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The atmosphere is chaotic. This fundamental property of the climate system makes forecasting weather incredibly challenging: it's impossible to expect weather models to ever provide perfect predictions of the Earth system beyond timescales…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-12-15 Elizabeth A. Barnes , Kirsten Mayer , Benjamin Toms , Zane Martin , Emily Gordon

A typical problem in air pollution epidemiology is exposure assessment for individuals for which health data are available. Due to the sparsity of monitoring sites and the limited temporal frequency with which measurements of air pollutants…

Air pollution constitutes the highest environmental risk factor in relation to heath. In order to provide the evidence required for health impact analyses, to inform policy and to develop potential mitigation strategies comprehensive…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-08-23 Matthew L. Thomas , Gavin Shaddick , Daniel Simpson , Kees de Hoogh , James V. Zidek

Atmospheric modeling has recently experienced a surge with the advent of deep learning. Most of these models, however, predict concentrations of pollutants following a data-driven approach in which the physical laws that govern their…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-07-08 Javier Rubio-Herrero , Carlos Ortiz Marrero , Wai-Tong Louis Fan

As social changes accelerate, the incidence of psychosomatic disorders has significantly increased, becoming a major challenge in global health issues. This necessitates an innovative knowledge system and analytical methods to aid in…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-12-25 Zihan Zhou , Ziyi Zeng , Wenhao Jiang , Yihui Zhu , Jiaxin Mao , Yonggui Yuan , Min Xia , Shubin Zhao , Mengyu Yao , Yunqian Chen

Dynamics of complex social systems has often been described in the framework of temporal networks, where links are considered to exist only at the moment of interaction between nodes. Such interaction patterns are not only driven by…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-06-09 Hyewon Kim , Hang-Hyun Jo , Hawoong Jeong

To understand the contact patterns of a population -- who is in contact with whom, and when the contacts happen -- is crucial for modeling outbreaks of infectious disease. Traditional theoretical epidemiology assumes that any individual can…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2015-10-22 Petter Holme

This paper investigates causal influences between agents linked by a social graph and interacting over time. In particular, the work examines the dynamics of social learning models and distributed decision-making protocols, and derives…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Mert Kayaalp , Ali H. Sayed

Face-to-face social interactions are an important aspect of peoples' social lives. A lack of interactions can explain how individuals develop depressive symptoms, but depressive symptoms can also explain how individuals engage in social…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-11-20 Timon Elmer , Christoph Stadtfeld

Acute respiratory diseases are transmitted over networks of social contacts. Large-scale simulation models are used to predict epidemic dynamics and evaluate the impact of various interventions, but the contact behavior in these models is…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-08-27 Gail E. Potter , Mark S. Handcock , Ira M. Longini, , M. Elizabeth Halloran

The use of multiple drugs accounts for almost 30% of all hospital admission and is the 5th leading cause of death in America. Since over 30% of all adverse drug events (ADEs) are thought to be caused by drug-drug interactions (DDI), better…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2020-09-02 Ricky Wang

Phenotypes are the observable characteristics of an organism arising from its response to the environment. Phenotypes associated with engineered and natural genetic variation are widely recorded using phenotype ontologies in model…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2015-05-26 Robert Hoehndorf , Paul N Schofield , Georgios V Gkoutos

The risk of conflict is exasperated by a multitude of internal and external factors. Current multivariate analysis paints diverse causal risk profiles that vary with time. However, these profiles evolve and a universal model to understand…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-09-30 Gerardo Aquino , Weisi Guo , Alan Wilson

Predicting the presence of major depressive disorder (MDD) using behavioural and cognitive signals is a highly non-trivial task. The heterogeneous clinical profile of MDD means that any given speech, facial expression and/or observed…

Network--based epidemic models that account for heterogeneous contact patterns are extensively used to predict and control the diffusion of infectious diseases. We use census and survey data to reconstruct a geo--referenced and…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Alessandro Celestini , Francesca Colaiori , Stefano Guarino , Enrico Mastrostefano , Lena Rebecca Zastrow

There is a rich history of models for the interaction of a biological contagion like influenza with the spread of related information such as an influenza vaccination campaign. Recent work on the spread of interacting contagions on networks…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-09-02 Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Dina Mistry , Benjamin M. Althouse

Dermatological conditions affect 1.9 billion people globally, yet accurate diagnosis remains challenging due to limited specialist availability and complex clinical presentations. Family history significantly influences skin disease…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-03-03 Satya Narayana Panda , Vaishnavi Kukkala , Spandana Iyer

We consider a causal inference model in which individuals interact in a social network and they may not comply with the assigned treatments. In particular, we suppose that the form of network interference is unknown to researchers. To…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-24 Tadao Hoshino , Takahide Yanagi

Intensive longitudinal data, characterized by frequent measurements across numerous time points, are increasingly common due to advances in wearable devices and mobile health technologies. We consider evaluating causal mediation pathways…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-26 Tianchen Qian

An estimate of the net direction of climate interactions in different geographical regions is made by constructing a directed climate network from a regular latitude-longitude grid of nodes, using a directionality index (DI) based on…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2015-06-23 J. Ignacio Deza , Cristina Masoller , Marcelo Barreiro