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Causal models have proven extremely useful in offering formal representations of causal relationships between a set of variables. Yet in many situations, there are non-causal relationships among variables. For example, we may want variables…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-01-18 Sander Beckers , Joseph Y. Halpern , Christopher Hitchcock

The estimation of causal effects using quasiexperiments often relies on the use of unusual or serendipitous sources of exogenous variation. When the goal is estimating the same causal effects across many different settings, the same unusual…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-26 Nick Huntington-Klein

Area-specific causal inference is important in many policy and survey applications, where the goal is to evaluate treatment effects for small geographic or demographic domains. Existing causal small area estimation methods, however,…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-06 Tsubasa Ito , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Contextuality is a feature of quantum correlations. It is crucial from a foundational perspective as a nonclassical phenomenon, and from an applied perspective as a resource for quantum advantage. It is commonly defined in terms of hidden…

The purpose of this paper is two-fold. First, we would like to get rid of common assumption that causal set is bounded and attempt to model its scalar field action under the assumption that it isn't. Secondly, we would like to propose…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2020-06-18 Roman Sverdlov

Partially linear additive models generalize linear ones since they model the relation between a response variable and covariates by assuming that some covariates have a linear relation with the response but each of the others enter through…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-08 Graciela Boente , Alejandra Mercedes Martinez

It is well-known that, without restricting treatment effect heterogeneity, instrumental variable (IV) methods only identify "local" effects among compliers, i.e., those subjects who take treatment only when encouraged by the IV. Local…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-03 Edward H. Kennedy , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Max G'Sell

Efficient estimation under bias sampling, censoring or truncation is a difficult question which has been partially answered and the usual estimators are not always consistent. Several biased designs are considered for models with variables…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-10-22 Odile Pons

Recent methodological research in causal inference has focused on effects of stochastic interventions, which assign treatment randomly, often according to subject-specific covariates. In this work, we demonstrate that the usual notion of…

We extend our previous work on sensitivity analysis for the risk ratio and difference contrasts under unmeasured confounding to any contrast. We prove that the bounds produced are still arbitrarily sharp, i.e. practically attainable. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-13 Jose M. Peña

A common practice in evidence-based decision-making uses estimates of conditional probabilities P(y|x) obtained from research studies to predict outcomes y on the basis of observed covariates x. Given this information, decisions are then…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-08 Atheendar S. Venkataramani , Charles F. Manski , John Mullahy

This paper deals with the problem of evaluating the causal effect using observational data in the presence of an unobserved exposure/ outcome variable, when cause-effect relationships between variables can be described as a directed acyclic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-06-18 Manabu Kuroki , Zhihong Cai

What is the difference of a prediction that is made with a causal model and a non-causal model? Suppose we intervene on the predictor variables or change the whole environment. The predictions from a causal model will in general work as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-27 Jonas Peters , Peter Bühlmann , Nicolai Meinshausen

All scientific interpretations of statistical outputs depend on background (auxiliary) assumptions that are rarely delineated or explicitly interrogated. These include not only the usual modeling assumptions, but also deeper assumptions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-01 Sander Greenland , Zad Rafi , Robert Matthews , Megan Higgs

Estimation of the intensity of a point process is considered within a nonparametric framework. The intensity measure is unknown and depends on covariates, possibly many more than the observed number of jumps. Only a single trajectory of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-02-20 Alessio Sancetta

Causality and causal inference have emerged as core research areas at the interface of modern statistics and domains including biomedical sciences, social sciences, computer science, and beyond. The field's inherently interdisciplinary…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-26 Carlos Cinelli , Avi Feller , Guido Imbens , Edward Kennedy , Sara Magliacane , Jose Zubizarreta

Many real life optimization problems contain both hard and soft constraints, as well as qualitative conditional preferences. However, there is no single formalism to specify all three kinds of information. We therefore propose a framework,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2009-05-26 Carmel Domshlak , Francesca Rossi , Kristen Brent Venable , Toby Walsh

Ascertaining causal direction from observational data is a fundamental challenge in scientific inquiry. Of particular interest is the problem of covariate-adjusted bivariate causal discovery, i.e., determining the causal direction between X…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-30 Soumik Purkayastha , Peter X. -K. Song

Understanding causal mechanisms across different populations is essential for designing effective public health interventions. Recently, difference graphs have been introduced as a tool to visually represent causal variations between two…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-02-18 Charles K. Assaad

We propose novel estimators for categorical and continuous treatments by using an optimal covariate balancing strategy for inverse probability weighting. The resulting estimators are shown to be consistent and asymptotically normal for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-08 Seong-ho Lee , Yanyuan Ma , Xavier de Luna