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Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

A Bayesian belief network models a joint distribution with an directed acyclic graph representing dependencies among variables and network parameters characterizing conditional distributions. The parameters are viewed as random variables to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-05-14 Peter Hooper , Yasin Abbasi-Yadkori , Russell Greiner , Bret Hoehn

Standard causal inference characterizes treatment effect through averages, but the counterfactual distributions could be different in not only the central tendency but also spread and shape. To provide a comprehensive evaluation of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-04 Steven G. Xu , Shu Yang , Brian J. Reich

For the basic maximum likelihood estimating function of the two parameters Weibull distribution, a simple proof on its global monotonicity is given to ensure the existence and uniqueness of its solution. The boundary of the function's…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-10-04 DeTao Mao , Wenyuan Li

Under adaptive progressive Type-II censoring schemes, order restricted inference based on competing risks data is discussed in this article. The latent failure lifetimes for the competing causes are assumed to follow Weibull distributions,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-10 Ayon Ganguly , Debanjan Mitra , Debasis Kundu

We investigate the asymptotic behavior of parametric Bayes estimators under a broad class of loss functions that extend beyond the classical translation-invariant setting. To this end, we develop a unified theoretical framework for loss…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-16 Robin Requadt , Housen Li , Axel Munk

We present a Bayesian data fusion method to approximate a posterior distribution from an ensemble of particle estimates that only have access to subsets of the data. Our approach relies on approximate probabilistic inference of model…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-10-28 Caleb Miller , Michael D. Schneider , Jem N. Corcoran , Jason Bernstein

In reliability and life data analysis, the Weibull distribution is widely used to accommodate more data characteristics by changing the values of the parameters. We frequently observe many zeros or close to zero data points in reliability…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-06 Sumangal Bhattacharya , Ishapathik Das , Muralidharan Kunnummal

Bayesian estimation is a powerful theoretical paradigm for the operation of quantum sensors. However, the Bayesian method for statistical inference generally suffers from demanding calibration requirements that have so far restricted its…

量子物理 · 物理学 2021-09-22 Samuel P. Nolan , Augusto Smerzi , Luca Pezzè

In this work, we revisit the estimation of the model parameters of a Weibull distribution based on iid observations, using the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) method which does not yield closed expressions of the estimators. Among other…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-01-22 Buu-Chau Truong , Peter Mphekgwana , Nabendu Pal

In this paper, we consider simultaneous estimation of Poisson parameters in situations where we can use side information in aggregated data. We use standardized squared error and entropy loss functions. Bayesian shrinkage estimators are…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-11-06 Yasuyuki Hamura

In this work, we study the use of logistic regression in manufacturing failures detection. As a data set for the analysis, we used the data from Kaggle competition Bosch Production Line Performance. We considered the use of machine…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-12-31 B. Pavlyshenko

In this paper, we analyze the relative errors that crop up in the various reliability measures due to the tacit assumption that the components are independently working associated with a $n$-component series system or a parallel system…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-03-28 Subarna Bhattacharjee , Aninda Kumar Nanda , Subhashree Patra

In the past couple of years, various approaches to representing and quantifying different types of predictive uncertainty in machine learning, notably in the setting of classification, have been proposed on the basis of second-order…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-05 Yusuf Sale , Viktor Bengs , Michele Caprio , Eyke Hüllermeier

The Median Based Unit Weibull is a new 2 parameter unit Weibull distribution defined on the unit interval (0,1). Estimation of the parameters using MLE encountered some problems like large variance. Using generalized method of moments…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-30 Iman Mohamed Attia

It is often of interest to combine available estimates of a similar quantity from multiple data sources. When the corresponding variances of each estimate are also available, a model should take into account the uncertainty of the estimates…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-17 Yujing Yao , R. Todd Ogden , Chubing Zeng , Qixuan Chen

A Bayesian approach termed BAyesian Least Squares Optimization with Nonnegative L1-norm constraint (BALSON) is proposed. The error distribution of data fitting is described by Gaussian likelihood. The parameter distribution is assumed to be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-07-10 Jiyang Xie , Zhanyu Ma , Guoqiang Zhang , Jing-Hao Xue , Jen-Tzung Chien , Zhiqing Lin , Jun Guo

In the usual Bayesian setting, a full probabilistic model is required to link the data and parameters, and the form of this model and the inference and prediction mechanisms are specified via de Finetti's representation. In general, such a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-21 Yu Luo , David A. Stephens , Daniel J. Graham , Emma J. McCoy

Background: We proposed approximate Bayesian computation with single distribution selection (ABC-SD) for estimating mean and standard deviation from other reported summary statistics. The ABC-SD generates pseudo data from a single…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-07-12 Deukwoo Kwon , Isildinha M. Reis

Statistical models typically capture uncertainties in our knowledge of the corresponding real-world processes, however, it is less common for this uncertainty specification to capture uncertainty surrounding the values of the inputs to the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-10 Samuel E. Jackson , David C. Woods