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Sequential intraday electricity trading allows photovoltaic (PV) operators to reduce imbalance settlement costs as forecasts improve throughout the day. Yet deployable trading policies must jointly handle forecast uncertainty, intraday…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-17 Arega Getaneh Abate , Xiao-Bing Zhang , Xiufeng Liu , Ruyu Liu

Electricity price forecasting supports decision-making in energy markets and asset operation. Probabilistic forecasts are increasingly adopted to explicitly quantify uncertainty, typically issued as quantile predictions or ensembles of the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2026-04-22 Simon Hirsch , Florian Ziel

We study price formation in intraday electricity markets in the presence of intermittent renewable generation. We consider the setting where a major producer may interact strategically with a large number of small producers. Using…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2020-11-17 Olivier Féron , Peter Tankov , Laura Tinsi

The emerging paradigm of interconnected microgrids advocates energy trading or sharing among multiple microgrids. It helps make full use of the temporal availability of energy and diversity in operational costs when meeting various energy…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-06-12 Dafeng Zhu , Bo Yang , Qi Liu , Kai Ma , Shanying Zhu , Xinping Guan

Continuous intraday electricity markets play an increasingly important role in short-term trading and balancing, yet decision-making under rapidly evolving price dynamics remains challenging. This paper proposes a comprehensive framework…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-05-14 Andrzej Puć , Joanna Janczura

In this paper we examine the relation between market returns and volatility measures through machine learning methods in a high-frequency environment. We implement a minute-by-minute rolling window intraday estimation method using two…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-01-03 Iuri H. Ferreira , Marcelo C. Medeiros

High-frequency trading (HFT) represents a pivotal and intensely competitive domain within the financial markets. The velocity and accuracy of data processing exert a direct influence on profitability, underscoring the significance of this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-03 Yuxin Fan , Zhuohuan Hu , Lei Fu , Yu Cheng , Liyang Wang , Yuxiang Wang

Both in practice and in the academic literature, models for setting margin requirements in futures markets classically use daily closing price changes. However, as well documented by research on high-frequency data, financial markets have…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2011-03-29 John Cotter , François Longin

Variable renewable generation increases the challenge of balancing power supply and demand. Grid-scale batteries co-located with generation can help mitigate this misalignment. This paper explores the use of reinforcement learning (RL) for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-26 Caleb Ju , Constance Crozier

In response to the increasing deployment of battery storage systems for cost reduction and grid stress mitigation, this study presents the development of a new real-time Markov decision process model to efficiently schedule battery systems…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-09-17 Hussein Sharadga , Ahmad Dawahdeh , Golbon Zakeri , Abdullah Hayajneh , Geoff Pritchard

Addressing the ongoing examination of high-frequency trading practices in financial markets, we report the results of an extensive empirical study estimating the maximum possible profitability of the most aggressive such practices, and…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2010-09-15 Michael Kearns , Alex Kulesza , Yuriy Nevmyvaka

As the penetration level of transmission-scale time-intermittent renewable generation resources increases, control of flexible resources will become important to mitigating the fluctuations due to these new renewable resources. Flexible…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2011-07-11 Krishnamurthy Dvijotham , Scott Backhaus , Misha Chertkov

Lithium-ion batteries are increasingly being deployed in liberalised electricity systems, where their use is driven by economic optimisation in a specific market context. However, battery degradation depends strongly on operational profile,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-03-15 Jorn M. Reniers , Grietus Mulder , David A. Howey

This paper introduces a deep reinforcement learning (RL) framework for optimizing the operations of power plants pairing renewable energy with storage. The objective is to maximize revenue from energy markets while minimizing storage…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-16 Lucien Werner , Peeyush Kumar

In electricity markets around the world, the ability to anticipate price movements with precision can be the difference between profit and loss, especially for fast-acting assets like battery energy storage systems (BESS). As grid…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-07 Aymeric Fabre

The large-scale access of electric vehicles to the power grid not only provides flexible adjustment resources for the power system, but the temporal uncertainty and distribution complexity of their energy interaction pose significant…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-06-18 Hengyu Liu , Yanhong Luo , Congcong Wu , Yin Guan , Ahmed Lotfy Elrefai , Andreas Elombo , Si Li , Sahban Wael Saeed Alnaser , Mingyu Yan

This paper proposes a novel energy storage price arbitrage algorithm combining supervised learning with dynamic programming. The proposed approach uses a neural network to directly predicts the opportunity cost at different energy storage…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-11-22 Ningkun Zheng , Xiaoxiang Liu , Bolun Xu , Yuanyuan Shi

The rapid expansion of wind and solar energy leads to an increasing volatility in the electricity generation. Previous studies have shown that storage devices provide an opportunity to balance fluctuations in the power grid. An economical…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-11-06 Lars Siemer , Wided Medjroubi

This paper presents a novel model for simulating and analyzing sparse limit order books (LOBs), with a specific application to the European intraday electricity market. In illiquid markets, characterized by significant gaps between order…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-10-10 Philippe Bergault , Enzo Cognéville

When providing frequency regulation in a pay-for-performance market, batteries need to carefully balance the trade-off between following regulation signals and their degradation costs in real-time. Existing battery control strategies either…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-03-24 Bolun Xu , Yuanyuan Shi , Daniel S. Kirschen , Baosen Zhang