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By 2050, we expect that CME models will accurately describe, and ideally predict, observed solar eruptions and the propagation of the CMEs through the corona. We describe some of the present known unknowns in observations and models that…

Ice storms are extreme weather events that can have devastating implications for the sustainability of natural ecosystems as well as man made infrastructure. Ice storms are caused by a complex mix of atmospheric conditions and are among the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2018-05-15 Ranjini Swaminathan , Mohan Sridharan , Katharine Hayhoe

The shape and dynamics of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) vary significantly based on the instrument and wavelength used. This has led to significant debate about the proper definitions of CME/shock fronts, pile-up/compression regions, and…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2025-08-27 Oleg Stepanyuk , Kamen Kozarev

The drag-based model (DBM) for heliospheric propagation of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) is a widely used analytical model which can predict CME arrival time and speed at a given heliospheric location. It is based on the assumption that the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2018-03-14 Mateja Dumbović , Jaša Čalogović , Bojan Vršnak , Manuela Temmer , M. Leila Mays , Astrid Veronig , Isabell Piantschitsch

Seasonal forecasting remains challenging due to the inherent chaotic nature of atmospheric dynamics. This paper introduces DeepSeasons, a novel deep learning approach designed to enhance the accuracy and reliability of seasonal forecasts.…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-09-16 A. Navarra , G. G. Navarra

We report on the solar and interplanetary (IP) causes of the third largest geomagnetic storm (2018 August 26) in solar cycle 24. The underlying coronal mass ejection (CME) originating from a quiescent filament region becomes a 440 km/s…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-09-07 N. Gopalswamy , S. Yashiro , S. Akiyama , H. Xie , P. Mäkelä , M. -C. Fok , C. P. Ferradas

Interplanetary scintillation (IPS) is a useful tool for detecting coronal mass ejections (CMEs) throughout interplanetary space. Global magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) simulations of the heliosphere, which are usually used to predict the arrival…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-09-27 Kazumasa Iwai , Richard A. Fallows , Mario M. Bisi , Daikou Shiota , Bernard V. Jackson , Munetoshi Tokumaru , Ken'ichi Fujiki

Propagation of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) from the Sun far into interplanetary space is not well understood due to limited observations. In this study we examine the propagation characteristics of two geo-effective CMEs, which occurred…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2017-03-08 Xiaowei Zhao , Ying D. Liu , Huidong Hu , Rui Wang

The Sun continuously affects the interplanetary environment through a host of interconnected and dynamic physical processes. Solar flares, Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs), and Solar Energetic Particles (SEPs) are among the key drivers of…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-09-27 Subhamoy Chatterjee , Maher Dayeh , Andrés Muñoz-Jaramillo , Hazel M. Bain , Kimberly Moreland , Samuel Hart

Geomagnetic activity is often described using summary indices to summarize the likelihood of space weather impacts, as well as when parameterizing space weather models. The geomagnetic index $\text{K}_\text{p}$ in particular, is widely used…

空间物理 · 物理学 2020-07-07 S. Chakraborty , S. K. Morley

Knowing the behavior of solar radiation at a geographic location is essential for the use of energy from the sun using photovoltaic systems; however, the number of stations for measuring meteorological parameters and for determining the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-13 Luis Eduardo Ordoñez Palacios , Víctor Bucheli Guerrero , Hugo Ordoñez

With climate change-related extreme events on the rise, high dimensional Earth observation data presents a unique opportunity for forecasting and understanding impacts on ecosystems. This is, however, impeded by the complexity of…

Context. Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are the main driver of solar wind disturbances near Earth. When directed towards us, the internal magnetic field of the CME can interact with the Earth`s magnetic field and cause geomagnetic storms. In…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-02-07 Tinatin Baratashvili , Stefaan Poedts

Our Sun is an active star expelling dynamic phenomena known as coronal mass ejections (CMEs). The magnetic field configuration on the Sun and related solar wind structures affect the propagation behavior of CMEs, dominate its transit time…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2025-01-22 Manuela Temmer

High energy solar flares and coronal mass ejections have the potential to destroy Earth's ground and satellite infrastructures, causing trillions of dollars in damage and mass human suffering. Destruction of these critical systems would…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-18 Erik Larsen

In the early days of 2017 September, an exceptionally energetic solar active region AR12673 aroused great interest in the solar physics community. It produced four X class flares, more than 20 CMEs and an intense geomagnetic storm, for…

空间物理 · 物理学 2018-07-11 Chenglong Shen , Mengjiao Xu , Yuming Wang , Yutian Chi , Bingxian Luo

It is generally accepted that extreme space weather events tend to be related to strong flares and fast halo coronal mass ejections CMEs. In the present paper, we carefully identify the chain of events from the Sun to the Earth induced by…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-04-09 B. Schmieder , R. S. Kim , B. Grison , K. Bocchialini , R. Y. Kwon , S. Poedts , P. Démoulin

Coronal and interplanetary shock waves produced by coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are major drivers of space-weather phenomena, inducing major changes in the heliospheric radiation environment and directly perturbing the near-Earth…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-04-12 Manon Jarry , Alexis P. Rouillard , Illya Plotnikov , Athanasios Kouloumvakos , Alexander Warmuth

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are relatively a recently-discovered phenomenon, in 1971, some fifteen years into the Space Era. It took another two decades to realize that CMEs are the most important players in solar terrestrial relationship…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2016-03-08 Nat Gopalswamy

Shocks driven by coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are primary drivers of gradual solar energetic particle (SEP) events, posing significant risks to space technology and astronauts. Concurrently, particles accelerated at these shocks may also…

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