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We study the superreplication of contingent claims under model uncertainty in discrete time. We show that optimal superreplicating strategies exist in a general measure-theoretic setting; moreover, we characterize the minimal…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2014-02-18 Marcel Nutz

Robust inference for stochastic dynamical systems is often hampered by sparse sampling and the absence of closed-form likelihoods. We introduce a Monte Carlo path-inference framework that leverages full-path statistics and bridge processes…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-10-07 Javier Aguilar , Miguel A. Muñoz , Sandro Azaele

Recently, there has been a significant focus on exploring the theoretical aspects of deep learning, especially regarding its performance in classification tasks. Bayesian deep learning has emerged as a unified probabilistic framework,…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-01-24 The Tien Mai

Concentration inequalities for the sample mean, like those due to Bernstein, Hoeffding, and Bentkus, are valid for any sample size but overly conservative, yielding confidence intervals that are unnecessarily wide. The central limit theorem…

概率论 · 数学 2025-12-23 Morgane Austern , Lester Mackey

We conducted an extensive computational experiment, lasting multiple CPU-years, to optimally select parameters for two important classes of algorithms for finding sparse solutions of underdetermined systems of linear equations. We make the…

数值分析 · 计算机科学 2015-05-14 Arian Maleki , David L. Donoho

Statistical inference on the mean of a Poisson distribution is a fundamentally important problem with modern applications in, e.g., particle physics. The discreteness of the Poisson distribution makes this problem surprisingly challenging,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-07-03 Ryan Martin , Duncan Ermini Leaf , Chuanhai Liu

We address the problem of estimating a high-dimensional matrix from linear measurements, with a focus on designing optimal rank-adaptive algorithms. These algorithms infer the matrix by estimating its singular values and the corresponding…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Frédéric Zheng , Yassir Jedra , Alexandre Proutiere

We consider a statistical model for matrix factorization in a regime where the rank of the two hidden matrix factors grows linearly with their dimension and their product is corrupted by additive noise. Despite various approaches,…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2023-06-08 Farzad Pourkamali , Nicolas Macris

An efficient Bayesian inference method for problems that can be mapped onto dense graphs is presented. The approach is based on message passing where messages are averaged over a large number of replicated variable systems exposed to the…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Juan P Neirotti , David Saad

Bayesian Optimization is a sample-efficient black-box optimization procedure that is typically applied to problems with a small number of independent objectives. However, in practice we often wish to optimize objectives defined over many…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-29 Wesley J. Maddox , Maximilian Balandat , Andrew Gordon Wilson , Eytan Bakshy

Controlling the evolution of nonequilibrium systems to minimize dissipated heat or work is a key goal for designing nanodevices, both in nanotechnology and biology. Progress in computing optimal protocols has thus far been limited to either…

计算物理 · 物理学 2022-01-04 Megan C. Engel , Jamie A. Smith , Michael P. Brenner

Bayesian estimation is a powerful theoretical paradigm for the operation of quantum sensors. However, the Bayesian method for statistical inference generally suffers from demanding calibration requirements that have so far restricted its…

量子物理 · 物理学 2021-09-22 Samuel P. Nolan , Augusto Smerzi , Luca Pezzè

Finding methods for making generalizable predictions is a fundamental problem of machine learning. By looking into similarities between the prediction problem for unknown data and the lossless compression we have found an approach that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-24 Michael Tetelman

Tucker tensor decomposition offers a more effective representation for multiway data compared to the widely used PARAFAC model. However, its flexibility brings the challenge of selecting the appropriate latent multi-rank. To overcome the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-19 Federica Stolf , Antonio Canale

We consider maximin and Bayesian $D$-optimal designs for nonlinear regression models. The maximin criterion requires the specification of a region for the nonlinear parameters in the model, while the Bayesian optimality criterion assumes…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Dietrich Braess , Holger Dette

Optimizing nonlinear systems involving expensive computer experiments with regard to conflicting objectives is a common challenge. When the number of experiments is severely restricted and/or when the number of objectives increases,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-07-16 David Gaudrie , Rodolphe Le Riche , Victor Picheny , Benoit Enaux , Vincent Herbert

Bayesian optimisation for real-world problems is often performed interactively with human experts, and integrating their domain knowledge is key to accelerate the optimisation process. We consider a setup where experts provide advice on the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-15 Wenjie Xu , Masaki Adachi , Colin N. Jones , Michael A. Osborne

Sparse Gaussian Processes are a key component of high-throughput Bayesian optimisation (BO) loops -- an increasingly common setting where evaluation budgets are large and highly parallelised. By using representative subsets of the available…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-14 Henry B. Moss , Sebastian W. Ober , Victor Picheny

Bayesian inference in function space has gained attention due to its robustness against overparameterization in neural networks. However, approximating the infinite-dimensional function space introduces several challenges. In this work, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-23 Sophie Steger , Christian Knoll , Bernhard Klein , Holger Fröning , Franz Pernkopf

This paper extends algorithms that remove the fixed point bias of decentralized gradient descent to solve the more general problem of distributed optimization over subspace constraints. Leveraging the integral quadratic constraint…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-10-31 Dennis J. Marquis , Dany Abou Jaoude , Mazen Farhood , Craig A. Woolsey
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