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In the complex landscape of multivariate time series forecasting, achieving both accuracy and interpretability remains a significant challenge. This paper introduces the Fuzzy Transformer (Fuzzformer), a novel recurrent neural network…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-10-02 Miha Ožbot , Igor Škrjanc , Vitomir Štruc

Events such as the Financial Crisis of 2007-2008 or the COVID-19 pandemic caused significant losses to banks and insurance entities. They also demonstrated the importance of using accurate equity risk models and having a risk management…

Nowadays, with the availability of massive amount of trade data collected, the dynamics of the financial markets pose both a challenge and an opportunity for high frequency traders. In order to take advantage of the rapid, subtle movement…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2018-07-06 Dat Thanh Tran , Martin Magris , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

Predicting a fast and accurate model for stock price forecasting is been a challenging task and this is an active area of research where it is yet to be found which is the best way to forecast the stock price. Machine learning, deep…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-02-13 Himanshu Gupta , Aditya Jaiswal

The application of deep learning to time series forecasting is one of the major challenges in present machine learning. We propose a novel methodology that combines machine learning and image processing methods to define and predict market…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2020-08-19 Bairui Du , Delmiro Fernandez-Reyes , Paolo Barucca

Stock price forecasting has remained an extremely challenging problem for many decades due to the high volatility of the stock market. Recent efforts have been devoted to modeling complex stock correlations toward joint stock price…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2023-12-27 Tong Li , Zhaoyang Liu , Yanyan Shen , Xue Wang , Haokun Chen , Sen Huang

Financial forecasting has been an important and active area of machine learning research because of the challenges it presents and the potential rewards that even minor improvements in prediction accuracy or forecasting may entail.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-07 Linyi Yang , Jiazheng Li , Ruihai Dong , Yue Zhang , Barry Smyth

The transformer models have been extensively used with good results in a wide area of machine learning applications including Large Language Models and image generation. Here, we inquire on the applicability of this approach to financial…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-03-14 Pierre Brugiere , Gabriel Turinici

With technological advancements and the exponential growth of data, we have been unfolding different capabilities of neural networks in different sectors. In this paper, I have tried to use a specific type of Neural Network known as…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2021-06-04 Kunal Bhardwaj

This study proposes a novel hybrid deep learning framework that integrates a Large Language Model (LLM) with a Transformer architecture for stock price forecasting. The research addresses a critical theoretical gap in existing approaches…

Financial literacy is increasingly dependent on the ability to interpret complex financial data and utilize advanced forecasting tools. In this context, this study proposes a novel approach that combines transformer-based time series models…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-06-10 Sukru Selim Calik , Andac Akyuz , Zeynep Hilal Kilimci , Kerem Colak

This research aims to leverage machine learning to improve stock price prediction and support informed investment decisions related to buying, selling, and holding assets. Specifically, this work investigates transformer-based models for…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2026-05-26 Marie Soehl Coolsaet , Roberto Gallardo , Zhen Gao

The performance of time series forecasting has recently been greatly improved by the introduction of transformers. In this paper, we propose a general multi-scale framework that can be applied to the state-of-the-art transformer-based time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-08 Amin Shabani , Amir Abdi , Lili Meng , Tristan Sylvain

Transformers have achieved superior performances in many tasks in natural language processing and computer vision, which also triggered great interest in the time series community. Among multiple advantages of Transformers, the ability to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-15 Qingsong Wen , Tian Zhou , Chaoli Zhang , Weiqi Chen , Ziqing Ma , Junchi Yan , Liang Sun

In this work we present a data-driven end-to-end Deep Learning approach for time series prediction, applied to financial time series. A Deep Learning scheme is derived to predict the temporal trends of stocks and ETFs in NYSE or NASDAQ. Our…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2017-11-15 Ariel Navon , Yosi Keller

Inflation is a major determinant for allocation decisions and its forecast is a fundamental aim of governments and central banks. However, forecasting inflation is not a trivial task, as its prediction relies on low frequency, highly…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-03-30 Maximilian Tschuchnig , Petra Tschuchnig , Cornelia Ferner , Michael Gadermayr

Financial markets have a vital role in the development of modern society. They allow the deployment of economic resources. Changes in stock prices reflect changes in the market. In this study, we focus on predicting stock prices by deep…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-27 Jialin Liu , Fei Chao , Yu-Chen Lin , Chih-Min Lin

Transformers have demonstrated impressive strength in long-term series forecasting. Existing prediction research mostly focused on mapping past short sub-series (lookback window) to future series (forecast window). The longer training…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-22 Julong Young , Junhui Chen , Feihu Huang , Jian Peng

This paper presents a novel approach to electricity price forecasting (EPF) using a pure Transformer model. As opposed to other alternatives, no other recurrent network is used in combination to the attention mechanism. Hence, showing that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-11 Oscar Llorente , Jose Portela

This paper studies forward-looking stock-stock correlation forecasting for S\&P 500 constituents and evaluates whether learned correlation forecasts can improve graph-based clustering used in basket trading strategies. We cast 10-day ahead…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2026-01-09 Jack Fanshawe , Rumi Masih , Alexander Cameron