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Predictive process monitoring aims to predict future characteristics of an ongoing process case, such as case outcome or remaining timestamp. Recently, several predictive process monitoring methods based on deep learning such as Long…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-02 Farbod Taymouri , Marcello La Rosa , Sarah Erfani , Zahra Dasht Bozorgi , Ilya Verenich

Electricity price signals in modern power systems exhibit complex dependence structures that render forecasting inherently challenging. Our analysis of real-world pricing signals from the California Independent System Operator (CAISO)…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-05-28 Keyi Wang , Jiaxiang Ji , Mahan Mansouri , Ahmed Aziz Ezzat

Power systems with high renewable energy penetration are highly influenced by weather conditions, often facing significant challenges such as persistent power shortages and severe power fluctuations over long time scales. This paper…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-01 Kai Kang , Feng Liu , Yifan Su , Zhaojian Wang

We study causal effect estimation from observational data under interference. The interference pattern is captured by an observed network. We adopt the chain graph framework of Tchetgen Tchetgen et. al. (2021), which allows (i) interaction…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-07-30 Sohom Bhattacharya , Subhabrata Sen

Pedestrian trajectory prediction is a critical technology in the evolution of self-driving cars toward complete artificial intelligence. Over recent years, focusing on the trajectories of pedestrians to model their social interactions has…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-01-15 Jiajia Xie , Sheng Zhang , Beihao Xia , Zhu Xiao , Hongbo Jiang , Siwang Zhou , Zheng Qin , Hongyang Chen

The contribution of this paper is two-fold. First, we present ProbCast - a novel probabilistic model for multivariate time-series forecasting. We employ a conditional GAN framework to train our model with adversarial training. Second, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-01 Alireza Koochali , Andreas Dengel , Sheraz Ahmed

This paper proposes a new channel modelling method for powerline communications networks based on the multipath profile in the time domain. The new channel model is developed to be applied in a range of Powerline Communications (PLC)…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2012-03-20 Bo Tan , John Tompson

While much attention has been given to the problem of estimating the effect of discrete interventions from observational data, relatively little work has been done in the setting of continuous-valued interventions, such as treatments…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-24 Ioana Bica , James Jordon , Mihaela van der Schaar

This paper introduces a novel recursive distributed estimation algorithm aimed at synthesizing input and state interval observers for nonlinear bounded-error discrete-time multi-agent systems. The considered systems have sensors and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-09-21 Mohammad Khajenejad , Scott Brown , Sonia Martinez

Regression models are essential for a wide range of real-world applications. However, in practice, target values are not always precisely known; instead, they may be represented as intervals of acceptable values. This challenge has led to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-08 Tung L Nguyen , Toby Dylan Hocking

A framework to learn a multi-modal distribution is proposed, denoted as the Conditional Quantum Generative Adversarial Network (C-qGAN). The neural network structure is strictly within a quantum circuit and, as a consequence, is shown to…

量子物理 · 物理学 2023-10-20 Salvatore Certo , Anh Pham , Nicolas Robles , Andrew Vlasic

In recent years, modeling and analysis of interval-valued time series have garnered increasing attention in econometrics, finance, and statistics. However, these studies have predominantly focused on statistical inference in the forecasting…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-04-08 Wan Tian , Zhongfeng Qin

Short-term passenger flow prediction is an important but challenging task for better managing urban rail transit (URT) systems. Some emerging deep learning models provide good insights to improve short-term prediction accuracy. However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-17 Jinlei Zhang , Hua Li , Lixing Yang , Guangyin Jin , Jianguo Qi , Ziyou Gao

In this paper, we employ a 1D deep convolutional generative adversarial network (DCGAN) for sequential anomaly detection in energy time series data. Anomaly detection involves gradient descent to reconstruct energy sub-sequences,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-23 Hardik Prabhu , Jayaraman Valadi , Pandarasamy Arjunan

Generating wind power scenarios is very important for studying the impacts of multiple wind farms that are interconnected to the grid. We develop a graph convolutional generative adversarial network (GCGAN) approach by leveraging GAN's…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-20 Young-ho Cho , Shaohui Liu , Duehee Lee , Hao Zhu

Existing conformal prediction algorithms estimate prediction intervals at target confidence levels to characterize the performance of a regression model on new test samples. However, considering an autonomous system consisting of multiple…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-25 Yunye Gong , Yi Yao , Xiao Lin , Ajay Divakaran , Melinda Gervasio

We propose a fast, non-Bayesian method for producing uncertainty scores in the output of pre-trained deep neural networks (DNNs) using a data-driven interval propagating network. This interval neural network (INN) has interval valued…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-27 Luis Oala , Cosmas Heiß , Jan Macdonald , Maximilian März , Wojciech Samek , Gitta Kutyniok

Time-series data augmentation plays a crucial role in regression-oriented forecasting tasks, where limited data restricts the performance of deep learning models. While Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) have shown promise in synthetic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-01 Ci Lin , Futong Li , Tet Yeap , Iluju Kiringa

Two non-intrusive uncertainty propagation approaches are proposed for the performance analysis of engineering systems described by expensive-to-evaluate deterministic computer models with parameters defined as interval variables. These…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-02-15 Alice Cicirello , Filippo Giunta

Model Predictive Control is an extremely effective control method for systems with input and state constraints. Model Predictive Control performance heavily depends on the accuracy of the open-loop prediction. For systems with uncertainty…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-07-27 Francesco Micheli , John Lygeros