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Two major bottlenecks to the solution of large-scale Bayesian inverse problems are the scaling of posterior sampling algorithms to high-dimensional parameter spaces and the computational cost of forward model evaluations. Yet incomplete or…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-05-03 Tiangang Cui , Youssef M. Marzouk , Karen E. Willcox

In Bayesian regression models with categorical predictors, constraints are needed to ensure identifiability when using all $K$ levels of a factor. The sum-to-zero constraint is particularly useful as it allows coefficients to represent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-15 Zhi Ling , Shozen Dan

We revisit the replica method for analyzing inference and learning in parametric models, considering situations where the data-generating distribution is unknown or analytically intractable. Instead of assuming idealized distributions to…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2025-11-17 Takashi Takahashi

A framework is presented for fitting inverse problem models via variational Bayes approximations. This methodology guarantees flexibility to statistical model specification for a broad range of applications, good accuracy and reduced model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-05 Luca Maestrini , Robert G. Aykroyd , Matt P. Wand

Approximate Bayesian computation methods are useful for generative models with intractable likelihoods. These methods are however sensitive to the dimension of the parameter space, requiring exponentially increasing resources as this…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-02-09 Grégoire Clarté , Christian P. Robert , Robin Ryder , Julien Stoehr

Deep Gaussian processes provide a flexible approach to probabilistic modelling of data using either supervised or unsupervised learning. For tractable inference approximations to the marginal likelihood of the model must be made. The…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-12-04 James Hensman , Neil D. Lawrence

We investigate a local reparameterizaton technique for greatly reducing the variance of stochastic gradients for variational Bayesian inference (SGVB) of a posterior over model parameters, while retaining parallelizability. This local…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-12-22 Diederik P. Kingma , Tim Salimans , Max Welling

This book chapter introduces regression approaches and regression adjustment for Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC). Regression adjustment adjusts parameter values after rejection sampling in order to account for the imperfect match…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-06 Michael GB Blum

A nonparametric Bayes approach is proposed for the problem of estimating a sparse sequence based on Gaussian random variables. We adopt the popular two-group prior with one component being a point mass at zero, and the other component being…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-31 Yunbo Ouyang , Feng Liang

Filtering and smoothing algorithms for linear discrete-time state-space models with skew-t distributed measurement noise are presented. The proposed algorithms improve upon our earlier proposed filter and smoother using the mean field…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-03-22 Henri Nurminen , Tohid Ardeshiri , Robert Piche , Fredrik Gustafsson

We study the use of Gaussian process emulators to approximate the parameter-to-observation map or the negative log-likelihood in Bayesian inverse problems. We prove error bounds on the Hellinger distance between the true posterior…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-10-01 Andrew M. Stuart , Aretha L. Teckentrup

We introduce a novel one-parameter variational objective that lower bounds the data evidence and enables the estimation of approximate fractional posteriors. We extend this framework to hierarchical construction and Bayes posteriors,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-31 Kian Ming A. Chai , Edwin V. Bonilla

Exponential random graph models are an important tool in the statistical analysis of data. However, Bayesian parameter estimation for these models is extremely challenging, since evaluation of the posterior distribution typically involves…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-05-05 Lampros Bouranis , Nial Friel , Florian Maire

Variational inference (VI) is widely used for approximate inference in Bayesian machine learning. In addition to this practical success, generalization bounds for variational inference and related algorithms have been developed, mostly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-19 Yadi Wei , Roni Khardon

Linear mixed models are a versatile statistical tool to study data by accounting for fixed effects and random effects from multiple sources of variability. In many situations, a large number of candidate fixed effects is available and it is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-09 Emanuele Degani , Luca Maestrini , Dorota Toczydłowska , Matt P. Wand

We empirically evaluate a stochastic annealing strategy for Bayesian posterior optimization with variational inference. Variational inference is a deterministic approach to approximate posterior inference in Bayesian models in which a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-05-26 San Gultekin , Aonan Zhang , John Paisley

We provide the first stochastic convergence rates for a family of adaptive quadrature rules used to normalize the posterior distribution in Bayesian models. Our results apply to the uniform relative error in the approximate posterior…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-27 Blair Bilodeau , Alex Stringer , Yanbo Tang

Recently, a number of mostly $\ell_1$-norm regularized least squares type deterministic algorithms have been proposed to address the problem of \emph{sparse} adaptive signal estimation and system identification. From a Bayesian perspective,…

Bayesian hierarchical linear models provide a natural framework to analyze nested and clustered data. Classical estimation with Markov chain Monte Carlo produces well calibrated posterior distributions but becomes computationally expensive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-16 Cristian Parra-Aldana , Juan Sosa

We consider the problem of approximating a general Gaussian location mixture by finite mixtures. The minimum order of finite mixtures that achieve a prescribed accuracy (measured by various $f$-divergences) is determined within constant…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-08 Yun Ma , Yihong Wu , Pengkun Yang