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相关论文: Accuracy Boost in Ensemble Kalman Inversion via En…

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The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a data assimilation technique that uses an ensemble of models, updated with data, to track the time evolution of a usually non-linear system. It does so by using an empirical approximation to the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-03-12 Elizabeth Hou , Earl Lawrence , Alfred O. Hero

Ensemble Kalman Sampler (EKS) is a method to find approximately $i.i.d.$ samples from a target distribution. As of today, why the algorithm works and how it converges is mostly unknown. The continuous version of the algorithm is a set of…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-03-07 Zhiyan Ding , Qin Li

Contemporary data assimilation often involves more than a million prediction variables. Ensemble Kalman filters (EnKF) have been developed by geoscientists. They are successful indispensable tools in science and engineering, because they…

概率论 · 数学 2017-05-26 Andrew J. Majda , Xin T. Tong

We present a practical implementation of the ensemble Kalman (EnKF) filter based on an iterative Sherman-Morrison formula. The new direct method exploits the special structure of the ensemble-estimated error covariance matrices in order to…

数值分析 · 计算机科学 2015-02-03 Elias D. Nino-Ruiz , Adrian Sandu , Jeffrey Anderson

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is the most popular approach to inferring parameters in the case where the data model is specified in the form of a simulator. It is not possible to directly implement standard Monte Carlo methods for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-29 Richard G Everitt

This paper develops efficient ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) implementations based on shrinkage covariance estimation. The forecast ensemble members at each step are used to estimate the background error covariance matrix via the…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-02-03 Elias D. Nino-Ruiz , Adrian Sandu

The increasing availability of data presents an opportunity to calibrate unknown parameters which appear in complex models of phenomena in the biomedical, physical and social sciences. However, model complexity often leads to…

Using observation data to estimate unknown parameters in computational models is broadly important. This task is often challenging because solutions are non-unique due to the complexity of the model and limited observation data. However,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-18 Jiacheng Wu , Jian-Xun Wang , Shawn C. Shadden

In recent years, several ensemble-based filtering methods have been proposed and studied. The main challenge in such procedures is the updating of a prior ensemble to a posterior ensemble at every step of the filtering recursions. In the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-11 Margrethe Kvale Loe , Håkon Tjelmeland

The iterative ensemble Kalman filter (IEnKF) in a deterministic framework was introduced in Sakov et al. (2012) to extend the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) and improve its performance in mildly up to strongly nonlinear cases. However, the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2018-10-17 Pavel Sakov , Jean-Matthieu Haussaire , Marc Bocquet

Solving inverse problems without the use of derivatives or adjoints of the forward model is highly desirable in many applications arising in science and engineering. In this paper, we propose a new version of such a methodology, a framework…

动力系统 · 数学 2019-10-17 Alfredo Garbuno-Inigo , Franca Hoffmann , Wuchen Li , Andrew M. Stuart

In this study, we consider an ensemble Kalman inversion (EKI) for the numerical solution of time-fractional diffusion inverse problems (TFDIPs). Computational challenges in the EKI arise from the need for repeated evaluations of the forward…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-02-26 Fenglian Yang , Liang Yan

A number of important modern applications in optimal control can be formulated as open loop control problems in which the underlying dynamical systems are subject to random inputs. These so-called ensemble control problems require the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-05-05 Alessandro Scagliotti , Thomas M. Surowiec

Uncertainty quantification by ensemble learning is explored in terms of an application from computational optical form measurements. The application requires to solve a large-scale, nonlinear inverse problem. Ensemble learning is used to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-03 Lara Hoffmann , Ines Fortmeier , Clemens Elster

We formulate the discrete-time inverse optimal control problem of inferring unknown parameters in the objective function of an optimal control problem from measurements of optimal states and controls as a nonlinear filtering problem. This…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-03-19 Tian Zhao , Timothy L. Molloy

We propose an approach based on function evaluations and Bayesian inference to extract higher-order differential information of objective functions {from a given ensemble of particles}. Pointwise evaluation $\{V(x^i)\}_i$ of some potential…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-03-02 Claudia Schillings , Claudia Totzeck , Philipp Wacker

Frequency-domain electromagnetic (FDEM) data of the subsurface are determined by electrical conductivity and magnetic susceptibility. We apply a Kalman Ensemble generator (KEG) to one-dimensional probabilistic multi-layer inversion of FDEM…

In this article, we aim at improving the prediction of expert aggregation by using the underlying properties of the models that provide expert predictions. We restrict ourselves to the case where expert predictions come from Kalman…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-28 Eric Adjakossa , Yannig Goude , Olivier Wintenberger

The problem of incorporating information from observations received serially in time is widespread in the field of uncertainty quantification. Within a probabilistic framework, such problems can be addressed using standard filtering…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-02 Chatchuea Kimchaiwong , Jeremie Houssineau , Adam M. Johansen

The ensemble of deep neural networks has been shown, both theoretically and empirically, to improve generalization accuracy on the unseen test set. However, the high training cost hinders its efficiency since we need a sufficient number of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-28 Wentao Zhang , Jiawei Jiang , Yingxia Shao , Bin Cui