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This study presents a Bayesian spatial voting analysis of the Colombian Senate during the 2006-2010 legislative period, leveraging a newly constructed roll-call dataset comprising 147 senators and 136 plenary votes. We estimate legislators'…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-31 Juan Sosa , Carolina Luque , Juan Valero

This paper applies Bayesian methodologies to characterize the legislative behavior of the Colombian Senate during the period 2010-2014. The analysis is carried out through the plenary roll call votes of this legislative chamber. In…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-10-22 Carolina Luque , Juan Sosa

We report on a statistical analysis of the engagement in the electoral processes of all Brazilian cities by considering the number of party memberships and the number of candidates for mayor and councillor. By investigating the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-09-26 M. C. Mantovani , H. V. Ribeiro , E. K. Lenzi , S. Picoli , R. S. Mendes

Ensuring legislative accountability in multi-party systems requires quantitative tools that reveal actual voting behavior beyond formal party affiliations. We present a network-based framework for analyzing parliamentary dynamics at…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-02-05 Francesca Collu , Antonio Scala , Emilia La Nave

The related concepts of partisan belief systems, issue alignment, and partisan sorting are central to our understanding of politics. These phenomena have been studied using measures of alignment between pairs of topics, or how much…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-01-14 Letizia Iannucci , Ali Faqeeh , Ali Salloum , Ted Hsuan Yun Chen , Mikko Kivelä

Spatial voting models of legislators' preferences are used in political science to test theories about their voting behavior. These models posit that legislators' ideologies as well as the ideologies reflected in votes for and against a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-02-27 Erin Lipman , Scott Moser , Abel Rodriguez

Politics around the world exhibits increasing polarization, demonstrated in part by rigid voting configurations in institutions like legislatures or courts. A crux of polarization is separation along a unidimensional ideological axis, but…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-12-12 Edward D. Lee

In this paper we bring to bear some new tools from statistical learning on the analysis of roll call data. We present a new data-driven model for roll call voting that is geometric in nature. We construct the model by adapting the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-08-16 Greg Leibon , Scott Pauls , Daniel N. Rockmore , Robert Savell

We here study the behavior of political party members aiming at identifying how ideological communities are created and evolve over time in diverse (fragmented and non-fragmented) party systems. Using public voting data of both Brazil and…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2018-10-31 Carlos H. G. Ferreira , Breno de Souza Matos , Jusssara M. Almeida

The legislative output of Colombia's House of Representatives between 2014 and 2025 is analyzed using 4,083 bills. Bipartite networks are constructed between parties and bills, and between representatives and bills, along with their…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-12-19 Juan Sosa , Brayan Riveros , Emma J. Camargo-Díaz

How to elect the representatives in legislative bodies is a question that every modern democracy has to answer. This design task has to consider various elements so as to fulfill the citizens' expectations and contribute to the maintenance…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2024-10-07 Javier Cembrano , José Correa , Gonzalo Díaz , Victor Verdugo

Polarization, defined as the emergence of sharply divided groups with opposing and often extreme views, is an increasingly prominent feature of modern societies. While many studies analyze this phenomenon in the context of single issues,…

We study the cohesion within and the coalitions between political groups in the Eighth European Parliament (2014--2019) by analyzing two entirely different aspects of the behavior of the Members of the European Parliament (MEPs) in the…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2016-11-15 Darko Cherepnalkoski , Andreas Karpf , Igor Mozetic , Miha Grcar

As large language models (LLMs) become increasingly embedded in civic, educational, and political information environments, concerns about their potential political bias have grown. Prior research often evaluates such bias through simulated…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2026-03-20 Tai-Quan Peng , Kaiqi Yang , Sanguk Lee , Hang Li , Yucheng Chu , Yuping Lin , Hui Liu

Despite its shortcomings, cross-level or ecological inference remains a necessary part of some areas of quantitative inference, including in United States voting rights litigation. Ecological inference suffers from a lack of identification…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-01-06 D. James Greiner , Kevin M. Quinn

The concept of ``ideology" is central to political discourse and dynamics, and is often cast as falling primarily on a one-dimensional scale from ``left-wing/liberal" to ``right-wing/conservative", but the validity of this simple…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-01-16 David Sabin-Miller , Mary McGrath , Marisa C. Eisenberg

Political polarization has become a growing concern in democratic societies, as it drives tribal alignments and erodes civic deliberation among citizens. Given its prevalence across different countries, previous research has sought to…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-07-01 Federico Zimmerman , Lucía Pedraza , Joaquín Navajas , Pablo Balenzuela

Elections, specially in countries such as Brazil with an electorate of the order of 100 million people, yield large-scale data-sets embodying valuable information on the dynamics through which individuals influence each other and make…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-10-05 Angelo Mondaini Calvão , Nuno Crokidakis , Celia Anteneodo

In the advent of big data and machine learning, researchers now have a wealth of congressional candidate ideal point estimates at their disposal for theory testing. Weak relationships raise questions about the extent to which they capture a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-01-09 Mellissa Meisels , Melody Huang , Tiffany M. Tang

Modeling the ideological perspectives of political actors is an essential task in computational political science with applications in many downstream tasks. Existing approaches are generally limited to textual data and voting records,…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-01-04 Shangbin Feng , Zhaoxuan Tan , Zilong Chen , Peisheng Yu , Qinghua Zheng , Xiaojun Chang , Minnan Luo
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