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We consider the problem of assessing whether, in an individual case, there is a causal relationship between an observed exposure and a response variable. When data are available on similar individuals we may be able to estimate prospective…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-11-15 Monica Musio , Philip Dawid

Detecting and measuring confounding effects from data is a key challenge in causal inference. Existing methods frequently assume causal sufficiency, disregarding the presence of unobserved confounding variables. Causal sufficiency is both…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-09-27 Abbavaram Gowtham Reddy , Vineeth N Balasubramanian

Analyses of causal mediation often involve exposure-induced confounders or, relatedly, multiple mediators. In such applications, researchers aim to estimate a variety of different quantities, including interventional direct and indirect…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-18 Jesse Zhou , Geoffrey T. Wodtke

Causal inference from observational data often rests on the unverifiable assumption of no unmeasured confounding. Recently, Tchetgen Tchetgen and colleagues have introduced proximal inference to leverage negative control outcomes and…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-08-10 Raluca Cobzaru , Roy Welsch , Stan Finkelstein , Kenney Ng , Zach Shahn

The task of inferring high-level causal variables from low-level observations, commonly referred to as causal representation learning, is fundamentally underconstrained. As such, recent works to address this problem focus on various…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-03-26 Simon Bing , Urmi Ninad , Jonas Wahl , Jakob Runge

Algorithms and technologies are essential tools that pervade all aspects of our daily lives. In the last decades, health care research benefited from new computer-based recruiting methods, the use of federated architectures for data…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2023-01-26 Chiara Criscuolo , Tommaso Dolci , Mattia Salnitri

The Stable Unit Treatment Value Assumption (SUTVA) includes the condition that there are no multiple versions of treatment in causal inference. Though we could not control the implementation of treatment in observational studies, multiple…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-05 Kohei Yoshikawa , Shuichi Kawano

We show that causal effects can be identified when there is bunching in the distribution of a continuous treatment variable, without imposing any parametric assumptions. This yields a new nonparametric method for overcoming selection bias…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-08 Carolina Caetano , Gregorio Caetano , Leonard Goff , Eric Nielsen

Return-to-baseline is an important method to impute missing values or unobserved potential outcomes when certain hypothetical strategies are used to handle intercurrent events in clinical trials. Current return-to-baseline approaches seen…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-19 Yongming Qu , Biyue Dai

Diagnostic accuracy studies assess sensitivity and specificity of a new index test in relation to an established comparator or the reference standard. The development and selection of the index test is usually assumed to be conducted prior…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-30 Max Westphal , Antonia Zapf

Mediation analysis aims at disentangling the effects of a treatment on an outcome through alternative causal mechanisms and has become a popular practice in biomedical and social science applications. The causal framework based on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-27 Allan Jerolon , Laura Baglietto , Etienne Birmele , Vittorio Perduca , Flora Alarcon

Causal effect estimation from observational data is a crucial but challenging task. Currently, only a limited number of data-driven causal effect estimation methods are available. These methods either provide only a bound estimation of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-10 Debo Cheng , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Kui Yu , Thuc Duy Lee , Jixue Liu

With recent advances in natural language processing, rationalization becomes an essential self-explaining diagram to disentangle the black box by selecting a subset of input texts to account for the major variation in prediction. Yet,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-12 Wenbo Zhang , Tong Wu , Yunlong Wang , Yong Cai , Hengrui Cai

Multi-touch attribution (MTA), aiming to estimate the contribution of each advertisement touchpoint in conversion journeys, is essential for budget allocation and automatically advertising. Existing methods first train a model to predict…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2022-07-22 Di Yao , Chang Gong , Lei Zhang , Sheng Chen , Jingping Bi

The multiple-biomarker classifier problem and its assessment are reviewed against the background of some fundamental principles from the field of statistical pattern recognition, machine learning, or the recently so-called "data science". A…

基因组学 · 定量生物学 2019-11-01 Waleed A. Yousef

In the field of road safety, it is common to use responsibility analyses to assess the effect of a given factor on the risk of being responsible for an accident, among drivers involved in an accident only. Even if this design is now widely…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-10-16 Marine Dufournet , Emilie Lanoy , Jean-Louis Martin , Vivian Viallon

We present CEMA: Causal Explanations in Multi-Agent systems; a framework for creating causal natural language explanations of an agent's decisions in dynamic sequential multi-agent systems to build more trustworthy autonomous agents. Unlike…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-02-15 Balint Gyevnar , Cheng Wang , Christopher G. Lucas , Shay B. Cohen , Stefano V. Albrecht

The assumption of no unmeasured confounders is a critical but unverifiable assumption required for causal inference yet quantitative sensitivity analyses to assess robustness of real-world evidence remains underutilized. The lack of use is…

Causal inference is a science with multi-disciplinary evolution and applications. On the one hand, it measures effects of treatments in observational data based on experimental designs and rigorous statistical inference to draw causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-05 Jingying Zeng , Run Wang

Meta-analysis is commonly used to combine results from multiple clinical trials, but traditional meta-analysis methods do not refer explicitly to a population of individuals to whom the results apply and it is not clear how to use their…