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Importance sampling is a Monte Carlo technique for efficiently estimating the likelihood of rare events by biasing the sampling distribution towards the rare event of interest. By drawing weighted samples from a learned proposal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-20 Liam A. Kruse , Marc R. Schlichting , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

In the context of Bayesian inversion for scientific and engineering modeling, Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling strategies are the benchmark due to their flexibility and robustness in dealing with arbitrary posterior probability density…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-12-07 Han Lu , Mohammad Khalil , Thomas Catanach , Jiefu Chen , Xuqing Wu , Xin Fu , Cosmin Safta , Yueqin Huang

We introduce interacting particle Markov chain Monte Carlo (iPMCMC), a PMCMC method based on an interacting pool of standard and conditional sequential Monte Carlo samplers. Like related methods, iPMCMC is a Markov chain Monte Carlo sampler…

We present a new algorithm for radiative transfer-based on a statistical Monte Carlo approach-that does not suffer from teleportation effects, on the one hand, and yields smooth results, on the other hand. Implicit Monte Carlo (IMC)…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2022-01-12 Elad Steinberg , Shay I. Heizler

We propose a sequential Markov chain Monte Carlo (SMCMC) algorithm to sample from a sequence of probability distributions, corresponding to posterior distributions at different times in on-line applications. SMCMC proceeds as in usual MCMC…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-08-20 Yun Yang , David B. Dunson

We propose a multilevel Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method for the Bayesian inference of random field parameters in PDEs using high-resolution data. Compared to existing multilevel MCMC methods, we additionally consider level-dependent…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-08-19 Pieter Vanmechelen , Geert Lombaert , Giovanni Samaey

We consider the problem of improving the efficiency of randomized Fourier feature maps to accelerate training and testing speed of kernel methods on large datasets. These approximate feature maps arise as Monte Carlo approximations to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-08-11 Haim Avron , Vikas Sindhwani , Jiyan Yang , Michael Mahoney

Decision making under uncertainty is critical to real-world, autonomous systems. Model Predictive Control (MPC) methods have demonstrated favorable performance in practice, but remain limited when dealing with complex probability…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2021-04-13 Alexander Lambert , Adam Fishman , Dieter Fox , Byron Boots , Fabio Ramos

This article reviews the application of advanced Monte Carlo techniques in the context of Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC). MLMC is a strategy employed to compute expectations which can be biased in some sense, for instance, by using the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-04-25 Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Carina Suciu

Monte-Carlo (MC) methods, based on random updates and the trial-and-error principle, are well suited to retrieve particle size distributions from small-angle scattering patterns of dilute solutions of scatterers. The size sensitivity of…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2013-03-19 Brian Richard Pauw , Jan-Skov Pedersen , Samuel Tardif , Masaki Takata , Bo Brummersted Iversen

Distributed learning methods have gained substantial momentum in recent years, with communication overhead often emerging as a critical bottleneck. Gradient compression techniques alleviate communication costs but involve an inherent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-09 Ze'ev Zukerman , Bassel Hamoud , Kfir Y. Levy

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are sampling methods that have become a commonly used tool in statistics, for example to perform Monte Carlo integration. As a consequence of the increase in computational power, many variations of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-06-14 F. Din-Houn Lau , Sebastian Krumscheid

Random sampling of graph partitions under constraints has become a popular tool for evaluating legislative redistricting plans. Analysts detect partisan gerrymandering by comparing a proposed redistricting plan with an ensemble of sampled…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-11-09 Cory McCartan , Kosuke Imai

Monte Carlo methods are widely used for approximating complicated, multidimensional integrals for Bayesian inference. Population Monte Carlo (PMC) is an important class of Monte Carlo methods, which utilizes a population of proposals to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-30 Chaofan Huang , V. Roshan Joseph , Simon Mak

A new Monte Carlo algorithm for phase-space sampling, named (MC)**3, is presented. It is based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo techniques but at the same time incorporates prior knowledge about the target distribution in the form of suitable…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2015-06-12 Kevin Kroeninger , Steffen Schumann , Benjamin Willenberg

We propose a novel class of Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms, appropriate for inference in probabilistic graphical models. This class of algorithms adopts a divide-and-conquer approach based upon an auxiliary tree-structured…

We introduce a general Monte Carlo method based on Nested Sampling (NS), for sampling complex probability distributions and estimating the normalising constant. The method uses one or more particles, which explore a mixture of nested…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-02-27 Brendon J. Brewer , Livia B. Pártay , Gábor Csányi

Bayesian analysis often concerns an evaluation of models with different dimensionality as is necessary in, for example, model selection or mixture models. To facilitate this evaluation, transdimensional Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-13 Daniel W. Heck , Antony M. Overstall , Quentin F. Gronau , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

Statistical signal processing applications usually require the estimation of some parameters of interest given a set of observed data. These estimates are typically obtained either by solving a multi-variate optimization problem, as in the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-07-27 D. Luengo , L. Martino , M. Bugallo , V. Elvira , S. Särkkä

In the first part of this paper we study approximations of trajectories of Piecewise Deter-ministic Processes (PDP) when the flow is not explicit by the thinning method. We also establish a strong error estimate for PDPs as well as a weak…

概率论 · 数学 2022-02-10 Vincent Lemaire , Michèle Thieullen , Nicolas Thomas