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Conformal prediction is a framework for providing prediction intervals with distribution-free validity, guaranteeing predictive coverage for data drawn from any distribution. Its two main variants are full conformal prediction and split…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-29 Aabesh Bhattacharyya , Boxuan Zhang , Rina Foygel Barber

We develop conformal prediction methods for constructing valid predictive confidence sets in multiclass and multilabel problems without assumptions on the data generating distribution. A challenge here is that typical conformal prediction…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-07-14 Maxime Cauchois , Suyash Gupta , John Duchi

Deploying deep learning models in real-world certified systems requires the ability to provide confidence estimates that accurately reflect their uncertainty. In this paper, we demonstrate the use of the conformal prediction framework to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-21 Léo Andéol , Thomas Fel , Florence De Grancey , Luca Mossina

CNN models already play an important role in classification of crop and weed with high accuracy, more than 95% as reported in literature. However, to manually choose and fine-tune the deep learning models becomes laborious and indispensable…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-03-29 Xuetao Jiang , Binbin Yong , Soheila Garshasbi , Jun Shen , Meiyu Jiang , Qingguo Zhou

Pruning neural networks has proven to be a successful approach to increase the efficiency and reduce the memory storage of deep learning models without compromising performance. Previous literature has shown that it is possible to achieve a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-12 Joaquin Alvarez

This paper introduces a conformal inference method to evaluate uncertainty in classification by generating prediction sets with valid coverage conditional on adaptively chosen features. These features are carefully selected to reflect…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-31 Yanfei Zhou , Matteo Sesia

When a machine learning model is deployed, its predictions can alter its environment, as better informed agents strategize to suit their own interests. With such alterations in mind, existing approaches to uncertainty quantification break.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-11-05 Daniel Csillag , Claudio José Struchiner , Guilherme Tegoni Goedert

Conformal prediction is an assumption-lean approach to generating distribution-free prediction intervals or sets, for nearly arbitrary predictive models, with guaranteed finite-sample coverage. Conformal methods are an active research topic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-19 Jerzy Wieczorek

Deep learning constitutes a recent, modern technique for image processing and data analysis, with promising results and large potential. As deep learning has been successfully applied in various domains, it has recently entered also the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-08-01 Andreas Kamilaris , Francesc X. Prenafeta-Boldu

Applying agrochemicals is the default procedure for conventional weed control in crop production, but has negative impacts on the environment. Robots have the potential to treat every plant in the field individually and thus can reduce the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-06-12 Philipp Lottes , Jens Behley , Nived Chebrolu , Andres Milioto , Cyrill Stachniss

Conformal prediction is a learning framework controlling prediction coverage of prediction sets, which can be built on any learning algorithm for point prediction. This work proposes a learning framework named conformal loss-controlling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-24 Di Wang , Ping Wang , Zhong Ji , Xiaojun Yang , Hongyue Li

Conformal prediction is a distribution-free and model-agnostic uncertainty-quantification method that provides finite-sample prediction intervals with guaranteed coverage. In this work, for the first time, we apply conformal-prediction to…

核理论 · 物理学 2026-02-02 Habib Yousefi Dezdarani , Ryan Curry , Alexandros Gezerlis

Conformal predictions make it possible to define reliable and robust learning algorithms. But they are essentially a method for evaluating whether an algorithm is good enough to be used in practice. To define a reliable learning framework…

Conformal unlearning aims to ensure that a trained conformal predictor miscovers data points with specific shared characteristics, such as those from a particular label class, associated with a specific user, or belonging to a defined…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-13 Yahya Alkhatib , Muhammad Ahmar Jamal , Wee Peng Tay

Conformal prediction methods are statistical tools designed to quantify uncertainty and generate predictive sets with guaranteed coverage probabilities. This work introduces an innovative refinement to these methods for classification…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-04 Jean-Baptiste Fermanian , Mohamed Hebiri , Joseph Salmon

Machine learning classification tasks often benefit from predicting a set of possible labels with confidence scores to capture uncertainty. However, existing methods struggle with the high-dimensional nature of the data and the lack of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-08 Rui Luo , Zhixin Zhou

Conformal prediction offers a distribution-free framework for constructing prediction sets with coverage guarantees. In practice, multiple valid conformal prediction sets may be available, arising from different models or methodologies.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-26 Mahmoud Hegazy , Liviu Aolaritei , Michael I. Jordan , Aymeric Dieuleveut

Bayesian optimization is a coherent, ubiquitous approach to decision-making under uncertainty, with applications including multi-arm bandits, active learning, and black-box optimization. Bayesian optimization selects decisions (i.e.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-13 Samuel Stanton , Wesley Maddox , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Typically, machine learning models are trained and evaluated without making any distinction between users (e.g, using traditional hold-out and cross-validation). However, this produces inaccurate performance metrics estimates in multi-user…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-11 Enrique Garcia-Ceja , Luciano Garcia-Banuelos , Nicolas Jourdan

Conformal prediction has recently emerged as a promising strategy for quantifying the uncertainty of a predictive model; these algorithms modify the model to output sets of labels that are guaranteed to contain the true label with high…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-11 Botong Zhang , Shuo Li , Osbert Bastani