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相关论文: Adaptive sample splitting for randomization tests

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Randomization tests and flexible treatment-effect models offer complementary strengths for analyzing data from randomized panel experiments: the former provide valid inference under the known assignment mechanism, while the latter can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Fangnan Zheng , Yao Zhang

Randomized experiments are the gold standard for estimating the average treatment effect (ATE). While covariate adjustment can reduce the asymptotic variances of the unbiased Horvitz-Thompson estimators for the ATE, it suffers from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-22 Xin Lu , Lei Shi , Hanzhong Liu , Peng Ding

Randomized clinical trials are the gold standard when estimating the average treatment effect. However, they are usually not a random sample from the real-world population because of the inclusion/exclusion rules. Meanwhile, observational…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-11 Kuan Jiang , Wenjie Hu , Shu Yang , Xinxing Lai , Xiaohua Zhou

Testing whether a variable of interest affects the outcome is one of the most fundamental problem in statistics and is often the main scientific question of interest. To tackle this problem, the conditional randomization test (CRT) is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-26 Dae Woong Ham , Jiaze Qiu

Randomized controlled trials often enroll participants whose characteristics differ from those of a target population, which can limit the generalizability of the estimated treatment effects when effect modifiers differ across populations.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-15 Lan Wen , Issa J. Dahabreh , Yu-Han Chiu

This study designs an adaptive experiment for efficiently estimating average treatment effects (ATEs). In each round of our adaptive experiment, an experimenter sequentially samples an experimental unit, assigns a treatment, and observes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-21 Masahiro Kato , Akihiro Oga , Wataru Komatsubara , Ryo Inokuchi

Conditional average treatment effect (CATE) estimation is the de facto gold standard for targeting a treatment to a heterogeneous population. The method estimates treatment effects up to an error $\epsilon > 0$ in each of $M$ different…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-12 Sílvia Casacuberta , Moritz Hardt

The conditional average treatment effect (CATE) is the best measure of individual causal effects given baseline covariates. However, the CATE only captures the (conditional) average, and can overlook risks and tail events, which are…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-05 Nathan Kallus , Miruna Oprescu

Randomized experiments can provide unbiased estimates of sample average treatment effects. However, estimates of population treatment effects can be biased when the experimental sample and the target population differ. In this case, the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-10 Wenqi Shi , Xi Lin

We study how to efficiently estimate average treatment effects (ATEs) using adaptive experiments. In adaptive experiments, experimenters sequentially assign treatments to experimental units while updating treatment assignment probabilities…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-21 Masahiro Kato , Takuya Ishihara , Junya Honda , Yusuke Narita

Disparate treatment occurs when a machine learning model yields different decisions for individuals based on a sensitive attribute (e.g., age, sex). In domains where prediction accuracy is paramount, it could potentially be acceptable to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-15 Hao Wang , Hsiang Hsu , Mario Diaz , Flavio P. Calmon

A/B testing is an important decision-making tool in product development for evaluating user engagement or satisfaction from a new service, feature or product. The goal of A/B testing is to estimate the average treatment effects (ATE) of a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-21 Yifan Zhou , Yang Liu , Ping Li , Feifang Hu

In this paper, we introduce AdaSelection, an adaptive sub-sampling method to identify the most informative sub-samples within each minibatch to speed up the training of large-scale deep learning models without sacrificing model performance.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Minghe Zhang , Chaosheng Dong , Jinmiao Fu , Tianchen Zhou , Jia Liang , Jia Liu , Bo Liu , Michinari Momma , Bryan Wang , Yan Gao , Yi Sun

We develop a theoretical framework for sample splitting in A/B testing environments, where data for each test are partitioned into two splits to measure methodological performance when the true impacts of tests are unobserved. We show that…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-24 Ryan Kessler , James McQueen , Miikka Rokkanen

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) frequently utilize covariate-adaptive randomization (CAR) (e.g., stratified block randomization) and commonly suffer from imperfect compliance. This paper studies the identification and inference for the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-05-02 Federico A. Bugni , Mengsi Gao , Filip Obradovic , Amilcar Velez

In a cluster-randomized experiment, treatment is assigned to clusters of individual units of interest--households, classrooms, villages, etc.--instead of the units themselves. The number of clusters sampled and the number of units sampled…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-20 Yeng Xiong , Michael J. Higgins

Quantifying treatment effect heterogeneity is a crucial task in many areas of causal inference, e.g. optimal treatment allocation and estimation of subgroup effects. We study the problem of estimating the level sets of the conditional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-03 Matteo Bonvini , Edward H. Kennedy , Luke J. Keele

Controlled experiments are widely used in many applications to investigate the causal relationship between input factors and experimental outcomes. A completely randomized design is usually used to randomly assign treatment levels to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Yiou Li , Lulu Kang , Xiao Huang

Treatment effect estimates are often available from randomized controlled trials as a single average treatment effect for a certain patient population. Estimates of the conditional average treatment effect (CATE) are more useful for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-12 Wouter A. C. van Amsterdam , Rajesh Ranganath

As predictive algorithms grow in popularity, using the same dataset to both train and test a new model has become routine across research, policy, and industry. Sample-splitting attains valid inference on model properties by using separate…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-27 Bruno Fava
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