controlled circumstances. Now, linear regression models are commonly used to analyze observational…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-08 Ambarish Chattopadhyay , Jose R. Zubizarreta