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When inferring parameters from a Gaussian-distributed data set by computing a likelihood, a covariance matrix is needed that describes the data errors and their correlations. If the covariance matrix is not known a priori, it may be…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2016-01-27 Elena Sellentin , Alan F. Heavens

Selective inference (post-selection inference) is a methodology that has attracted much attention in recent years in the fields of statistics and machine learning. Naive inference based on data that are also used for model selection tends…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-25 Yoshiyuki Ninomiya , Yuta Umezu , Ichiro Takeuchi

We consider the problem of model selection when grouping structure is inherent within the regressors. Using a Bayesian approach, we model the mean vector by a one-group global-local shrinkage prior belonging to a broad class of such priors…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-20 Sayantan Paul , Prasenjit Ghosh , Arijit Chakrabarti

Neighborhood selection is a widely used method used for estimating the support set of sparse precision matrices, which helps determine the conditional dependence structure in undirected graphical models. However, reporting only point…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-29 Yiling Huang , Snigdha Panigrahi , Walter Dempsey

In analyzing big data for finite population inference, it is critical to adjust for the selection bias in the big data. In this paper, we propose two methods of reducing the selection bias associated with the big data sample. The first…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-08 Jae Kwang Kim , Zhonglei Wang

It is common to hold prior beliefs that are not characterized by points in the parameter space but instead are relational in nature and can be described by a linear subspace. While some previous work has been done to account for such prior…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-17 Daniel K. Sewell

This paper considers generalized linear models in the presence of many controls. We lay out a general methodology to estimate an effect of interest based on the construction of an instrument that immunize against model selection mistakes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-05 Alexandre Belloni , Victor Chernozhukov , Ying Wei

We develop methodology for valid inference after variable selection in logistic regression when the responses are partially observed, that is, when one observes a set of error-prone testing outcomes instead of the true values of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-17 Qinyan Shen , Karl Gregory , Xianzheng Huang

The inferential models (IM) framework provides prior-free, frequency-calibrated, posterior probabilistic inference. The key is the use of random sets to predict unobservable auxiliary variables connected to the observable data and unknown…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-26 Ryan Martin , Chuanhai Liu

We propose a novel methodology relating item response theory methods with small area estimation strategies in the presence of missing data. Specifically, we propose an unbiased estimator for the average ability parameter of three-parameter…

In this article, a general information-plus-noise transmission model is assumed, the receiver end of which is composed of a large number of sensors and is unaware of the noise pattern. For this model, and under reasonable assumptions, a set…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2015-06-12 Julia Vinogradova , Romain Couillet , Walid Hachem

We propose a distributed bootstrap method for simultaneous inference on high-dimensional massive data that are stored and processed with many machines. The method produces an $\ell_\infty$-norm confidence region based on a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-15 Yang Yu , Shih-Kang Chao , Guang Cheng

Time elapsed till an event of interest is often modeled using the survival analysis methodology, which estimates a survival score based on the input features. There is a resurgence of interest in developing more accurate prediction models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-23 Navid Seidi , Ardhendu Tripathy , Sajal K. Das

In low and middle income countries, household surveys are a valuable source of information for a range of health and demographic indicators. Increasingly, subnational estimates are required for targeting interventions and evaluating…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-21 Katie Wilson , Jon Wakefield

Natural image statistics exhibit hierarchical dependencies across multiple scales. Representing such prior knowledge in non-factorial latent tree models can boost performance of image denoising, inpainting, deconvolution or reconstruction…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2012-07-03 Young Jun Ko , Matthias Seeger

We address the goal of conducting inference about a smooth finite-dimensional parameter by utilizing individual-level data from various independent sources. Recent advancements have led to the development of a comprehensive theory capable…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-19 Ellen Graham , Marco Carone , Andrea Rotnitzky

Simultaneous inference allows for the exploration of data while deciding on criteria for proclaiming discoveries. It was recently proved that all admissible post-hoc inference methods for true discoveries must employ closed testing. In this…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-03-24 Jinjin Tian , Xu Chen , Eugene Katsevich , Jelle Goeman , Aaditya Ramdas

In this work, we consider a multivariate regression model with one-sided errors. We assume for the regression function to lie in a general H\"{o}lder class and estimate it via a nonparametric local polynomial approach that consists of…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-11 Leonie Selk , Charles Tillier , Orlando Marigliano

We introduce uncertainty regions to perform inference on partial correlations when data are missing not at random. These uncertainty regions are shown to have a desired asymptotic coverage. Their finite sample performance is illustrated via…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-10-08 Tetiana Gorbach , Xavier de Luna

Variational inference uses optimization, rather than integration, to approximate the marginal likelihood, and thereby the posterior, in a Bayesian model. Thanks to advances in computational scalability made in the last decade, variational…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-01-04 Jens Sjölund