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The synthetic control method (SCM) is widely used for causal inference with panel data, particularly when the number of treated units is small. It relies on the stable unit treatment value assumption (SUTVA), ruling out spillover effects.…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-26 Shosei Sakaguchi , Hayato Tagawa

In cities, the creation of public transport infrastructure such as light rails can cause changes on a very detailed spatial scale, with different stories unfolding next to each other within a same urban neighborhood. We study the direct…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-11-28 Giulio Grossi , Marco Mariani , Alessandra Mattei , Patrizia Lattarulo , Özge Öner

The Florence branch of an Italian supermarket chain recently implemented a strategy that permanently lowered the price of numerous store brands in several product categories. To quantify the impact of such a policy change, researchers often…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-02-23 Fiammetta Menchetti , Iavor Bojinov

Stepped wedge cluster randomized trials (SWCRTs) often face challenges with potential confounding by time trends. Traditional frequentist methods can fail to provide adequate coverage of the intervention's true effect using confidence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-02 Danni Wu , Hyung G. Park , Corita R. Grudzen , Keith S. Goldfeld

Synthetic control (SC) methods are commonly used to estimate the treatment effect on a single treated unit in panel data settings. An SC is a weighted average of control units built to match the treated unit, with weights typically…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-21 Xu Shi , Kendrick Li , Wang Miao , Mengtong Hu , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Spatially varying coefficients (SVC) models allow for marginal effects to be non-stationary over space and thus offer a higher degree of flexibility with respect to standard geostatistical models with external drift. At the same time, SVC…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-27 Yacine Mohamed Idir , Thomas Romary

Synthetic control (SC) methods are widely used to estimate the effects of policy interventions, especially those targeting specific geographic regions, referred to as units. These methods construct a weighted combination of untreated units,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-04 Esteban Fernández-Morales , Arman Oganisian , Youjin Lee

Synthetic control methods have gained popularity among causal studies with observational data, particularly when estimating the impacts of the interventions that are implemented to a small number of large units. Implementing the synthetic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-29 Gyuhyeong Goh , Jisang Yu

In this work, we design a machine learning based method, online adaptive primal support vector regression (SVR), to model the implied volatility surface (IVS). The algorithm proposed is the first derivation and implementation of an online…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-06-08 Yaxiong Zeng , Diego Klabjan

Synthetic control methods are widely used to estimate the treatment effect on a single treated unit in time-series settings. A common approach to estimate synthetic control weights is to regress the treated unit's pre-treatment outcome and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-06 Chan Park , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Estimating weights in the synthetic control method, typically resulting in sparse weights where only a few control units have non-zero weights, involves an optimization procedure that selects and combines control units to closely match the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-03 Rong J. B. Zhu

Spatial concurrent linear models, in which the model coefficients are spatial processes varying at a local level, are flexible and useful tools for analyzing spatial data. One approach places stationary Gaussian process priors on the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-02-03 Zuofeng Shang , Murray K. Clayton

Traditional regression models assume stationary relationships between predictors and responses, failing to capture the spatial heterogeneity present in many environmental, epidemiological, and ecological processes. To address this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-27 Justice Akuoko-Frimpong , Edward Shao , Jonathan Ta

This paper proposes a fast two-stage variational Bayesian (VB) algorithm to estimate unrestricted panel spatial autoregressive models. Using Dirichlet-Laplace priors, we are able to uncover the spatial relationships between cross-sectional…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-08-23 Deborah Gefang , Stephen G. Hall , George S. Tavlas

The synthetic control method (SCM) is a popular approach for estimating the impact of a treatment on a single unit in panel data settings. The "synthetic control" is a weighted average of control units that balances the treated unit's…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-24 Eli Ben-Michael , Avi Feller , Jesse Rothstein

Cluster randomized trials (CRTs) offer a practical alternative for addressing logistical challenges and ensuring feasibility in community health, education, and prevention studies, even though randomized controlled trials are considered the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-30 Jooyeon Lee , M. S. , Evan Kwiatkowski , Ph. D

Many events and policies (treatments) occur at specific spatial locations, with researchers interested in their effects on nearby units. I approach the spatial treatment setting from an experimental perspective: What ideal experiment would…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-27 Michael Pollmann

Estimating causal effects on time-to-event outcomes from observational data is particularly challenging due to censoring, limited sample sizes, and non-random treatment assignment. The need for answering such "when-if" questions--how the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-19 Jessy Xinyi Han , Devavrat Shah

Spatial scheduling of electrode activation ("rastering") is essential for safely operating high-density retinal implants, yet its perceptual consequences remain poorly understood. This study systematically evaluates the impact of raster…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2025-06-25 Justin M. Kasowski , Apurv Varshney , Roksana Sadeghi , Michael Beyeler

Spatial functional data arise in many settings, such as particulate matter curves observed at monitoring stations and age population curves at each areal unit. Most existing functional regression models have limited applicability because…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-25 Heesang Lee , Dagun Oh , Sunhwa Choi , Jaewoo Park
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