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We provide a unified analysis of the predictive risk of ridge regression and regularized discriminant analysis in a dense random effects model. We work in a high-dimensional asymptotic regime where $p, n \to \infty$ and $p/n \to \gamma \in…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-11-05 Edgar Dobriban , Stefan Wager

Key Performance Indicators (KPI), which are essentially time series data, have been widely used to indicate the performance of telecom networks. Based on the given KPIs, a large set of anomaly detection algorithms have been deployed for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-26 Hamza Bodor , Thai V. Hoang , Zonghua Zhang

Decision tree and random forest classification and regression are some of the most widely used in machine learning approaches. Binary decision tree implementations commonly use conditioning in the form 'feature $\leq$ (or $<$) threshold',…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-19 Gábor Timár , György Kovács

We investigate a market with a normal-speed informed trader (IT) who may employ mixed strategy and multiple anticipatory high-frequency traders (HFTs) who are under different inventory pressures, in a three-period Kyle's model. The pure-…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-03-14 Ziyi Xu , Xue Cheng

This paper builds a model of high-frequency equity returns by separately modeling the dynamics of trade-time returns and trade arrivals. Our main contributions are threefold. First, we characterize the distributional behavior of…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2014-09-02 Eric M. Aldrich , Indra Heckenbach , Gregory Laughlin

Combining machine learning with econometric analysis is becoming increasingly prevalent in both research and practice. A common empirical strategy involves the application of predictive modeling techniques to 'mine' variables of interest…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-12-22 Mochen Yang , Edward McFowland , Gordon Burtch , Gediminas Adomavicius

Stock return forecasting is of utmost importance in the business world. This has been the favourite topic of research for many academicians since decades. Recently, regularization techniques have reported to tremendously increase the…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2019-08-13 Kartikay Gupta , Niladri Chatterjee

High-speed computerized trading, often called "high-frequency trading" (HFT), has increased dramatically in financial markets over the last decade. In the US and Europe, it now accounts for nearly one-half of all trades. Although evidence…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2012-11-09 Austin Gerig

Prediction of stock prices plays a significant role in aiding the decision-making of investors. Considering its importance, a growing literature has emerged trying to forecast stock prices with improved accuracy. In this study, we introduce…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-11-14 Md Sabbirul Haque , Md Shahedul Amin , Jonayet Miah , Duc Minh Cao , Ashiqul Haque Ahmed

In this paper we extend the market-making models with inventory constraints of Avellaneda and Stoikov ("High-frequency trading in a limit-order book", Quantitative Finance Vol.8 No.3 2008) and Gueant, Lehalle and Fernandez-Tapia ("Dealing…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2012-06-22 Pietro Fodra , Mauricio Labadie

With the application of artificial intelligence in the financial field, quantitative trading is considered to be profitable. Based on this, this paper proposes an improved deep recurrent DRQN-ARBR model because the existing quantitative…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-12-01 Peng Zhou , Jingling Tang

Despite the popularity of feature importance (FI) measures in interpretable machine learning, the statistical adequacy of these methods is rarely discussed. From a statistical perspective, a major distinction is between analyzing a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-03 Kristin Blesch , David S. Watson , Marvin N. Wright

In materials science, data-driven methods accelerate material discovery and optimization while reducing costs and improving success rates. Symbolic regression is a key to extracting material descriptors from large datasets, in particular…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-01 Xiaolin Jiang , Guanqi Liu , Jiaying Xie , Zhenpeng Hu

We study the high frequency price dynamics of traded stocks by a model of returns using a semi-Markov approach. More precisely we assume that the intraday returns are described by a discrete time homogeneous semi-Markov which depends also…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-05-30 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni

Random Forest (RF) is a widely used ensemble learning technique known for its robust classification performance across diverse domains. However, it often relies on hundreds of trees and all input features, leading to high inference cost and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-08 Sijan Bhattarai , Saurav Bhandari , Girija Bhusal , Saroj Shakya , Tapendra Pandey

In tabular biomedical data analysis, tuning models to high accuracy is considered a prerequisite for discussing feature importance, as medical practitioners expect the validity of feature importance to correlate with performance. In this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-20 Youngro Lee , Giacomo Baruzzo , Jeonghwan Kim , Jongmo Seo , Barbara Di Camillo

Random forests remain among the most popular off-the-shelf supervised machine learning tools with a well-established track record of predictive accuracy in both regression and classification settings. Despite their empirical success as well…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-09-15 Lucas Mentch , Siyu Zhou

We measure the influence of different time-scales on the dynamics of financial market data. This is obtained by decomposing financial time series into simple oscillations associated with distinct time-scales. We propose two new time-varying…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2016-11-23 Noemi Nava , Tiziana Di Matteo , Tomaso Aste

Reinforcement learning is structurally harder than supervised learning because the policy changes the data distribution it learns from. The resulting fragility is especially visible in large-model training, where the training and rollout…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-13 Rasool Fakoor , Murdock Aubry , Nicholas Stranges , Alexander J. Smola

Monthly and weekly economic indicators are often taken to be the largest common factor estimated from high and low frequency data, either separately or jointly. To incorporate mixed frequency information without directly modeling them, we…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-10-10 Serena Ng , Susannah Scanlan