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相关论文: Prediction of Geoeffective CMEs Using SOHO Images …

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The interaction of multiple Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) has been observed by LASCO coronagraphs and by near-Earth spacecraft, and it is thought to be an important cause of geo-effective storms, large Solar Energetic Particles events and…

空间物理 · 物理学 2008-08-29 N. Lugaz , W. B. Manchester , I. I. Roussev , T. I. Gombosi

Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) are subject to changes in their direction of propagation, tilt, and other properties as they interact with the variable solar wind. We investigated the heliospheric propagation of 15 Earth-impacting CMEs…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-11-05 Sandeep Kumar , Nandita Srivastava , Nat Gopalswamy , Ashutosh Dash

The Drag-based Model (DBM) is a 2D analytical model for heliospheric propagation of Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) in ecliptic plane predicting the CME arrival time and speed at Earth or any other given target in the solar system. It is…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2021-08-11 Jaša Čalogović , Mateja Dumbović , Davor Sudar , Bojan Vršnak , Karmen Martinić , Manuela Temmer , Astrid Veronig

High-speed solar wind streams (HSSs) interact with the preceding ambient solar wind to form Stream Interaction Regions (SIRs), which are a primary source of recurrent geomagnetic storms. However, HSSs may also encounter and subsequently…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-02-14 Stephan G. Heinemann , Chaitanya Sishtla , Simon Good , Maxime Grandin , Jens Pomoell

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are primary drivers of space weather and studying their evolution in the inner heliosphere is vital to prepare for a timely response. Solar wind streams, acting as background, influence their propagation in the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-10-30 Prateek Mayank , Bhargav Vaidya , Wageesh Mishra , D. Chakrabarty

The magnetic fields of interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs), which originate close to the Sun in the form of a flux rope, determine their geoeffectiveness. Therefore, robust flux rope-based models of CMEs are required to perform…

空间物理 · 物理学 2020-06-24 Talwinder Singh , Tae K. Kim , Nikolai V. Pogorelov , Charles N. Arge

The arrival time of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) in the vicinity of the Earth is one of the most important parameters in determining space weather. We have used a new approach to predicting this parameter. First, in our study, we have…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2019-10-08 Anitha Ravishankar , Grzegorz Michałek

Predictions of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and solar energetic particles (SEPs) are a central issue in space weather forecasting. In recent years, interest in space weather predictions has expanded to include impacts at other planets…

Taking the 32 storm sudden commencements (SSCs) listed by ISGI during 2002 as a starting point, we performed a multi-criterion analysis based on observations (propagation time, velocity comparisons, sense of the magnetic field rotation,…

This study addresses the prediction of geomagnetic disturbances by exploiting machine learning techniques. Specifically, the Long-Short Term Memory recurrent neural network, which is particularly suited for application over long time…

The Solar TErrestrial RElations Observatory (STEREO) provides high cadence and high resolution images of the structure and morphology of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) in the inner heliosphere. CME directions and propagation speeds have…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-03-31 Savani , N. P. , Davies , J. A. , Davis , C. J. , Shiota , D. , Rouillard , A. P. , Owens , M. J. , Kusano , K. , Bothmer , V. , Bamford , S. P. , Lintott , C. J. , Smith , A

Predicting the effects of a coronal mass ejection (CME) impact requires knowing if impact will occur, which part of the CME impacts, and its magnetic properties. We explore the relation between CME deflections and rotations, which change…

空间物理 · 物理学 2018-01-31 C. Kay , N. Gopalswamy

In a space weather context, the most geoeffective coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are fast CMEs from Earth-facing solar active regions. These CMEs are difficult to characterize in coronagraph data due to their high speed (fewer observations),…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2025-03-04 Harshita Gandhi , Alexander James , Huw Morgan , Lucie Green

Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejections (ICMEs) are prominent drivers of space weather disturbances and mainly lead to intense or extreme geomagnetic storms. The reported studies suggested that the planar ICME sheath and planar magnetic…

We employ remote observations of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and the associated solar flares to forecast the CME-related Forbush decreases, i.e., short-term depressions in the galactic cosmic-ray flux. The relationship between the Forbush…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-12-09 Mateja Dumbovic , Bojan Vrsnak , Jasa Calogovic

In this study, we analyze nine CMEs from the Sun to Earth as observed in both the remote sensing and in situ data sets. To date, this is the largest study of Earth impacting CMEs using the multi-view point remote sensing and in situ data.…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2012-06-20 Robin C. Colaninno

We present a first-principles-based coronal mass ejection (CME) model suitable for both scientific and operational purposes by combining a global magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) solar wind model with a flux rope-driven CME model. Realistic CME…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2017-01-18 M. Jin , W. B. Manchester , B. van der Holst , I. Sokolov , G. Toth , R. E. Mullinix , A. Taktakishvili , A. Chulaki , T. I. Gombosi

The efficacy of coronal mass ejection (CME) observations as a key input to space weather forecasting is explored by comparing on and off Sun-Earth line observations from the ESA/NASA SOHO and NASA STEREO spacecraft. A comparison is made of…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-05-10 Richard A. Harrison , Jackie A. Davies , David Barnes , Christian Möstl

Streamer-blowout coronal mass ejections (SBO-CMEs) are the dominant CME population during solar minimum. Although they are typically slow and lack clear low-coronal signatures, they can cause geomagnetic storms. With the aid of extrapolated…

We investigate the source eruption, propagation and expansion characteristics, and heliospheric impacts of the 2020 November 29 coronal mass ejection (CME) and associated shock, using remote sensing and in situ observations from multiple…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-10-05 Chong Chen , Ying D. Liu , Bei Zhu