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相关论文: GeoConformal prediction: a model-agnostic framewor…

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Unreliable predictions can occur when using artificial intelligence (AI) systems with negative consequences for downstream applications, particularly when employed for decision-making. Conformal prediction provides a model-agnostic…

Reliable uncertainty quantification at unobserved spatial locations, especially in the presence of complex and heterogeneous datasets, remains a core challenge in spatial statistics. Traditional approaches like Kriging rely heavily on…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-18 Hanyang Jiang , Yao Xie

In spatial statistics, a common objective is to predict values of a spatial process at unobserved locations by exploiting spatial dependence. Kriging provides the best linear unbiased predictor using covariance functions and is often…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-05-25 Wanfang Chen , Yuxiao Li , Brian J Reich , Ying Sun

Many geosciences data are imprecise due to various limitations and uncertainties in the measuring process. One way to preserve this imprecision in a geostatistical mapping framework is to characterize the measurements as intervals rather…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-22 Brennan Bean , Yan Sun , Marc Maguire

Kriging is the predominant method used for spatial prediction, but relies on the assumption that predictions are linear combinations of the observations. Kriging often also relies on additional assumptions such as normality and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-03-29 Haoyu Wang , Yawen Guan , Brian J Reich

This paper introduces a framework for uncertainty quantification in regression models defined in metric spaces. Leveraging a newly defined notion of homoscedasticity, we develop a conformal prediction algorithm that offers finite-sample…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-07-22 Gábor Lugosi , Marcos Matabuena

Spatial interpolation is a class of estimation problems where locations with known values are used to estimate values at other locations, with an emphasis on harnessing spatial locality and trends. Traditional Kriging methods have strong…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-19 Gabriel Appleby , Linfeng Liu , Li-Ping Liu

Kriging and Gaussian Process Regression are statistical methods that allow predicting the outcome of a random process or a random field by using a sample of correlated observations. In other words, the random process or random field is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-14 Marius Marinescu

Spatial prediction in an arbitrary location, based on a spatial set of observations, is usually performed by Kriging, being the best linear unbiased predictor (BLUP) in a least-square sense. In order to predict a continuous surface over a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-17 Henning Omre , Mina Spremić

Hyperspectral image (HSI) classification involves assigning unique labels to each pixel to identify various land cover categories. While deep classifiers have achieved high predictive accuracy in this field, they lack the ability to…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-10-30 Kangdao Liu , Tianhao Sun , Hao Zeng , Yongshan Zhang , Chi-Man Pun , Chi-Man Vong

Predicting the response at an unobserved location is a fundamental problem in spatial statistics. Given the difficulty in modeling spatial dependence, especially in non-stationary cases, model-based prediction intervals are at risk of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-09 Huiying Mao , Ryan Martin , Brian Reich

Predicting a complete spatially correlated field from sparse observations is a fundamental challenge in spatial statistics and environmental modelling. Classical interpolation methods such as Kriging rely on Gaussian process assumptions and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-29 Daniel Tinoco , Raquel Menezes , Carlos Baquero , Alexandra Silva

Conformal prediction provides distribution-free coverage guaranties for regression; yet existing methods assume Euclidean output spaces and produce prediction regions that are poorly calibrated when responses lie on Riemannian manifolds. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-19 Marzieh Amiri Shahbazi , Ali Baheri

Kriging based on Gaussian random fields is widely used in reconstructing unknown functions. The kriging method has pointwise predictive distributions which are computationally simple. However, in many applications one would like to predict…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-03-20 Wenjia Wang , Rui Tuo , C. F. Jeff Wu

With the advancement of GPS and remote sensing technologies, large amounts of geospatial and spatiotemporal data are being collected from various domains, driving the need for effective and efficient prediction methods. Given spatial data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-25 Zhe Jiang

Numerous studies have focused on learning and understanding the dynamics of physical systems from video data, such as spatial intelligence. Artificial intelligence requires quantitative assessments of the uncertainty of the model to ensure…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-18 Aoming Liang , Qi Liu , Lei Xu , Fahad Sohrab , Weicheng Cui , Changhui Song , Moncef Gabbouj

Conformal prediction is a popular method to construct prediction intervals with marginal coverage guarantees from black-box machine learning models. In applications with potentially high-impact events, such as flooding or financial crises,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-02 Olivier C. Pasche , Henry Lam , Sebastian Engelke

Exact Kriging and conditional simulation (CS) for uncertainty quantification are computationally infeasible for modern spatial analyses with large numbers of observations and dense prediction grids. We present a rapid approximation to the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-29 Ziyu Li , Gregory Fasshauer , Douglas Nychka

In this article, we review and compare a number of methods of spatial prediction. To demonstrate the breadth of available choices, we consider both traditional and more-recently-introduced spatial predictors. Specifically, in our exposition…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-10-29 Jonathan R. Bradley , Noel Cressie , Tao Shi

Most image restoration problems are ill-conditioned or ill-posed and hence involve significant uncertainty. Quantifying this uncertainty is crucial for reliably interpreting experimental results, particularly when reconstructed images…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-02-10 Jasper M. Everink , Bernardin Tamo Amougou , Marcelo Pereyra
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