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相关论文: Semiparametric Bernstein-von Mises Phenomenon via …

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In a smooth semiparametric model, the marginal posterior distribution of the finite dimensional parameter of interest is expected to be asymptotically equivalent to the sampling distribution of frequentist's efficient estimators. This is…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-10-20 Minwoo Chae

We establish a general Bernstein--von Mises theorem for approximately linear semiparametric functionals of fractional posterior distributions based on nonparametric priors. This is illustrated in a number of nonparametric settings and for…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-12 Alice L'Huillier , Luke Travis , Ismaël Castillo , Kolyan Ray

In a smooth semi-parametric model, the marginal posterior distribution for a finite dimensional parameter of interest is expected to be asymptotically equivalent to the sampling distribution of any efficient point-estimator. The assertion…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-03-26 Minwoo Chae , Yongdai Kim , Bas Kleijn

We establish a general semiparametric Bernstein-von Mises theorem for Bayesian nonparametric priors based on continuous observations in a periodic reversible multidimensional diffusion model. We consider a wide range of functionals…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-23 Matteo Giordano , Kolyan Ray

In this paper, we study the asymptotic posterior distribution of linear functionals of the density. In particular, we give general conditions to obtain a semiparametric version of the Bernstein-Von Mises theorem. We then apply this general…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-08-31 Vincent Rivoirard , Judith Rousseau

The Bayesian perspective on inverse problems has attracted much mathematical attention in recent years. Particular attention has been paid to Bayesian inverse problems (BIPs) in which the parameter to be inferred lies in an…

概率论 · 数学 2017-10-17 T. J. Sullivan

We study nonparametric Bayesian statistical inference for the parameters governing a pure jump process of the form $$Y_t = \sum_{k=1}^{N(t)} Z_k,~~~ t \ge 0,$$ where $N(t)$ is a standard Poisson process of intensity $\lambda$, and $Z_k$ are…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-10-02 Richard Nickl , Jakob Söhl

The major goal of this paper is to study the second order frequentist properties of the marginal posterior distribution of the parametric component in semiparametric Bayesian models, in particular, a second order semiparametric…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-17 Yun Yang , Guang Cheng , David B. Dunson

This paper aims at developing a quasi-Bayesian analysis of the nonparametric instrumental variables model, with a focus on the asymptotic properties of quasi-posterior distributions. In this paper, instead of assuming a distributional…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-11-21 Kengo Kato

Gibbs posteriors are proportional to a prior distribution multiplied by an exponentiated loss function, with a key tuning parameter weighting information in the loss relative to the prior and providing a control of posterior uncertainty.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-09 Steven Winter , Omar Melikechi , David B. Dunson

The prominent Bernstein -- von Mises (BvM) result claims that the posterior distribution after centering by the efficient estimator and standardizing by the square root of the total Fisher information is nearly standard normal. In…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-06-02 Vladimir Spokoiny , Maxim Panov

We continue the investigation of Bernstein-von Mises theorems for nonparametric Bayes procedures from [Ann. Statist. 41 (2013) 1999-2028]. We introduce multiscale spaces on which nonparametric priors and posteriors are naturally defined,…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-10-03 Ismaël Castillo , Richard Nickl

In this paper, we study semiparametric inference for linear multivariate Hawkes processes, a class of point processes widely used to describe self and mutually exciting phenomena. We establish a convolution theorem giving the best limiting…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-26 Mael Duverger , Judith Rousseau

We provide a comprehensive semi-parametric study of Bayesian partially identified econometric models. While the existing literature on Bayesian partial identification has mostly focused on the structural parameter, our primary focus is on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-09-29 Yuan Liao , Anna Simoni

We propose a Bayesian inference framework to estimate uncertainties in inverse scattering problems. Given the observed data, the forward model and their uncertainties, we find the posterior distribution over a finite parameter field…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-11-17 Ana Carpio , Sergei Iakunin , Georg Stadler

We present a new Bayesian nonparametric approach to estimating the spectral density of a stationary time series. A nonparametric prior based on a mixture of B-spline distributions is specified and can be regarded as a generalization of the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-02-28 Matthew C. Edwards , Renate Meyer , Nelson Christensen

This paper considers a semiparametric approach within the general Bayesian linear model where the innovations consist of a stationary, mean zero Gaussian time series. While a parametric prior is specified for the linear model coefficients,…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-25 Claudia Kirch , Alexander Meier , Renate Meyer , Yifu Tang

Bayesian inference and uncertainty quantification in a general class of non-linear inverse regression models is considered. Analytic conditions on the regression model $\{\mathscr G(\theta): \theta \in \Theta\}$ and on Gaussian process…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-04-16 François Monard , Richard Nickl , Gabriel P. Paternain

We introduce a novel Bayesian estimator for the class proportion in an unlabeled dataset, based on the targeted learning framework. Our procedure requires the specification of a prior (and outputs a posterior) only for the target of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-26 Iván Díaz , Oleksander Savenkov , Hooman Kamel

We address the problem of uncertainty quantification for the deconvolution model \(Z = X + Y\), where \(X\) and \(Y\) are nonnegative random variables and the goal is to estimate the signal's distribution of \(X \sim F_0\) supported…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-23 Francesco Gili , Geurt Jongbloed
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