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相关论文: Filtering of partially observed polynomial process…

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Inference for partially observed Markov process models has been a longstanding methodological challenge with many scientific and engineering applications. Iterated filtering algorithms maximize the likelihood function for partially observed…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-11-26 Edward L. Ionides , Anindya Bhadra , Yves Atchadé , Aaron King

This paper introduces a computationally efficient algorithm in system theory for solving inverse problems governed by linear partial differential equations (PDEs). We model solutions of linear PDEs using Gaussian processes with priors…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-16 Xin Li , Markus Lange-Hegermann , Bogdan Raiţă

This paper focuses on the estimation of partially observed branching processes. First, the estimators from a frequentist perspective proposed in the literature are reviewed. The main objective of this paper is to present computational tools…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-05-21 Miguel González , Inés M. del Puerto , Manuel Serrano-Pastor

This article is devoted to the stochastic anticipating equations with the extended stochastic integral with respect to the Gaussian processes of a special type and its application to the smoothing problem in the case when noise is…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Andrey A Dorogovtsev

Some scenarios require the computation of a predictive distribution of a new value evaluated on an objective function conditioned on previous observations. We are interested on using a model that makes valid assumptions on the objective…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-21 Lucia Asencio-Martín , Eduardo C. Garrido-Merchán

A fully implementable filtered polynomial approximation on spherical shells is considered. The method proposed is a quadrature-based version of a filtered polynomial approximation. The radial direction and the angular direction of the…

数值分析 · 数学 2017-12-27 Yoshihito Kazashi

Gaussian-process state-space models (GP-SSMs) provide a flexible nonparametric alternative for modeling time-series dynamics that are nonlinear or difficult to specify parametrically. While the Kalman filter is effective for linear-Gaussian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-02 Genshiro Kitagawa

We propose a principled algorithm for robust Bayesian filtering and smoothing in nonlinear stochastic dynamic systems when both the transition function and the measurement function are described by non-parametric Gaussian process (GP)…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2012-08-13 Marc Peter Deisenroth , Ryan Turner , Marco F. Huber , Uwe D. Hanebeck , Carl Edward Rasmussen

Shot-noise and fractional Poisson processes are instances of filtered Poisson processes. We here prove Girsanov theorem for this kind of processes and give an application to an estimate problem.

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 L. Decreusefond , N. Savy

In this paper, we study the discrete time filtering problems for linear systems driven by fractional noises. The main difficulty comes from the non-Markovian of the noises. We construct the difference equation of the covariance process…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-12-24 Yuecai Han , Yuhang Li

In this letter, a new filtering technique to solve a nonlinear state estimation problem has been developed. It is well known that for a nonlinear system, the prior and posterior probability density functions (pdf) are non-Gaussian in…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-12-03 Kundan Kumar , Shovan Bhaumik

We introduce and analyze a post-processing for a family of variational space-time approximations to wave problems. The discretization in space and time is based on continuous finite element methods. The post-processing lifts the fully…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-03-09 Markus Bause , Uwe Köcher , Florin A. Radu , Friedhelm Schieweck

We consider a discrete-time linear-quadratic Gaussian control problem in which we minimize a weighted sum of the directed information from the state of the system to the control input and the control cost. The optimal control and sensing…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-04-14 Murat Cubuktepe , Takashi Tanaka , Ufuk Topcu

Fractional Poisson processes, a rapidly growing area of non-Markovian stochastic processes, are useful in statistics to describe data from counting processes when waiting times are not exponentially distributed. We show that the fractional…

经典分析与常微分方程 · 数学 2013-10-14 Markus Kreer , Ayse Kizilersu , Anthony W. Thomas

In this article, we propose and develop a novel Bayesian algorithm for optimization of functions whose first and second partial derivatives are known. The basic premise is the Gaussian process representation of the function which induces a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-10-27 Sucharita Roy , Sourabh Bhattacharya

In this manuscript we introduce numerical Gaussian process Kalman filtering (GPKF). Numerical Gaussian processes have recently been developed to simulate spatiotemporal models. The contribution of this paper is to embed numerical Gaussian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-05-12 Armin Küper , Steffen Waldherr

In complex and unknown processes, global models are initially generated over the entire experimental space but often fail to provide accurate predictions in local areas. A common approach is to use local models, which requires partitioning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-29 Dominik Polke , Tim Kösters , Elmar Ahle , Dirk Söffker

This paper presents an algorithm to simulate Gaussian random vectors whose precision matrix can be expressed as a polynomial of a sparse matrix. This situation arises in particular when simulating Gaussian Markov random fields obtained by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-07 Mike Pereira , Nicolas Desassis

We give a polynomial-time algorithm for learning high-dimensional halfspaces with margins in $d$-dimensional space to within desired TV distance when the ambient distribution is an unknown affine transformation of the $d$-fold product of an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-03 Xinyuan Cao , Santosh S. Vempala

In this paper, we adopt a Bayesian point of view for predicting real continuous-time processes. We give two equivalent definitions of a Bayesian predictor and study some properties: admissibility, prediction sufficiency, non-unbiasedness,…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-12-31 Delphine Blanke , Denis Bosq