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相关论文: Prediction of Geoeffective CMEs Using SOHO Images …

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Many questions must be answered before understanding the relationship between the emerging magnetic flux through the solar surface and the extreme geoeffective events. The main ingredients for getting X-ray class flares and large…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2025-09-22 Brigitte Schmieder , Jinhan Guo , Guillaume Aulanier , Anwesha Maharana , Stefaan Poedts

Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) are one of the main drivers of disturbances in the interplanetary space. Strong CMEs, when directed towards the Earth, cause geo-magnetic storms upon interacting with the magnetic field of the Earthand can…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-11-24 Tinatin Baratashvili , Christine Verbeke , Nicolas Wijsen , Stefaan Poedts

Ionospheric conductance is a crucial factor in regulating the closure of magnetospheric field-aligned currents through the ionosphere as Hall and Pedersen currents. Despite its importance in predictive investigations of the magnetosphere -…

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are the main driver of Space Weather. Therefore, a precise forecasting of their likely geo-effectiveness relies on an accurate tracking of their morphological and kinematical evolution throughout the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-06-18 T. Nieves-Chinchilla , A. Vourlidas , G. Stenborg , N. P. Savani , A. Koval , A. Szabo , L. K. Jian

Of all the activity observed on the Sun, two of the most energetic events are flares and Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs). Usually, solar active regions that produce large flares will also produce a CME, but this is not always true (Yashiro et…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2016-04-25 Monica G. Bobra , Stathis Ilonidis

The largest geomagnetic storm so far in the solar cycle 24 was produced by a fast coronal mass ejection (CME) originating on 2015 March 15. It was an initially west-oriented CME and expected to only cause a weak geomagnetic disturbance. Why…

The arrival time prediction of Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) is an area of active research. Many methods with varying levels of complexity have been developed to predict CME arrival. However, the mean absolute error (MAE) of predictions…

We identify all fast-mode forward shocks, whose sheath regions resulted in a moderate (56 cases) or intense (38 cases) geomagnetic storm during 18.5 years from January 1997 to June 2015. We study their main properties, interplanetary causes…

空间物理 · 物理学 2016-11-01 N. Lugaz , C. J. Farrugia , R. M. Winslow , N. Al-Haddad , E. K. J. Kilpua , P. Riley

The largest geomagnetic storms of solar cycle 24 so far occurred on 2015 March 17 and June 22 with $D_{\rm st}$ minima of $-223$ and $-195$ nT, respectively. Both of the geomagnetic storms show a multi-step development. We examine the…

The Earth's magnetosphere is formed as a consequence of interaction between the planet's magnetic field and the solar wind, a continuous plasma stream from the Sun. A number of different solar wind phenomena have been studied over the past…

Weather forecasting is a crucial task for meteorologic research, with direct social and economic impacts. Recently, data-driven weather forecasting models based on deep learning have shown great potential, achieving superior performance…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-08-26 Lihao Gan , Xin Man , Chenghong Zhang , Jie Shao

Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejections (ICMEs) are the primary sources of geomagnetic storms at Earth. Negative out-of-ecliptic component (Bz) of magnetic field in the ICME or its associated sheath region is necessary for it to be…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2025-02-04 Talwinder Singh , Dinesha V. Hegde , Tae K. Kim , Nikolai V. Pogorelov

The Solar TErrestrial RElations Observatory (STEREO) mission has laid a foundation for advancing real-time space weather forecasting by enabling the evaluation of heliospheric imager (HI) data for predicting coronal mass ejection (CME)…

We report on the kinematics of two interacting CMEs observed on 13 and 14 June 2012. Both CMEs originated from the same active region NOAA 11504. After their launches which were separated by several hours, they were observed to interact at…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2018-01-24 Nandita Srivastava , Wageesh Mishra , D. Chakrabarty

Variations of the magnetic field within solar coronal mass ejections (CMEs) in the heliosphere depend on the CME`s magnetic structure as it leaves the solar corona and its subsequent evolution through interplanetary space. To account for…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-05-24 E. Provornikova , V. G. Merkin , A. Vourlidas , A. Malanushenko , S. E. Gibson , E. Winter , N. Arge

Solar eruptive events are complex phenomena, which most often include coronal mass ejections (CME), CME-driven compressive and shock waves, flares, and filament eruptions. CMEs are large eruptions of magnetized plasma from the Sun's outer…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2025-12-19 Oleg Stepanyuk , Kamen Kozarev

Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs), as they can inject a large amounts of mass and magnetic flux into the interplanetary space, are the primary source of space weather phenomena on the Earth. The present review first briefly introduces the solar…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-03-28 Wageesh Mishra , Luca Teriaca

In the past decade, significant efforts have been made in developing physics-based solar wind and coronal mass ejection (CME) models, which have been or are being transferred to national centers (e.g., SWPC, CCMC) to enable space weather…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-04-06 Meng Jin , Nariaki V. Nitta , Christina M. S. Cohen

We investigate the performance of six methods for predicting the CME time of arrival (ToA) and velocity at Earth using a sample of nine Earth-impacting CMEs between May 2010 and June 2011. The CMEs were tracked continuously from the Sun to…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2013-11-01 R. C. Colaninno , A. Vourlidas , C. -C. Wu

Eruptions of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) from the Sun are usually associated with a number of signatures that can be identified in solar disc imagery. However, there are cases in which a CME that is well observed in coronagraph data is…