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Estimation of individualized treatment effects (ITE), also known as conditional average treatment effects (CATE), is an active area of methodology development. However, much less attention has been paid to the quantification of uncertainty…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-08 Daijiro Kabata , Nicholas C. Henderson , Ravi Varadhan

In supervised learning, the output variable to be predicted is often represented as a function, such as a spectrum or probability distribution. Despite its importance, functional output regression remains relatively unexplored. In this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-19 Minoru Kusaba , Megumi Iwayama , Ryo Yoshida

We consider the task of low-multilinear-rank functional regression, i.e., learning a low-rank parametric representation of functions from scattered real-valued data. Our first contribution is the development and analysis of an efficient…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-09-26 Alex A. Gorodetsky , John D. Jakeman

Recently nonparametric functional model with functional responses has been proposed within the functional reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (fRKHS) framework. Motivated by its superior performance and also its limitations, we propose a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-08-11 Heng Lian

Spatial functional data arise in many settings, such as particulate matter curves observed at monitoring stations and age population curves at each areal unit. Most existing functional regression models have limited applicability because…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-25 Heesang Lee , Dagun Oh , Sunhwa Choi , Jaewoo Park

In longitudinal observational studies with time-to-event outcomes, a common objective in causal analysis is to estimate the causal survival curve under hypothetical intervention scenarios. The g-formula is a useful tool for this analysis.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-14 Xinyuan Chen , Liangyuan Hu , Fan Li

Adapting models pre-trained on large-scale datasets is a proven way to reach strong performance quickly for down-stream tasks. However, the growth of state-of-the-art mod-els makes traditional full fine-tuning unsuitable and difficult,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-03-24 Maxime Fontana , Michael Spratling , Miaojing Shi

Decision trees with binary splits are popularly constructed using Classification and Regression Trees (CART) methodology. For regression models, this approach recursively divides the data into two near-homogenous daughter nodes according to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-20 Jason M. Klusowski

Data mining and machine learning techniques such as classification and regression trees (CART) represent a promising alternative to conventional logistic regression for propensity score estimation. Whereas incomplete data preclude the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-07-26 Bas B. L. Penning de Vries , Maarten van Smeden , Rolf H. H. Groenwold

Tree-based methods are powerful nonparametric techniques in statistics and machine learning. However, their effectiveness, particularly in finite-sample settings, is not fully understood. Recent applications have revealed their surprising…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-10-04 Hengrui Luo , Meng Li

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees [BART, Chipman et al., 2010] have gained significant popularity due to their remarkable predictive performance and ability to quantify uncertainty. However, standard decision tree models rely on recursive…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-20 Stamatina Lamprinakou , Huiyan Sang , Bledar A. Konomi , Ligang Lu

Decision trees with binary splits are popularly constructed using Classification and Regression Trees (CART) methodology. For binary classification and regression models, this approach recursively divides the data into two near-homogenous…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-08-17 Jason M. Klusowski

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a sample-efficient global optimization algorithm for black-box functions which are expensive to evaluate. Existing literature on model based optimization in conditional parameter spaces are usually built on…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-08 Xingchen Ma , Matthew B. Blaschko

Most clinical trials involve the comparison of a new treatment to a control arm (e.g., the standard of care) and the estimation of a treatment effect. External data, including historical clinical trial data and real-world observational…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-17 Tianjian Zhou , Yuan Ji

Decision trees are powerful machine learning algorithms, widely used in fields such as economics and medicine for their simplicity and interpretability. However, decision trees such as CART are prone to overfitting, especially when grown…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-13 Likun Zhang , Wei Ma

Vector autoregression has been widely used for modeling and analysis of multivariate time series data. In high-dimensional settings, model parameter regularization schemes inducing sparsity yield interpretable models and achieved good…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-08 Leo L. Duan , Zeyu Yuwen , George Michailidis , Zhengwu Zhang

Prior work has shown that combining bootstrap imputation with tree-based machine learning variable selection methods can provide good performances achievable on fully observed data when covariate and outcome data are missing at random…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-14 Jung-Yi Joyce Lin , Liangyuan Hu , Chuyue Huang , Steven Lawrence , Usha Govindarajulu

How can we effectively find the best structures in tree models? Tree models have been favored over complex black box models in domains where interpretability is crucial for making irreversible decisions. However, searching for a tree…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-23 Jaemin Yoo , Lee Sael

This paper proposes a Vector Autoregression augmented with nonlinear factors that are modeled nonparametrically using regression trees. There are four main advantages of our model. First, modeling potential nonlinearities nonparametrically…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-08-20 Todd Clark , Florian Huber , Gary Koop

Many real-life applications involve estimation of curves that exhibit complicated shapes including jumps or varying-frequency oscillations. Practical methods have been devised that can adapt to a locally varying complexity of an unknown…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-05-28 Veronika Rockova , Judith Rousseau