English

Interval-Valued Time Series Classification Using $D_K$-Distance

Machine Learning 2025-04-08 v1 Machine Learning

Abstract

In recent years, modeling and analysis of interval-valued time series have garnered increasing attention in econometrics, finance, and statistics. However, these studies have predominantly focused on statistical inference in the forecasting of univariate and multivariate interval-valued time series, overlooking another important aspect: classification. In this paper, we introduce a classification approach that treats intervals as unified entities, applicable to both univariate and multivariate interval-valued time series. Specifically, we first extend the point-valued time series imaging methods to interval-valued scenarios using the DKD_K-distance, enabling the imaging of interval-valued time series. Then, we employ suitable deep learning model for classification on the obtained imaging dataset, aiming to achieve classification for interval-valued time series. In theory, we derived a sharper excess risk bound for deep multiclassifiers based on offset Rademacher complexity. Finally, we validate the superiority of the proposed method through comparisons with various existing point-valued time series classification methods in both simulation studies and real data applications.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2504.04667,
  title  = {Interval-Valued Time Series Classification Using $D_K$-Distance},
  author = {Wan Tian and Zhongfeng Qin},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2504.04667},
  year   = {2025}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-28T22:48:50.271Z