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This paper will discuss how headline data can be used to predict stock prices. The stock price in question is the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, also known as SPY that tracks the performance of the largest 500 publicly traded corporations in the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-07-04 Ayaan Qayyum

This paper intends to apply the Hidden Markov Model into stock market and and make predictions. Moreover, four different methods of improvement, which are GMM-HMM, XGB-HMM, GMM-HMM+LSTM and XGB-HMM+LSTM, will be discussed later with the…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2021-04-21 Mingwen Liu , Junbang Huo , Yulin Wu , Jinge Wu

Stock prices, as an economic indicator, reflect changes in economic development and market conditions. Traditional stock price prediction models often only consider time-series data and are limited by the mechanisms of the models…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-07-02 Fengting Mo , Shanshan Yan , Yinhao Xiao

This paper proposed a model to predict the stock price based on combining Self-Organizing Map (SOM) and fuzzy-Support Vector Machines (f-SVM). Extraction of fuzzy rules from raw data based on the combining of statistical machine learning…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2014-08-25 Duc-Hien Nguyen , Manh-Thanh Le

Designing robust frameworks for precise prediction of future prices of stocks has always been considered a very challenging research problem. The advocates of the classical efficient market hypothesis affirm that it is impossible to…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-08-31 Jaydip Sen , Sidra Mehtab

The US stock market experienced instability following the recession (2007-2009). COVID-19 poses a significant challenge to US stock traders and investors. Traders and investors should keep up with the stock market. This is to mitigate risks…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-06-07 Reza Nematirad , Amin Ahmadisharaf , Ali Lashgari

Traditional machine learning methods have been widely studied in financial innovation. My study focuses on the application of deep learning methods on asset pricing. I investigate various deep learning methods for asset pricing, especially…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-09-27 Chen Zhang

We employ both random forests and LSTM networks (more precisely CuDNNLSTM) as training methodologies to analyze their effectiveness in forecasting out-of-sample directional movements of constituent stocks of the S&P 500 from January 1993…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-02 Pushpendu Ghosh , Ariel Neufeld , Jajati Keshari Sahoo

This study evaluates the performance of 41 machine learning models, including 21 classifiers and 20 regressors, in predicting Bitcoin prices for algorithmic trading. By examining these models under various market conditions, we highlight…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-07-29 Abdul Jabbar , Syed Qaisar Jalil

Stock market prediction has been an active area of research for a considerable period. Arrival of computing, followed by Machine Learning has upgraded the speed of research as well as opened new avenues. As part of this research study, we…

Support vector machine modeling is a new approach in machine learning for classification showing good performance on forecasting problems of small samples and high dimensions. Later, it promoted to Support Vector Regression (SVR) for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-23 Mohammadreza Ghanbari , Mahdi Goldani

Designing robust systems for precise prediction of future prices of stocks has always been considered a very challenging research problem. Even more challenging is to build a system for constructing an optimum portfolio of stocks based on…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-08-31 Jaydip Sen , Abhishek Dutta , Sidra Mehtab

Our research aims to find the best model that uses companies projections and sector performances and how the given company fares accordingly to correctly predict equity share prices for both short and long term goals.

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-07-18 Varun Sangwan , Vishesh Kumar Singh , Bibin Christopher

We find economically and statistically significant gains when using machine learning for portfolio allocation between the market index and risk-free asset. Optimal portfolio rules for time-varying expected returns and volatility are…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2021-11-05 Michael Pinelis , David Ruppert

Midterm stock price prediction is crucial for value investments in the stock market. However, most deep learning models are essentially short-term and applying them to midterm predictions encounters large cumulative errors because they…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-08-06 Xinyi Li , Yinchuan Li , Xiao-Yang Liu , Christina Dan Wang

Recently, there has been a surge of interest in the use of machine learning to help aid in the accurate predictions of financial markets. Despite the exciting advances in this cross-section of finance and AI, many of the current approaches…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-02 Daiki Matsunaga , Toyotaro Suzumura , Toshihiro Takahashi

Stock prices forecasting has always been a challenging task. Although many research projects try to address the problem, few of them pay attention to the varying degrees of dependencies between stock prices. In this paper, we introduce a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-02 Yuanzhe Jia , Ali Anaissi , Basem Suleiman

Training a practical and effective model for stock selection has been a greatly concerned problem in the field of artificial intelligence. Even though some of the models from previous works have achieved good performance in the U.S. market…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2019-11-07 Junming Yang , Yaoqi Li , Xuanyu Chen , Jiahang Cao , Kangkang Jiang

Despite the efficient market hypothesis, many studies suggest the existence of inefficiencies in the stock market leading to the development of techniques to gain above-market returns. Systematic trading has undergone significant advances…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-04-09 Sungwoo Kang , Jong-Kook Kim

We adopt deep learning models to directly optimise the portfolio Sharpe ratio. The framework we present circumvents the requirements for forecasting expected returns and allows us to directly optimise portfolio weights by updating model…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2021-01-26 Zihao Zhang , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts