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This paper investigates multistep prediction errors for non-stationary autoregressive processes with both model order and true parameters unknown. We give asymptotic expressions for the multistep mean squared prediction errors and…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-06-15 Ching-Kang Ing , Jin-Lung Lin , Shu-Hui Yu

We present a model of roundoff error analysis that combines simplicity with predictive power. Though not considering all sources of roundoff within an algorithm, the model is related to a recursive roundoff error analysis and therefore…

数值分析 · 数学 2010-06-01 Folkmar Bornemann

We demonstrate via several examples how the backward error viewpoint can be used in the analysis of solutions obtained by perturbation methods. We show that this viewpoint is quite general and offers several important advantages. Perhaps…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-09-07 Robert M. Corless , Nicolas Fillion

The a posteriori analysis of the discretization error and the modeling error is studied for a compliance cost functional in the context of the optimization of composite elastic materials and a two-scale linearized elasticity model. A…

数值分析 · 数学 2017-03-14 Sergio Conti , Benedict Geihe , Martin Lenz , Martin Rumpf

Understanding the dynamics of complex systems is a central task in many different areas ranging from biology via epidemics to economics and engineering. Unexpected behaviour of dynamic systems or even system failure is sometimes difficult…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-03-25 Dominik Kahl , Andreas Weber , Maik Kschischo

In meteorology, engineering and computer sciences, data assimilation is routinely employed as the optimal way to combine noisy observations with prior model information for obtaining better estimates of a state, and thus better forecasts,…

地球物理 · 物理学 2009-08-12 M. J. Werner , K. Ide , D. Sornette

Retrosynthesis is the task of breaking down a chemical compound recursively step-by-step into molecular precursors until a set of commercially available molecules is found. Consequently, the goal is to provide a valid synthesis route for a…

Multilevel methods represent a powerful approach in numerical solution of partial differential equations. The multilevel structure can also be used to construct estimates for total and algebraic errors of computed approximations. This paper…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-05-13 Petr Vacek , Jan Papež , Zdeněk Strakoš

We guide the reader on a journey through mathematical modeling and numerical analysis, emphasizing the crucial interplay of both disciplines. Targeting undergraduate students with basic knowledge in dynamical systems and numerical methods…

历史与综述 · 数学 2025-08-12 Cordula Reisch , Hendrik Ranocha

A posteriori error estimates are constructed for the three-field variational formulation of the Biot problem involving the displacements, the total pressure and the fluid pressure. The discretization under focus is the…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-11-19 F. Bertrand , G. Starke

Characterization, correlation and provenance determination of tephra samples in sedimentary sections (tephrochronological studies) are powerful tools for establishing ages of depositional events, volcanic eruptions, and tephra dispersion.…

The rigorous quantification of uncertainty in geophysical inversions is a challenging problem. Inversions are often ill-posed and the likelihood surface may be multi-modal; properties of any single mode become inadequate uncertainty…

Sample-based Bayesian inference provides a route to uncertainty quantification in the geosciences, and inverse problems in general, though is very computationally demanding in the naive form that requires simulating an accurate computer…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-04-12 Tiangang Cui , Colin Fox , Michael J O'Sullivan

While physics-based computing can offer speed and energy efficiency compared to digital computing, it also is subject to errors that must be mitigated. For example, many error mitigation methods have been proposed for quantum computing.…

新兴技术 · 计算机科学 2024-01-30 Maxwell Aifer , Denis Melanson , Kaelan Donatella , Gavin Crooks , Thomas Ahle , Patrick J. Coles

A research frontier has emerged in scientific computation, wherein numerical error is regarded as a source of epistemic uncertainty that can be modelled. This raises several statistical challenges, including the design of statistical…

In this article, we present an overview of different a posteriori error analysis and postprocessing methods proposed in the context of nonlinear eigenvalue problems, e.g. arising inelectronic structure calculations for the calculation of…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-08-16 Geneviève Dusson , Yvon Maday

Bayesian inversions followed by estimations of rare event probabilities are often needed to analyse groundwater hazards. Instead of focusing on the posterior distribution of model parameters, the main interest lies then in the distribution…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-01-25 Lea Friedli , Niklas Linde

The reliable statistical characterization of the spatial and temporal properties of large earthquakes occurrence is one of the most debated issues in seismic hazard assessment, due to the unavoidably limited observations from past events.…

地球物理 · 物理学 2014-11-05 Antonella Peresan , Alexander Gorshkov , Alexander Soloviev , Giuliano F. Panza

Mixed-dimensional elliptic equations exhibiting a hierarchical structure are commonly used to model problems with high aspect ratio inclusions, such as flow in fractured porous media. We derive general abstract estimates based on the theory…

Trajectory-based data attribution methods estimate the influence of training samples on model predictions by unrolling the training trajectory. They are widely used in applications such as data selection, data valuation, and model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-20 Junwei Deng , Pingbang Hu , Suliang Jin , Hao Lu , Jiachen T. Wang , Shichang Zhang , Jiaqi W. Ma