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Conformal prediction constructs prediction sets with finite-sample coverage guarantees, but its calibration stage is structurally constrained to a scalar score function and a single threshold variable - forcing shapes of prediction sets to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-13 Laura Lützow , Simone Garatti , Marco C. Campi , Lars Lindemann , Matthias Althoff

Reliable uncertainty quantification in deep neural networks is very crucial in safety-critical applications such as automated driving for trustworthy and informed decision-making. Assessing the quality of uncertainty estimates is…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-12-12 Neslihan Kose , Ranganath Krishnan , Akash Dhamasia , Omesh Tickoo , Michael Paulitsch

Accurate uncertainty estimation is a critical need for the medical imaging community. A variety of methods have been proposed, all direct extensions of classification uncertainty estimations techniques. The independent pixel-wise…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-06-16 Thierry Judge , Olivier Bernard , Mihaela Porumb , Agis Chartsias , Arian Beqiri , Pierre-Marc Jodoin

Most image restoration problems are ill-conditioned or ill-posed and hence involve significant uncertainty. Quantifying this uncertainty is crucial for reliably interpreting experimental results, particularly when reconstructed images…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-02-10 Jasper M. Everink , Bernardin Tamo Amougou , Marcelo Pereyra

In clinical applications, the utility of segmentation models is often based on the accuracy of derived downstream metrics such as organ size, rather than by the pixel-level accuracy of the segmentation masks themselves. Thus, uncertainty…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-03 Matt Y. Cheung , Ashok Veeraraghavan , Guha Balakrishnan

Uncertainty quantification in automated image analysis is highly desired in many applications. Typically, machine learning models in classification or segmentation are only developed to provide binary answers; however, quantifying the…

Uncertainty quantification is essential in decision-making, especially when joint distributions of random variables are involved. While conformal prediction provides distribution-free prediction sets with valid coverage guarantees, it…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-03 Rui Luo , Zhixin Zhou

Uncertainty quantification is essential for scientific analysis, as it allows for the evaluation and interpretation of variability and reliability in complex systems and datasets. In their original form, multivariate statistical regression…

Recent advances in deep learning have shown that uncertainty estimation is becoming increasingly important in applications such as medical imaging, natural language processing, and autonomous systems. However, accurately quantifying…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-04 Uddeshya Upadhyay , Jae Myung Kim , Cordelia Schmidt , Bernhard Schölkopf , Zeynep Akata

Medical imaging classifiers can achieve high predictive accuracy, but quantifying their uncertainty remains an unresolved challenge, which prevents their deployment in medical clinics. We present an algorithm that can modify any classifier…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-12 Roy Hirsch , Jacob Goldberger

Volumetry is one of the principal downstream applications of 3D medical image segmentation, for example, to detect abnormal tissue growth or for surgery planning. Conformal Prediction is a promising framework for uncertainty quantification,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-07-30 Benjamin Lambert , Florence Forbes , Senan Doyle , Michel Dojat

Confidence in the results is a key ingredient to improve the adoption of machine learning methods by clinicians. Uncertainties on the results have been considered in the literature, but mostly those originating from the learning and…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-01-22 Maxime Di Folco , Gabriel Bernardino , Patrick Clarysse , Nicolas Duchateau

Surface reconstruction is a vital tool in a wide range of areas of medical image analysis and clinical research. Despite the fact that many methods have proposed solutions to the reconstruction problem, most, due to their deterministic…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-07-31 Katarína Tóthová , Sarah Parisot , Matthew C. H. Lee , Esther Puyol-Antón , Lisa M. Koch , Andrew P. King , Ender Konukoglu , Marc Pollefeys

We explore the use of conformal prediction to provide statistical uncertainty guarantees for runway detection in vision-based landing systems (VLS). Using fine-tuned YOLOv5 and YOLOv6 models on aerial imagery, we apply conformal prediction…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-05-23 Alya Zouzou , Léo andéol , Mélanie Ducoffe , Ryma Boumazouza

Conformal prediction methodologies have significantly advanced the quantification of uncertainties in predictive models. Yet, the construction of confidence regions for model parameters presents a notable challenge, often necessitating…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-30 Charles Guille-Escuret , Eugene Ndiaye

In many medical image analysis applications, often only a limited amount of training data is available, which makes training of convolutional neural networks (CNNs) challenging. In this work on anatomical landmark localization, we propose a…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-08-05 Christian Payer , Darko Štern , Horst Bischof , Martin Urschler

Conformal prediction (CP) quantifies the uncertainty of machine learning models by constructing sets of plausible outputs. These sets are constructed by leveraging a so-called conformity score, a quantity computed using the input point of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-07 Michal Klein , Louis Bethune , Eugene Ndiaye , Marco Cuturi

Breast cancer is the most common cancers and early detection from mammography screening is crucial in improving patient outcomes. Assessing mammographic breast density is clinically important as the denser breasts have higher risk and are…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-06-27 Charles Lu , Ken Chang , Praveer Singh , Jayashree Kalpathy-Cramer

Conformal prediction is a statistical tool for producing prediction regions of machine learning models that are valid with high probability. However, applying conformal prediction to time series data leads to conservative prediction…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-01-10 Matthew Cleaveland , Insup Lee , George J. Pappas , Lars Lindemann

Conformal prediction provides a distribution-free framework for uncertainty quantification. This study explores the application of conformal prediction in scenarios where covariates are missing, which introduces significant challenges for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-09 Jingsen Kong , YIming Liu , Guangren Yang