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相关论文: Efficient Testing Using Surrogate Information

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Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) often suffer from limited inferential efficiency in estimating treatment effects due to their small sample sizes. In recent years, incorporating external controls (ECs) has gained increasing attention as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-16 Qinwei Yang , Jingyi Li , Peng Wu , Shu Yang

We propose Active Surrogate Estimators (ASEs), a new method for label-efficient model evaluation. Evaluating model performance is a challenging and important problem when labels are expensive. ASEs address this active testing problem using…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-20 Jannik Kossen , Sebastian Farquhar , Yarin Gal , Tom Rainforth

We study the problem of model selection in causal inference, specifically for conditional average treatment effect (CATE) estimation. Unlike machine learning, there is no perfect analogue of cross-validation for model selection as we do not…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-30 Divyat Mahajan , Ioannis Mitliagkas , Brady Neal , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Biomedical studies that use electronic health records (EHR) data for inference are often subject to bias due to measurement error. The measurement error present in EHR data is typically complex, consisting of errors of unknown functional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-16 Eric J. Oh , Bryan E. Shepherd , Thomas Lumley , Pamela A. Shaw

Testing for nonlinearity is one of the most important preprocessing steps in nonlinear time series analysis. Typically, this is done by means of the linear surrogate data methods. But it is a known fact that the validity of the results…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-02-01 Diego Guarin , Edilson Delgado , Alvaro Orozco

For semi-supervised techniques to be applied safely in practice we at least want methods to outperform their supervised counterparts. We study this question for classification using the well-known quadratic surrogate loss function. Using a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-02-26 Jesse H. Krijthe , Marco Loog

Sample efficiency in the face of computationally expensive simulations is a common concern in surrogate modeling. Current strategies to minimize the number of samples needed are not as effective in simulated environments with wide state…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Julen Cestero , Marco Quartulli , Marcello Restelli

This paper investigates efficient Difference-in-Differences (DiD) and Event Study (ES) estimation using short panel data sets within the heterogeneous treatment effect framework, free from parametric functional form assumptions and allowing…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-24 Xiaohong Chen , Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna , Haitian Xie

It is not uncommon that meta-heuristic algorithms contain some intrinsic parameters, the optimal configuration of which is crucial for achieving their peak performance. However, evaluating the effectiveness of a configuration is expensive,…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2019-02-01 Ke Li , Zilin Xiang , Kay Chen Tan

We study inference with a small labeled sample, a large unlabeled sample, and high-quality predictions from an external model. We link prediction-powered inference with empirical likelihood by stacking supervised estimating equations based…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-19 Guanghui Wang , Mengtao Wen , Changliang Zou

External controls (ECs) from historical trials or real-world data have gained increasing attention as a way to augment hybrid and single-arm trials, especially when balanced randomization is infeasible. While most existing work has focused…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-15 Yujing Gao , Xiang Zhang , Shu Yang

Simulations of optical quantum systems are essential for the development of quantum technologies. However, these simulations are often computationally intensive, especially when repeated evaluations are required for data fitting, parameter…

In this work, we develop a neural network-based method to convert a noisy motion signal generated from segmenting rebinned list-mode cardiac SPECT images, to that of a high-quality surrogate signal, such as those seen from external motion…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-08-03 Akshay Iyer , Clifford Lindsay , Hendrik Pretorius , Michael King

Surrogate modelling techniques have seen growing attention in recent years when applied to both modelling and optimisation of industrial design problems. These techniques are highly relevant when assessing the performance of a particular…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-14 Nicolau Andrés-Thió , Mario Andrés Muñoz , Kate Smith-Miles

This article proposes different tests for treatment effect heterogeneity when the outcome of interest, typically a duration variable, may be right-censored. The proposed tests study whether a policy 1) has zero distributional (average)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-19 Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna

Hierarchically-organized data arise naturally in many psychology and neuroscience studies. As the standard assumption of independent and identically distributed samples does not hold for such data, two important problems are to accurately…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-09-03 Irene Dowding , Stefan Haufe

Test-Time Adaptation (TTA) has recently emerged as a promising strategy for tackling the problem of machine learning model robustness under distribution shifts by adapting the model during inference without access to any labels. Because of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-22 Sebastian Cygert , Damian Sójka , Tomasz Trzciński , Bartłomiej Twardowski

Hypothesis testing and other statistical inference procedures are most efficient when a reliable low-dimensional parametric family can be specified. We propose a method that learns such a family when one exists but its form is not known a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-11-29 William Fithian , Daniel Ting

How should researchers conduct causal inference when the outcome of interest is latent and measured imperfectly by multiple indicators? We develop a general nonparametric framework for identifying and estimating average treatment effects on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-22 Jiawei Fu , Donald P. Green

We consider optimal experimental design for parameter estimation in dynamical systems governed by controlled ordinary differential equations. In such problems, Fisher-based criteria are attractive because they lead to time-additive…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-04-08 Luc de Montella , Sebastian Sager