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In this study, we propose a novel machine-learning-based measure for stock price crash risk, utilizing the minimum covariance determinant methodology. Employing this newly introduced dependent variable, we predict stock price crash risk…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-05-23 Abdullah Karasan , Ozge Sezgin Alp , Gerhard-Wilhelm Weber

Applications of deep learning in financial market prediction has attracted huge attention from investors and researchers. In particular, intra-day prediction at the minute scale, the dramatically fluctuating volume and stock prices within…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-05-25 Yuze Lu , Hailong Zhang , Qiwen Guo

Machine Learning (ML) has been embraced as a powerful tool by the financial industry, with notable applications spreading in various domains including investment management. In this work, we propose a full-cycle data-driven investment…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2021-05-20 Haoran Wang , Shi Yu

Stock price prediction has been the focus of a large amount of research but an acceptable solution has so far escaped academics. Recent advances in deep learning have motivated researchers to apply neural networks to stock prediction. In…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-03-29 Firuz Kamalov , Linda Smail , Ikhlaas Gurrib

We study the impacts of business cycles on machine learning (ML) predictions. Using the S&P 500 index, we find that ML models perform worse during most recessions, and the inclusion of recession history or the risk-free rate does not…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-04-21 Li Rong Wang , Hsuan Fu , Xiuyi Fan

This paper demonstrates that deep learning models trained on raw OHLCV (open-high-low-close-volume) data can achieve comparable performance to traditional machine learning (ML) models using technical indicators for stock price prediction in…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-04-07 Sungwoo Kang

Recent researches on stock prediction using deep learning methods has been actively studied. This is the task to predict the movement of stock prices in the future based on historical trends. The approach to predicting the movement based…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-10-01 Jaeyoung Cheong , Heejoon Lee , Minjung Kang

We revisit the problem of predicting directional movements of stock prices based on news articles: here our algorithm uses daily articles from The Wall Street Journal to predict the closing stock prices on the same day. We propose a unified…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-07-03 Felix Ming Fai Wong , Zhenming Liu , Mung Chiang

Many studies have been undertaken by using machine learning techniques, including neural networks, to predict stock returns. Recently, a method known as deep learning, which achieves high performance mainly in image recognition and speech…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-06-14 Masaya Abe , Hideki Nakayama

Traditional Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks are effective for handling sequential data but have limitations such as gradient vanishing and difficulty in capturing long-term dependencies, which can impact their performance in dynamic…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-04-29 Faezeh Sarlakifar , Mohammadreza Mohammadzadeh Asl , Sajjad Rezvani Khaledi , Armin Salimi-Badr

Inference from tabular data, collections of continuous and categorical variables organized into matrices, is a foundation for modern technology and science. Yet, in contrast to the explosive changes in the rest of AI, the best practice for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-07 Daniel Beaglehole , David Holzmüller , Adityanarayanan Radhakrishnan , Mikhail Belkin

The effectiveness of long short term memory networks trained by backpropagation through time for stock price prediction is explored in this paper. A range of different architecture LSTM networks are constructed trained and tested.

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2016-08-30 Hengjian Jia

The use of machine learning in algorithmic trading systems is increasingly common. In a typical set-up, supervised learning is used to predict the future prices of assets, and those predictions drive a simple trading and execution strategy.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-19 Vikram Duvvur , Aashay Mehta , Edward Sun , Bo Wu , Ken Yew Chan , Jeff Schneider

There has been much interest in accurate cryptocurrency price forecast models by investors and researchers. Deep Learning models are prominent machine learning techniques that have transformed various fields and have shown potential for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-04 Jingyang Wu , Xinyi Zhang , Fangyixuan Huang , Haochen Zhou , Rohtiash Chandra

Predicting stock price movements during Earnings Announcements (EAs) is a significant challenge due to market noise and high-impact price discontinuities. In this study, we evaluate whether pre-announcement news sentiment, firm…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Manuel Noseda , Nathan Soldati , Marco Paina

In this paper we examine the relation between market returns and volatility measures through machine learning methods in a high-frequency environment. We implement a minute-by-minute rolling window intraday estimation method using two…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-01-03 Iuri H. Ferreira , Marcelo C. Medeiros

Stock trading is one of the popular ways for financial management. However, the market and the environment of economy is unstable and usually not predictable. Furthermore, engaging in stock trading requires time and effort to analyze,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-20 Yunfei Luo , Zhangqi Duan

Sentiment-based stock prediction systems aim to explore sentiment or event signals from online corpora and attempt to relate the signals to stock price variations. Both the feature-based and neural-networks-based approaches have delivered…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2020-08-19 Yue Zhou , Kerstin Voigt

Machine learning algorithms have enabled computers to predict things by learning from previous data. The data storage and processing power are increasing rapidly, thus increasing machine learning and Artificial intelligence applications.…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2021-09-14 Muhammad Fahad Saleem

This paper discusses predictive performance and processes undertaken on flight pricing data utilizing r2(r-square) and RMSE that leverages a large dataset, originally from Expedia.com, consisting of approximately 20 million records or 4.68…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-13 Philip Wong , Phue Thant , Pratiksha Yadav , Ruta Antaliya , Jongwook Woo
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