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Transformer-based methods have achieved impressive results in time series forecasting. However, existing Transformers still exhibit limitations in sequence modeling as they tend to overemphasize temporal dependencies. This incurs additional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-16 Tan Wang , Yun Wei Dong , Qi Wang

In recent fast-paced financial markets, investors constantly seek ways to gain an edge and make informed decisions. Although achieving perfect accuracy in stock price predictions remains elusive, artificial intelligence (AI) advancements…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-11-12 Jue Xiao , Tingting Deng , Shuochen Bi

Identifying meaningful relationships between the price movements of financial assets is a challenging but important problem in a variety of financial applications. However with recent research, particularly those using machine learning and…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-02-21 Rian Dolphin , Barry Smyth , Ruihai Dong

Although Transformer-based methods have significantly improved state-of-the-art results for long-term series forecasting, they are not only computationally expensive but more importantly, are unable to capture the global view of time series…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-17 Tian Zhou , Ziqing Ma , Qingsong Wen , Xue Wang , Liang Sun , Rong Jin

In this paper, we present a new approach to time series forecasting. Time series data are prevalent in many scientific and engineering disciplines. Time series forecasting is a crucial task in modeling time series data, and is an important…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-24 Neo Wu , Bradley Green , Xue Ben , Shawn O'Banion

This research proposes a cutting-edge ensemble deep learning framework for stock price prediction by combining three advanced neural network architectures: The particular areas of interest for the research include but are not limited to:…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-03-31 Anindya Sarkar , G. Vadivu

In this paper we survey the most recent advances in supervised machine learning and high-dimensional models for time series forecasting. We consider both linear and nonlinear alternatives. Among the linear methods we pay special attention…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-04-12 Ricardo P. Masini , Marcelo C. Medeiros , Eduardo F. Mendes

In this work we use Recurrent Neural Networks and Multilayer Perceptrons to predict NYSE, NASDAQ and AMEX stock prices from historical data. We experiment with different architectures and compare data normalization techniques. Then, we…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-08-30 Kerda Varaku

The paper develops a Transformer architecture for estimating dynamic factors from multivariate time series data under flexible identification assumptions. Performance on small datasets is improved substantially by using a conventional…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-21 Oliver Snellman

Stock price prediction has been the focus of a large amount of research but an acceptable solution has so far escaped academics. Recent advances in deep learning have motivated researchers to apply neural networks to stock prediction. In…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-03-29 Firuz Kamalov , Linda Smail , Ikhlaas Gurrib

There has been a recent surge of interest in time series modeling using the Transformer architecture. However, forecasting multivariate time series with Transformer presents a unique challenge as it requires modeling both temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-04 Yu-Hsiang Lan , Eric K. Oermann

Stock market price prediction is a significant interdisciplinary research domain that depends at the intersection of finance, statistics, and economics. Forecasting Accurately predicting stock prices has always been a focal point for…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-01-19 Navin Chhibber , Sunil Khemka , Navneet Kumar Tyagi , Rohit Tewari , Bireswar Banerjee , Piyush Ranjan

Machine learning models have demonstrated remarkable efficacy and efficiency in a wide range of stock forecasting tasks. However, the inherent challenges of data scarcity, including low signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) and data homogeneity, pose…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-02-13 Yuan Gao , Haokun Chen , Xiang Wang , Zhicai Wang , Xue Wang , Jinyang Gao , Bolin Ding

Forecasting the movements of stock prices is one the most challenging problems in financial markets analysis. In this paper, we use Machine Learning (ML) algorithms for the prediction of future price movements using limit order book data.…

Applications of deep learning in financial market prediction has attracted huge attention from investors and researchers. In particular, intra-day prediction at the minute scale, the dramatically fluctuating volume and stock prices within…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-05-25 Yuze Lu , Hailong Zhang , Qiwen Guo

This paper introduced key aspects of applying Machine Learning (ML) models, improved trading strategies, and the Quasi-Reversibility Method (QRM) to optimize stock option forecasting and trading results. It presented the findings of the…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2022-11-30 Zheng Cao , Raymond Guo , Wenyu Du , Jiayi Gao , Kirill V. Golubnichiy

The Transformer model has shown leading performance in time series forecasting. Nevertheless, in some complex scenarios, it tends to learn low-frequency features in the data and overlook high-frequency features, showing a frequency bias.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-04 Xihao Piao , Zheng Chen , Taichi Murayama , Yasuko Matsubara , Yasushi Sakurai

Financial markets are inherently volatile and prone to sudden disruptions such as market crashes, flash collapses, and liquidity crises. Accurate anomaly detection and early risk forecasting in financial time series are therefore crucial…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-18 Ziling Fan , Ruijia Liang , Yiwen Hu

The current landscape in time-series forecasting is dominated by Transformer-based models. Their high parameter count and corresponding demand in computational resources pose a challenge to real-world deployment, especially for commercial…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-18 Nicholas Kiefer , Arvid Weyrauch , Muhammed Öz , Achim Streit , Markus Götz , Charlotte Debus

Predicting stock returns remains a central challenge in quantitative finance, transitioning from traditional statistical methods to contemporary deep learning techniques. However, many current models struggle with effectively capturing…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-10-14 Chenlanhui Dai , Wenyan Wang , Yusi Fan , Yueying Wang , Lan Huang , Kewei Li , Fengfeng Zhou